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Predicting the future is hard and risky. Predicting the future in the computing industry is even harder and riskier due to dramatic changes in technology and limitless challenges to innovation. Only a small fraction of innovations truly disrupt the state of the art. Some are not practical or cost-effective, some are ahead of their time, and some simply do not have a market. There are numerous examples of superior technologies that were never adopted because others arrived on time or fared better in the market. Therefore this document is only an attempt to better understand where technologies are going.

In 2014, a team of technical leaders from the IEEE Computer Society joined forces to write a technical report, entitled IEEE CS 2022, surveying 23 technologies that could potentially change the landscape of computer science and industry by the year 2022. In particular, this report focused on 3D printing, big data and analytics, the open intellectual property movement, massively online open courses, security cross-cutting issues, universal memory, 3D integrated circuits, photonics, cloud computing, computational biology and bioinformatics, device and nanotechnology, sustainability, high-performance computing, the Internet of Things, life sciences, machine learning and intelligent systems, natural user interfaces, networking and inter-connectivity, quantum computing, software-defined networks, multicore, and robotics for medical care.

The 2022 Report team surveyed several thousand IEEE members about the forces behind the technology changes. The desire for sustainable energy, the availability of wireless/broadband connectivity, and the use of technology for medical procedures ranked highest as drivers, while 3D printing, the use of robots for labour, and cloud computing were ranked most highly as major disruptors.

Computing devices from wearable devices and chips embedded under the skin to the computers inside our mobile devices, laptops, desktops, home servers, TV sets, and refrigerators, to the computing cloud that we reach via the Internet will together form an intelligent mesh, a computing and communication ecosystem that augments reality with information and intelligence gathered from our fingertips, eyes, ears, and other senses, and even directly interfaced to our brain waves.

At the heart of this revolution is seamless networking, with transparent and uninterrupted transitions between devices made possible by Near-Field Communication, Bluetooth, and Wi-Fi, as well as intelligent coordination software, standardized identity technologies, and cloud-based APIs.

The combination of powerful voice and facial recognition, massive identity databases, and powerful tracking will likely result in a new norm that potentially translates into a significant loss of privacy compared to today.

Original post:
Tech Trends: What Will Be The Biggest Innovations by 2022 - Medium