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Fund tracking inverse of bitcoin futures hits all-time low as cryptocurrency rallies – Reuters

Physical representations of the bitcoin cryptocurrency are seen in this illustration taken October 24, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Acquire Licensing Rights

Oct 24 (Reuters) - The ProShares Short Bitcoin Strategy ETF , which allows traders to bet on a fall in bitcoin futures, hit a record low on Tuesday as the cryptocurrency surged on growing optimism that the launch of an exchange-traded fund tracking bitcoin is imminent.

Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, hit an 18-month high on Tuesday, extending Monday's 10% surge, on speculation over the likely approval of a spot bitcoin ETF that was fueled by BlackRock's iShares ETF listing on the website of clearing house DTCC.

The ProShares fund had hit its peak of $45.61 a little over a year ago as crypto assets tumbled following the collapse of FTX, but struggled to hold on to gains this year amid the sharp recovery in bitcoin.

The fund fell nearly 10% to $16.18 in early trading, hitting a record low, and has shed 59.3% so far this year.

The ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF, which has $62.98 million in net assets, is still on track for its second month of inflows, according to Lipper data, as investors continue to pile into the fund even as prices fall.

"A lot of people think this rally is a short squeeze - we have no real news coming out and a lot of anticipation around the SEC's approval or disapproval of these spot ETFs and people are getting ahead of themselves," said Lucas Kiely, chief investment officer at digital wealth platform Yield App.

"Ultimately, the market is again buying the rumor and selling the fact and the BTC short ETF is the only way for investors to express the view BTC is going to sell off."

Kiely added that people could also be trying to hedge their bitcoin. "They've seen a price pump that they want to lock in so they buy the ETF to hedge their position."

Meanwhile, other bitcoin-linked ETFs, like the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF that tracks bitcoin futures, and Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI.O), gained more than 9% each.

The Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF.O) was up 9.4%, leading gains among recently launched funds that track Ether futures.

Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru; Editing by David Holmes

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Bansari reports on the global financial markets and writes Reuters' daily flagship market reports on equities, bonds and currencies. An economist by training and winner of the Arthur MacEwan Award for Excellence in Political Economy, she has written for renowned global papers and magazines including The Diplomat, Boston Globe, Conversation, Huffington Post and more.

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Cryptocurrency’s popularity in the U.S. tied to conservative moral foundations – PsyPost

In a recent study published in the scientific journal Frontiers in Psychology, researchers provide evidence that cryptocurrency technology, specifically its current adopters in the United States, tends to align more closely with conservative moral values rather than liberal ones.

The world of cryptocurrency, often associated with decentralized financial systems, has surged in popularity in recent years. While many view it as a tool for financial freedom, its underlying motivations have remained relatively unexplored in academic circles. Prior research has examined the financial and technological aspects of cryptocurrencies but has largely ignored their sociopolitical implications.

Researchers at the University of Utah and Toronto Metropolitan University ventured into a study to understand the moral foundations of crypto advocates. Given the divisive nature of discussions surrounding cryptocurrency with enthusiasts often promoting it as a solution to many economic woes the study was rooted in understanding societal and political inclinations behind the topic.

In their research, the team analyzed a large set of tweets related to Bitcoin and conducted a controlled survey overall, unpacking information learned across two studies. In the first study, a total of 959,393 tweets regarding crypto were analyzed for their usage of moral-language (such as words like pure, impure, and theft).

In the second study, a total of 500 participants, all based in the United States, were recruited through a study recruiting website called Prolific. 487 passed all attention checks and were included in the analysis, with 297 women and 190 men, averaging 37 years old. All of them answered a series of questions probing interest and attitudes towards cryptocurrency.

Then, researchers compared the alignment of crypto enthusiasts with what are known as binding moral foundations (Authority, Purity, and Loyalty) typically associated with political conservatives to individualizing foundations (Fairness and Care) which are often linked to liberals.

The findings were revealing. Crypto enthusiasts, especially in the U.S., seem to resonate more with the conservative values of Authority, Purity, and Loyalty than the liberal ideals of Fairness and Care. In simpler terms, those with an interest in cryptocurrency, based on tweet analysis and survey results, showed a stronger alignment with the moral values often held by political conservatives. This suggests that the appeal of cryptocurrencies might be deeply rooted in these moral principles, potentially influencing adoption decisions.

The researchers concluded that our findings document convergent evidence indicating that crypto is best understood as right-wing tech more closely aligned with conservative moral foundations at the current stage of adoption. Our analyses of a large set of Bitcoin tweets and a controlled survey indicate that binding moral foundations (Authority, Purity, and Loyalty) that are more closely associated with political conservatives better reflect ones interest in cryptocurrency than individualizing foundations (Fairness and Care).

However, its essential to understand the scope of these findings. While the research provides a novel insight into the moral alignments of cryptocurrency users, its mainly correlational. This means while theres a noticeable link between conservative values and crypto interest, it doesnt necessarily imply a direct causation. Also, this study primarily focused on crypto advocates within the U.S., so extrapolating these findings to a global audience might not be entirely accurate.

Furthermore, the research centered more on understanding the majority those investing and showing interest in cryptocurrency. It didnt dive deeply into the actions of a minority, like fraudulent businesses trying to scam investors. And while cryptocurrencys decentralized and open-record nature might seem a deterrent for dishonest activities, it doesnt mean dishonesty is entirely absent.

Sachin Banker of University of Utah, alongside Joowon Park and Eugene Chan of Toronto Metropolitan University, authored this study titled The moral foundations of cryptocurrency: evidence from Twitter and survey research.

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Cryptocurrency Rally: Bitcoin and More Soar on New Hopes for ETF – The Motley Fool

The weekend brought another rally to the cryptocurrency market as investors speculated that a Bitcoin (BTC 7.05%)exchange-traded fund (ETF) could be imminent. And if one ETF is approved, there could be a flood of investors moving into the market.

Values are rising across the crypto industry, but the big names are advancing more than normal today. Bitcoin is up 5.6% from the market's close on Friday, Ethereum (ETH 3.37%) has gained 4.9%, Solana (SOL 1.08%) has gained 9.8%, and Dogecoin (DOGE 1.92%) has advanced 6.7%.

No Bitcoin ETF has been approved yet, but investors are positioning themselves for when that day comes. The theory is that an ETF will bring in new investors to crypto, including institutional investors who may not want to take on the custody risk of crypto but are interested in owning the assets.

There was a short period of time last week when investors thought a Blackrock Bitcoin ETF had been approved, and tokens jumped in value when that happened. This was more speculation than actual demand for Bitcoin, so the move didn't last.

There's also a filing deadline of tomorrow for Coinbase (COIN 5.56%) to provide an answer to the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC's) rebuttal to the company's motion to get a major enforcement action dismissed. The SEC says Coinbase is selling securities, which the company disputes, and Coinbase is trying to get the case thrown out.

It's no coincidence that Coinbase would be the custodian for some of the ETFs that have been applied for. The company has some of the most advanced infrastructure in the crypto industry, and besides offering exchange solutions for institutions, it's also providing solutions for ETFs.

If the case is dismissed, it's hard to see how the SEC could continue to hold back Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency ETF applications.

The crypto industry is still searching for regulatory clarity in the U.S., and ETFs have become a proxy for the industry's current position with regulators. Based on the major financial institutions now applying for Bitcoin ETFs, it certainly seems likely they are confident they will get approval.

If the Bitcoin ETF is approved, the floodgates could open to other tokens. Ethereum, Solana, and even Dogecoin could see new investors, including institutions, investing in ETFs. The market may be speculating on these approvals, and that's what's driving prices today.

I think the bigger impact of regulatory certainty would be increased investment in the crypto industry. The blockchain is fundamentally a technology that could drive new businesses and ways of performing contracts and storing information, but regulators need to ensure companies know what's legal and what isn't. That's why there's so much speculation on the current regulation.

Volatility will continue to be commonplace in crypto until we know the certainty of both ETFs and the SEC's stance on major tokens. I think we are seeing the industry move to more approvals, but battles may need to go to court, and certainty could still be years away.

Travis Hoium has positions in Coinbase Global, Ethereum, and Solana. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin, Coinbase Global, Ethereum, and Solana. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Dollar higher as US business activity ticks up in October – Reuters

[1/2]Representations of cryptocurrency Bitcoin and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Acquire Licensing Rights

NEW YORK, Oct 24 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as a slew of fresh economic data highlighted the strength of the U.S. economy relative to the United Kingdom and the European Union.

U.S. business output ticked higher in October as the manufacturing sector pulled out of a five-month contraction on a pickup in new orders, and services activity accelerated modestly amid signs of easing inflationary pressures, S&P Global said on Tuesday.

It was the latest sign the U.S. economy is withstanding the surge in interest rates, spurred by the Federal Reserve's campaign to beat back inflation.

The dollar index , which measures the currency's strength against a basket of six rivals, was 0.6% higher at 106.19. The index had slipped to a one-month low of 105.35 earlier in the session.

"The big picture still clearly remains intact, especially when you compare U.S. PMI to the concurrent releases out of the UK and the euro zone this morning," Helen Given, FX trader at Monex USA, said.

"While all three PMI readings for the U.S. (manufacturing, services, and composite) were positive, both the UK and the euro zone showed contractions, re-emphasizing the continuing resilience of the larger U.S. economy in comparison to its peers around the world," she said.

Earlier on Tuesday, survey data showed that euro zone business activity took a surprise turn for the worst this month in a broad-based downturn across the region, suggesting the bloc may slip into recession.

The euro reversed course and was last 0.7% lower at $1.05975.

German data was particularly glum. The purchasing managers' index survey showed that the service sector joined the manufacturing sector in contractionary territory.

Global financial markets have been gripped by a surge in U.S. bond yields, which on Monday pushed the all-important 10-year Treasury yield above 5% to its highest since July 2007. The rise in yields drove the dollar index to an almost one-year high earlier this month.

The yield then dropped sharply later on Monday. Analysts said one catalyst was a social media message by prominent hedge fund investor Bill Ackman, saying he had closed out his bet against longer-dated bonds and that geopolitical worries were a factor. Yields rise as prices fall and vice versa.

The dollar was last up 0.1% at 149.875 yen , keeping traders nervous about possible government intervention to prop up the Japanese currency.

The British pound was last down 0.59% at $1.21765. Britain's businesses reported another decline in activity this month and cost pressures cooled further, surveys showed on Tuesday, underlining the risk of recession.

The Bank of England is due to set interest rates on Thursday next week, after the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday. The European Central Bank's meeting ends this Thursday, with traders expecting all three central banks to hold rates steady.

In cryptocurrency markets, bitcoin extended its rise, helped by speculation that an exchange-traded bitcoin fund is imminent. The world's largest cryptocurrency by market cap was last up 4.1% at $34,423.

Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Additional reporting by Harry Robertson in London and Brigid Riley in TokyoEditing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Mark Potter and Sharon Singleton

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Bitcoin Is Surging. Here’s Why the Cryptocurrency Is Back – Entrepreneur

Bitcoin surged 6% on Tuesday, rising to over $35,000, marking its highest spike in value in nearly 18 months. The surge comes amid growing anticipation of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) potentially granting approval for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which could significantly boost demand, Reuters reported.

An ETF would provide individuals a way to invest in and track the price movements of bitcoin on traditional stock exchanges, offering a more accessible and regulated investment option for the cryptocurrency market. Enabling investors to participate in bitcoin trade without directly holding or managing the cryptocurrency could introduce a new surge of capital into the industry, according to experts.

Related: Why the Next Crypto Bull Run Will Be Like Nothing We've Ever Experienced

Anticipation of an EFT approval has grown over the past month, exacerbated by news that the SEC would not appeal a court ruling that found it had wrongly rejected an ETF application from the cryptocurrency firm Grayscale Investments.

The court formally returned the application to the SEC for review on Monday and, with mounting "pressure" from the count, it increases the likelihood of an ETF approval, Geoffrey Kendrick, the Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, told Reuters.

The news sparked a 10% surge in Bitcoin on Monday, followed by a 6% spike on Tuesday, where it rose to $35,198.

Meanwhile, BlackRock, the largest provider of ETFs worldwide, applied to register a bitcoin spot ETF in June and is pending approval. In additon, BlackRock's bitcoin ETF appeared on the clearing house Depository Trust and Clearing Corp website this week (a Nasdaq-operated financial institution that acts as a middleman in the process of buying and selling securities), further fueling anticipation it is ready to launch soon.

Still, not everyone is as optimistic about the fate of bitcoin's ETF debut, and some experts are saying that the excitement of the stock surges may be getting ahead of itself.

"I think that these rapid rises in bitcoin are somewhat exaggerated," Samer Hasn, market analyst at online brokerage XS.com, told CNN. "Regulatory and legislative concerns are still clouding this market, and I don't see opportunities soon to dispel these concerns as the legal battles continue."

Related: Why Another Bitcoin Boom Could Be the Key to Institutional Adoption. Should You Buy In?

At its peak, bitcoin was worth over $65,000 in November 2021, per Statista. However, the value faced a steady decline thereafter, following a series of crashes in the crypto market and its inability to hold value amid rampant inflation as many once thought.

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10 Key Advantages of Using Cryptocurrency in Business – Analytics Insight

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have evolved from a niche technology to a mainstream asset class with far-reaching implications for businesses of all sizes. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown the world that blockchain technology is not just a fad, but a transformative force. Businesses that embrace cryptocurrencies can enjoy numerous advantages, making them more efficient, secure, and competitive. Here are ten key advantages of using cryptocurrency in business:

Global Accessibility: Cryptocurrencies operate on a decentralized network that is accessible from anywhere in the world. This means that businesses can reach a global customer base without dealing with currency exchange rates and international transaction fees.

Lower Transaction Costs: Traditional financial systems often involve intermediaries like banks and payment processors, which charge fees for their services. Cryptocurrencies can significantly reduce these transaction costs, making it more affordable for businesses to send and receive payments.

Faster Transactions: Cryptocurrency transactions are processed on blockchain networks, enabling near-instantaneous transfers. This is especially beneficial for international business transactions that may take days using traditional banking systems.

Security and Transparency: Blockchain technology offers a high level of security, and transactions are recorded in an immutable ledger, making them transparent and less susceptible to fraud.

Financial Inclusion: Cryptocurrencies can provide financial services to unbanked or underbanked populations, broadening the customer base for businesses and expanding financial inclusion.

Ownership and Control: Cryptocurrency users have full ownership and control over their digital assets. This eliminates the need for third-party intermediaries and reduces the risk of funds being frozen or seized.

Smart Contracts: Smart contracts are self-executing agreements with the terms of the contract written directly into code. They automate complex business processes, reducing the risk of disputes and the need for intermediaries.

Micropayments: Cryptocurrencies enable businesses to process tiny transactions cost-effectively. This opens up new opportunities for revenue streams in areas like content monetization and the Internet of Things (IoT).

Decentralization: The decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies eliminates the risk of a single point of failure. This makes businesses more resilient to outages or disruptions in traditional systems.

Hedging Against Inflation: Cryptocurrencies can serve as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation and inflation. Holding a portion of assets in cryptocurrencies can protect businesses from the loss of purchasing power.

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Bitcoin’s ETF-induced spike comes in wake of short squeeze … – Seeking Alpha

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Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) impressive double-digit rally on Tuesday, amid growing confidence in the approval of an exchange-traded fund that invests directly in the token, comes as investors scrambled to cover their short positions.

The highest-profile cryptocurrency (BTC-USD) briefly exceeded $35K for the first time since May 2022 late Monday night, before pulling back some to $33.6K on Tuesday at 11:46 a.m. ET. That brings BTC's year-to-date surge to roughly 102%.

For the short squeeze, bitcoin (BTC-USD) experienced $275.5M in short liquidations on Sunday, followed by another $118.4M Monday, crypto data provider CoinGlass.

The outsized short covering comes as BlackRock's (BLK) iShares Bitcoin Trust has been listed on the Depository Trust & Clearing Corp., with the ticker IBTC, Matteo Greco, research analyst at digital asset and fintech investment firm Fineqia International, wrote in a note.

"Additionally, Blackrock updated its filings with the SEC, indicating their readiness to seed their ETF starting from October 2023. This proactive approach from Blackrock suggests their preparedness to initiate trading promptly upon receiving approval from the SEC, further substantiating the optimistic sentiment surrounding an impending approval," he added.

All this considered, BTIG thinks the $38K-$40K range is in view for bitcoin (BTC-USD), which is still well below its record high of nearly $69K in 2021.

Unsurprisingly, crypto-exposed stocks also caught a bid, including: MicroStrategy (MSTR) +8.4%, Coinbase (COIN) +8.2%, Galaxy Digital (OTCPK:BRPHF) +11.8%, Core Scientific (OTCPK:CORZQ) +10.7% and CleanSpark (CLSK) +9.1%.

Needham analyst John Todaro reckons a combination of the spot BTC ETF optimism and the dynamics around the impending halving event would boost the volatility in crypto-focused stocks.

"We believe bitcoin needs to rally above ~$50k by Q2 '24 or high-cost bitcoin miners will need to reduce hash power, which will likely lead to revenue estimates coming down," he wrote in a note.

Rangebound bitcoin (BTC-USD) prices, however, would lead to a further reduction in volumes and adversely impact exchanges and brokerages like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), he contended.

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Anticipating Cryptocurrency’s Next Season: An Analysis of Past … – Hubbis

The cyclical nature of cryptocurrency trading, often compared to the four seasons, has captured the attention of investors, especially given the recent market shifts. Cryptocurrencies, initially hailed for their stellar performance, are now more often in the spotlight due to lost fortunes, exchange bankruptcies, and business fraud. As the crypto market continues to evolve, examining its historical trading cycles might offer some insight into what the future holds.

A significant part of the crypto narrative revolves around Bitcoin, which makes up about half of the total digital assets by market capitalization. One distinguishing feature of Bitcoin is its "halving" process, aimed at sustaining its value by reducing the supply of new bitcoins. Specifically, every four years, the creation rate of new bitcoins is halved, and this will continue until the total number of bitcoins reaches 21 million, according to Morgan Stanley, by whose published article titled Will Crypto Spring Ever Come? this piece was curated from. This artificial scarcity can, in turn, potentially trigger a bull run in Bitcoin's price. Since its inception in 2011, there have been three such bull runs, each enduring 12 to 18 months post-halving.

The four-year cycle of cryptocurrency prices has been observed to have a pattern similar to the seasonal cycle. The cycle begins with a 'Summer' phase post-halving, where historically, Bitcoin has seen substantial gains, followed by 'Fall,' where prices soar past old highs, attracting increased attention from media and new investors. However, as profits are locked in, a 'Winter' phase ensues, characterized by a bear market decline. This decline lasts until the 'Spring' phase, where prices recover from their lows, although investor interest remains relatively subdued.

As investors seek to optimize their 'crypto growing season,' the quest to identify the onset of 'Crypto Spring' becomes critical. Various factors, including time elapsed since the last peak, the extent of Bitcoin's drawdown, miner capitulation, and the Bitcoin price-to-thermocap multiple can provide cues to whether the market is transitioning from 'Crypto Winter' to 'Crypto Spring'. Other indicators such as exchange issues and price action also offer valuable insights.

Predictions about the exact timing of the next halving, expected around April 2024, are varied. Current data suggests that 'Crypto Winter' might be behind us, with 'Crypto Spring' looming. However, with only three recorded 'Crypto Springs,' there's much to explore and learn.

Cryptocurrency investments come with their share of risks, and while historical data can provide insights, it doesn't guarantee future performance. Various unforeseen factors like software glitches, economic downturns, or coordinated governmental actions could disrupt the anticipated cycle.

Understanding the cyclical tendencies of the crypto market is essential for investors. While its challenging to pinpoint the perfect time for buying or selling cryptocurrency, being informed about market trends and asking the right questions can help investors make well-thought-out decisions in the evolving crypto landscape.

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Blockchain Association director of government relations recaps … – crypto.news

Since Oct. 3, when lawmakers removed then-Speaker of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy, no legislation has made significant progress through the United States Congress.

In an Oct. 23 post, The Blockchain Associations director of government relations, Ron Hammond, provided an update on the tangential elements on crypto-related issues.

As part of the thread, Hammond shares that the race for the Speaker position has attracted numerous candidates who are notably pro-crypto.

1) This week in Congress and crypto: Another week of House Speaker drama and intense focus on Israel/Hamas. For crypto there is a lot of tangental elements on both issues. Many of the speaker candidates have a strong record on crypto so let's quickly meet them and fights to come.

Hammond calls out Tom Emmer as being a leader of the pack, showing that in recent weeks, he made an ascent to the speakers position. History shows that Emmer is a pioneer in crypto legislation, with a track record dating back to 2017.

Previously, Emmer spearheaded a cryptocurrency town hall, introduced the bipartisan Securities Clarity Act, designed to offer a clear regulatory framework for the world of digital assets, and as a result holds the prestigious position of co-chair of the Congressional Blockchain Caucus.

Hammond goes on to share there are two hearings in the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services Republicans on Wednesday about the current situations and one on Thursday in the Senate Banking and Housing Democrats. Both hearings are said to be largely about fact-finding, but for crypto, expect some to say the lack of stablecoin regulation led to the rise of offshore stablecoins.

This comes after anAug. 29 announcementstating that the Republican Representatives were alleging that the Federal Reserve is impeding Congresss endeavors to establish regulations for stablecoins, raising concerns about the potential discouragement of banks from venturing into the digital asset sector.

In a letter addressed to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, three Republican lawmakersRepresentatives French Hill, Bill Huizenga, and Patrick T. McHenryexpressed their grievances, asserting that the central bank is obstructing Congresss attempts to regulate stablecoins.

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Bitcoin tops $34000 on ETF optimism (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD) – Seeking Alpha

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) hit its highest level since May last year, crossing the $34,000 mark on Tuesday.

According to data compiled by Coin Metrics, the world's largest cryptocurrency was trading 4.97% higher at $34,596.40 on Tuesday. The surge was driven by optimism around the possibility of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

The optimism stemmed from a favorable ruling by a U.S. Court of Appeals, which sided with crypto asset management firm Grayscale in its bid to turn its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) bitcoin fund into an ETF.

In June 2022, Grayscale filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission after the agency rejected its application to convert GBTC into an ETF. Last week, the SEC declined to appeal that ruling.

The surge in bitcoin (BTC-USD) price is driving pre-market rallies for the following cryptocurrency-focused stocks: Coinbase (COIN) rose +8%, Hut 8 Mining (HUT) +11%, MicroStrategy (MSTR) +9%, Riot Platforms (RIOT) +13%, CleanSpark (CLSK) +13%, Marathon Digital (MARA) grew +14%, Bitfarms (BITF) +9%, and Bit Digital (BTBT) +8%.

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