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Theres Something Very Strange Going On With Bitcoin Futures – Forbes

Bitcoin has been on a roller-coaster over the last few weeks, with the price often yoyoing up to thousands of dollars in minutes.

The bitcoin price is down almost half from its year-to-date highs, with the bitcoin and crypto market stuck on a downward trend for last six months.

Now, researchers have recorded "unusual" moves in the bitcoin futures market, with premium rates rising even as bitcoin prices fallsuggesting the bitcoin price could be headed higher next year.

The bitcoin price has struggled in the second half of this year but bitcoin bulls are upbeat about ... [+] next year's outlook.

Between November 29 and December 2, the premium on bitcoin futures increased over 30% while the bitcoin price dropped around 6%.

"The premium rates on bitcoin March 2020 contracts have been increasing, although the bitcoin price has decreased," analysts at Arcane Research found, adding, "this is not a common observation."

Researchers also reported that bitcoin's implied volatility is set to rise to over 70% by June 2020, up from 55% for the middle of December 2019.

"This clearly show that traders anticipate changes in the bitcoin price. To put this in perspective, gold options for June 2020 trade with an implied volatility of 11.5%."

There has been a sharp rise in the price of bitcoin futures contacts between now and March next ... [+] year, even as the bitcoin price falls.

Despite bitcoin's recent sell-off, many bitcoin and cryptocurrency market watchers are feeling good about next yearbitcoin and crypto heavyweights have been predicting a sudden price surge,technical data is looking positive, andrecent developments suggest 2020 could be a big year for bitcoin.

Meanwhile, the looming bitcoin halving event, set for May next year, will see the number of bitcoin rewarded to miners cut by half and some expect this to boost the bitcoin pricethough others disagree.

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Bitcoin battered: The worst crypto catastrophes of 2019 – ZDNet

The cryptocurrency market is booming, and with it, criminals are looking to cash in.

Bitcoin (BTC) may not have sustained the $19,000+ price tag of previous years, now coming in at roughly $7,200 at the time of writing, but there is also a variety of other stable coins and altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Monero (XMR), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), and Litecoin (LTC), that maintain a loyal following and constant trade.

The industry has gained enough traction in recent years that regulators are beginning to shift towards the viewpoint that virtual coins should be considered taxable assets, with the IRS now hunting down cryptocurrency traders that do not declare their investments. The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) alsoclarified its stance (.PDF) this year on what coins can be considered securities or e-money -- some of which now land under the FCA's remit.

Russia, too, known for its hostile approach to cryptocurrency, has begun to acceptthat cryptocurrency may have a legal position in the economy.

With any form of asset that has financial worth, criminals will look for ways to fraudulently profit and cryptocurrency is no exception. The industry is rather unregulated, with laws potentially applied locally, but with exchanges registered worldwide, investment in cryptocurrency can be a risk.

Exchanges are a common target. A weakness in a website, a vulnerability leading to exposure of a hot wallet -- storage systems used to hold virtual coins that are Internet-connected -- insider threats, and exit scams can all result in traders losing their cryptocurrency. Wallets, too, can be ransacked when vulnerabilities are found, and the blockchain itself, the backbone technology of cryptocurrency exchanges, may be subject to attacks such as the 51% technique. Unless cryptocurrency is stashed in a cold, hardware-based wallet that is not connected to the web, there may be a risk of cyberattack.

Below, we take a look at some of the most noteworthy cases of hacking, criminal investigations, exit scams, and cryptocurrency-related breaches over 2019.

See also:

CNET:

TechRepublic:

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Ethereum (ETH) Flirts With Key Resistance, Bitcoin Up 3% – newsBTC

Ethereum price is approaching important hurdles versus the US Dollar and bitcoin. ETH price must settle above $152 to continue higher in the near term.

Recently, Ethereum dived from the $152 resistance area and trimmed most gains against the US Dollar. However, ETH price managed to stay above the $144 support area and later recovered higher.

Moreover, the price surpassed the $146 resistance area and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The price also climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $153 swing high to $144 swing low.

At the outset, the price is facing hurdles near the $148 resistance. Besides, there is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $148 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

More importantly, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $153 swing high to $144 swing low is also near the $148 level. Therefore, an upside break above the $148 resistance could push the price further higher.

Still, there are many resistances on the way up, starting with $150 and up to $152. Additionally, Ethereum price must settle above the $152 resistance to start a decent recovery and an upward move.

The next major hurdle is near the $158 level, above which the price could rally above $160. Conversely, the price could decline from $148 or $150. An immediate support is near the $146 pivot level.

The next support is near the triangle support at $145, below which there is a risk of a downside break below the $144 support area. If the bulls fail to defend the $144 support area, the bears are likely to aim the $140 support or even the $135 pivot level in the coming sessions.

Ethereum Price

Looking at the chart, Ethereum price is clearly making another attempt to surpass the $150 and $152 resistance levels. Thus, it could either rally above $152 or it might start a fresh decline towards the $140 and $135 levels.

Hourly MACD The MACD for ETH/USD is likely to move back into the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI The RSI for ETH/USD is currently above the 50 level, with a few positive signs.

Major Support Level $144

Major Resistance Level $152

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Ethereum (ETH) Flirts With Key Resistance, Bitcoin Up 3% - newsBTC

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Tim Draper Says His $250,000 Bitcoin Price Prediction Is Not Based on Halvening – U.Today

Legendary venture capitalist Tim Draper is still confident that the Bitcoin price is going to reach $250,000 in 2022.

In his recent interview, he explained that the uber-bullish forecast is not based on the halvening.

Back in September 2014, Draper predicted that Bitcoin would be able to hit $10,000 in only three years. That prediction turned out to be conservative -- the Bitcoin price skyrocketed to $20,000 in December 2017.

Now, Draper claims that he's more confident about his $250,000 prediction than his previous one.

"I am more confident of $250,000 by 2022 or the first quarter of 2023 than I am of the prediction of $8,500 on December 31."

The most interesting part about his prediction is that it's not based onBitcoin's stock-to-flow model(S2F). The coin's flow is halved every four years, which historically leads to a massive bull run.

Instead, he expects Bitcoin to secure a five percent market share as an alternative currency.

"My prediction was really based on creating enough of an infrastructure for Bitcoin to get a 5% market share around the world, as a currency."

Draper claims that he's still buying Bitcoin because he takes it for tuition at Draper University.

Draper states that he's moving towards a decentralized world that relies on Bitcoin and smart contracts. The media and governments around the globe will soon realize its potential.

"The currency business today is $86 trln. If you add crypto in 10 years from now, I think it's going to be $120 trillion. That's a huge, huge market..."

Draper also says that he does like the idea of forks because he loves innovations.Hebelieves that Bitcoin Cash has potential since it has some "bright" people working on it.

"My religion is in building progress and getting us to this new decentralized world, which I think is coming."

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Bitcoin’s bumpy revolution may be only just beginning – The Independent

Bitcoin was born out of despair. Hidden among the lines of code in the first ever batch of the cryptocurrency was a headline from the frontpage of that days edition ofThe Times: Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.

It was 3 January, 2009, and the world was in the midst of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Banks were collapsing, businesses were foreclosing and people were losing their homes.

It was the result of the worst excesses and greed of a capitalistic system that was teetering on the edge of comprehensive collapsed. But Satoshi Nakamoto, bitcoins pseudonymous creator, believed he had a solution.

Sharing the full story, not just the headlines

It came in the form of a revolutionary electronic cash systemthat ditched centralised systems like banks and governments in favour of a peer-to-peer payments network supported by an online ledger known as a blockchain.

But for all its promise, it turned out to be a bumpy revolution. Nothing much actually happened for the first few years after bitcoins birth, and it lay largely dormantuntil after the worst of the periods economic turmoil had already passed.

On 3 January, 2009, the genesis block of bitcoin appeared. It came less than a year after the pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto detailed the cryptocurrency in a paper titled 'Bitcoin: A peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System'

Reuters

On 22 May, 2010, the first ever real-world bitcoin transaction took place. Lazlo Hanyecz bought two pizzas for 10,000 bitcoins the equivalent of $90 million at today's prices

Lazlo Hanyecz

Bitcoin soon gained notoriety for its use on the dark web. The Silk Road marketplace, established in 2011, was the first of hundreds of sites to offer illegal drugs and services in exchange for bitcoin

On 29 October, 2013, the first ever bitcoin ATM was installed in a coffee shop in Vancouver, Canada. The machine allowed people to exchange bitcoins for cash

REUTERS/Dimitris Michalakis

The world's biggest bitcoin exchange, MtGox, filed for bankruptcy in February 2014 after losing almost 750,000 of its customers bitcoins. At the time, this was around 7 per cent of all bitcoins and the market inevitably crashed

Getty Images

In 2015, Australian police raided the home of Craig Wright after the entrepreneur claimed he was Satoshi Nakamoto. He later rescinded the claim

Getty Images

On 1 August, 2017, an unresolvable dispute within the bitcoin community saw the network split. The fork of bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology spawned a new cryptocurrency: Bitcoin cash

REUTERS

Towards the end of 2017, the price of bitcoin surged to almost $20,000. This represented a 1,300 per cent increase from its price at the start of the year

Reuters

On 3 January, 2009, the genesis block of bitcoin appeared. It came less than a year after the pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto detailed the cryptocurrency in a paper titled 'Bitcoin: A peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System'

Reuters

On 22 May, 2010, the first ever real-world bitcoin transaction took place. Lazlo Hanyecz bought two pizzas for 10,000 bitcoins the equivalent of $90 million at today's prices

Lazlo Hanyecz

Bitcoin soon gained notoriety for its use on the dark web. The Silk Road marketplace, established in 2011, was the first of hundreds of sites to offer illegal drugs and services in exchange for bitcoin

On 29 October, 2013, the first ever bitcoin ATM was installed in a coffee shop in Vancouver, Canada. The machine allowed people to exchange bitcoins for cash

REUTERS/Dimitris Michalakis

The world's biggest bitcoin exchange, MtGox, filed for bankruptcy in February 2014 after losing almost 750,000 of its customers bitcoins. At the time, this was around 7 per cent of all bitcoins and the market inevitably crashed

Getty Images

In 2015, Australian police raided the home of Craig Wright after the entrepreneur claimed he was Satoshi Nakamoto. He later rescinded the claim

Getty Images

On 1 August, 2017, an unresolvable dispute within the bitcoin community saw the network split. The fork of bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology spawned a new cryptocurrency: Bitcoin cash

REUTERS

Towards the end of 2017, the price of bitcoin surged to almost $20,000. This represented a 1,300 per cent increase from its price at the start of the year

Reuters

In the early 2010s it was only a core group of cypherpunks and cryptography enthusiasts that really understood bitcoins potential but its semi-anonymous nature meant it soon found use among drug dealers and cyber criminals on the dark web.

After a brief price surge in 2012 it began to gain more widespread recognition and by late 2017 it was making frontpage headlines of its own as its market capitalisation briefly exceed $300 billion more than the entire GDPof over 140 countries.

Some warned at the time that the phenomenal price growth was the result of a bubble and, sure enough, it eventually crashed. Throughout 2018 its value tumbledrepeatedly and sometimes spectacularly as naysayers pronounced its death and late investors lost millions.

By the start of 2019, a bitcoin was worth less than $4,000 and excitement forthe great economic experiment had subsided before any truly mass-market use cases had even been realised.

But it was far from over. As the decade draws to a close, news about new digital currency projects have begun to emerge from vast multi-national corporations like Facebook, to some of the worlds biggest economies.

With each positive news story about cryptocurrency, the price of bitcoin hasgrown, yet the volatility remains.For some, this unpredictability is one of the reasons it can never achieve its potential as a mainstream form of currency.

Bitcoins first major price burst in 2013 was a small blip compared to subsequent price spikes of the 2010s (CoinMarketCap)

Sceptics remain and misconceptions of bitcoin being some kind ofmagic internet money with no inherent worth continue to dominate stale narratives about cryptocurrency.

Some cryptocurrency advocates point to the fact that, on the contrary, it is traditional currencies that can be created out of thin air through processes like quantitative easing. And while established currencies are no longer backed by gold or anything tangible, bitcoin has the blockchain to mathematically regulate a finite supply.

Nigel Green, CEO of London-based financial advisory firm deVere Group,claims cryptocurrencies areredefining and reshaping the financial systemand that critics are either ignoring, or simply not understanding, the promise they hold.

I would suggest that most people saying these things do not understand the crypto sector as it is relatively young and/or have vested interests in older, traditional ones, he tellsThe Independent.However, whether they like it or not, dyed-in-the-wool financial traditionalists need to accept that cryptocurrencies are here to stay.

What is cryptocurrency and the technology behind bitcoin and its rivals?

Bitcoin may have assured its place in history but its future remains uncertain.There have already been thousands of spin-offs there are currently 2,364 different cryptocurrencies listed on monitoring siteCoinMarketCap and some believe one of these will soon take its place as the dominant cryptocurrency.

Some of the more notable ones, like ethereum, ripple and bitcoin cash, offer something slightly different to bitcoin, such asquicker transaction times or greater anonymity.

Yet it is the pseudo cryptocurrencies being developed by countries and companies that could see the most mainstream success over the coming decade. They will not be decentralised and will likely be tools to track users rather than provide privacy, but they will solve two of the biggest problems: trust and stability.

Cryptocurrencies have arguably been the radical fintech innovation of the decade. But while the 2010s has been an exploratory phase introducing the concepts of cryptocurrencies and blockchain to the world the 2020s will be the decade for innovation and application, Christel Quek, co-founder of cryptocurrency company Bolt, tellsThe Independent.

Beyond new currencies inspired by bitcoin, a whole new industry is forming from its underlying blockchain technology. At its core, it provides an immutable andunhackableplatform for storing and transacting digital assets and records, meaningit could potentiallytransform everything from healthcare to the food industry.

Bitcoins underlying blockchain technology is set to transform dozens of industries (Gartner)

FelixShipkevich, a New York-based lawyer with expertise in blockchain regulations, says the technology "has the power to change the world for the better" by providing a new standard for accountability and trust.

Bitcoin has not only brought blockchain into existence, it has challengedregulatory obstacles that stand in the way of this new wave of applications being realised.

Cryptocurrencies have given rise to regulators acceptance of digital cash and fintech products and services that are both novel and progressive," Shipkevich tellsThe Independent. "Weve seen greater acceptance by regulators versus total rejection.

"We saw this happen in China, where crypto trading was strictly prohibited, but are now announcing the use of blockchain technology as a major government and fiscal technology initiative.

Thousands of cryptocurrencies have emerged in the 2010s, and more will certainly follow in the 2020s(Getty)

The 2010s may have been defined by bitcoin but the next 10 years will dictate which cryptocurrency truly takes off and emerges to rival traditional currencies.

It would be foolish to write-off bitcoin - its death has been pronounced more than 350 times in the press, according to a website tracking "bitcoin obituaries"- but its flaws could see it become simply a store of value rather than a mainstream form of exchange.

Much like MySpace and Bebo were usurped by Facebook in the early days of social media, another cryptocurrency could come along to take bitcoin's crown as the most popular cryptocurrency - maybe even Facebook's Libra.

If this happens, predictions about bitcoin's price reaching $500,000 or even $1 million over the next few years will appear wildly ambitious. Then again, it has proved its doubters wrong more than once before.

Cyber security pioneer and bitcoin believer John McAfee made a bold bet about the cryptocurrencys future (Twitter)

At the start of the decade, bitcoin was worth just $0.03. It will likely close out the 2010s somewhere north of $7,000.

Another Great Recession could cause enough of a seismic shift in the established order for bitcoin's price to rocket once again and for Satoshi Nakamotos vision to finally be realised.

Or it could continue its steady yet chaotic climb to achieve mainstream successthrough favourable regulation and greater commercial acceptance, which has been quietly underway over the last decade.

It may have been born out of despair but it enters the new decade full of hope.

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Now Is One of the Top 3 Greatest Buying Opportunities for Bitcoin: Analyst – CCN.com

The top analysts on Crypto Twitter (CT) are seeing a bloody Christmas for bitcoin. Many widely-followed accounts are predicting a price drop to between $6,000 and $5,000. If theyre right, then bitcoin is headed for another 30% plunge after already retracing by nearly 50% from this years high of $13,880.

These traders have amassed huge followings because they present scenarios that are likely to play out. But they dont always get it right. Its worthwhile to find gems or exceptional analysts who have a few hundred followers. They dont get a lot of attention because some of them present contrarian ideas. One of them is Riggs; the quant analyst boldly claims that the recent bitcoin dip is a gift to bitcoin holders.

What a time, thats how Riggs ended his tweet about bitcoin that has garnered close to 900 likes. Those concluding words indicate the analysts level of confidence. According to Riggs, the number one cryptocurrency is at a price level that looks extremely attractive. The trader emphasized that there were only two other instances in bitcoins history that offered the same buying opportunity.

To drive his claim, the trader points to the beginning of the 2013 and 2017 bull markets. In both periods, bitcoin had just risen from a crippling bear market.

The surge in price was then followed by a significant pullback. The three arrows on the chart point to the instances when the price touched the green indicator. Those moments appear to mark the end of the retracement.

These times offered the best chances to enter the market before the top cryptocurrency went into the stratosphere. They seem to have offered minimum risks and maximum growth opportunities.

The quant analyst is not only relying on charts to argue his ultra bullish case. The trader also mentioned upheavals around the world that might spark demand for the dominant cryptocurrency. In a tweet, Riggs wrote,

Millions already need BTC to survive, to send money to their families, to preserve their wealth.

Trader Riggs bolsters his assertions by plotting a chart of bitcoins supply and demand over time. Based on the chart, demand for bitcoin would plummet before we enter 2020. However, it will eventually pick up and then skyrocket towards the end of 2020.

On the other hand, supply would take a nosedive next year. This is somewhat accurate because the May 2020 halving would decrease block rewards by half.

Trader Riggs presents a compelling bullish narrative but its still wise to practice risk management strategies to protect your capital. Think about setting stops in accordance to your risk appetite. You can also consider buying other assets.

Mati Greenspan, founder of Quantum Economics, echoes these sentiments. When asked if bitcoins price is a godsend to long-term holders, the trader told CCN,

No, bitcoin is a risky asset.

The analyst added,

As it seems to me at the moment it could be undervalued. But Ive been wrong before. Any investment in emerging technology comes with a great deal of risk, which is why we continuously research and always diversify.

After a 50% bitcoin retracement, Riggs tells us that its time to buy despite the warnings of many big CT accounts. Only time will tell whos right.

Disclaimer: The above should not be considered trading advice from CCN. The writer owns bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

This article was edited by Sam Bourgi.

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Billionaire Ray Dalio on Bitcoin and Stablecoins: Possibly Never – U.Today

Ray Dalio, a legendary investor, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, and author of the bestseller "Principles", sat down yesterday with Lex Fridman to discuss technology and economics. In Mr. Fridman's Artificial Intelligence Podcast, Mr. Dalio gave his outlook on the usage of Bitcoin (BTC) and stablecoins.

When asked by Mr. Fridman about the digital currency in a "post-state", Mr. Dalio criticized BTC for several reasons. He refused to recognize BTC as an effective medium of value because it's difficult to buy or sell real world items. Due to its enormous volatility, BTC also cannot be utilized as a tool for savings or any kind of storage value.

The only time that BTC was not critiqued was when Mr. Dalio admitted that the cryptocurrency was utilized as a means of speculation by trading and investment veterans. Such speculations result in volatility that eliminate all of BTC's macroeconomics.

Ray Dalio was much more optimistic about stablecoins. He said that they could be utilized as a medium of exchange. Starting from Facebook's Libra, stablecoins could be useful financially for remittances.

In distant future, Mr. Dalio suggests that it will be possible to obtain a "better form of money" that is not controlled by central banks. Obviously, this will pose a threat to governmental bodies in terms of their power. Governments and banks will resist this temptation, and the struggle for stablecoins will be extremely exhaustive. According Mr. Dalio's outlook on the prospects for stablecoin adoption:

It will be very long time. Possibly - never, but anyway, very long time,

It is not the first time that the dialogue with Lex Fridman have resulted in frank admissions by the IT and economic giants. As reported recently on U.Today, the Father of C++ Bjarne Stroustrup said that he deeply regrets the existence of BTC.

What do you think? When will stablecoins replace central banks? Share your predictions with us on Twitter!

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Bitcoin (BTC) gets $500 more expensive in a matter of minutes. Whales behind the move? – FXStreet

Bitcoin (BTC) jumps to $7,770 in a matter of minutes ahead of the US opening. While the coin has retreated to $7,575 by the time of writing, it is still 3.5% higher from the start of the day. All major altcoins follow the lead of the crypto No. 1.

The fundamental reasons for the sharp growth are not readily available, though, a large whale transaction form an unknown wallet to OKEx may have something to do with it.

The whale-alert spotted the transaction and reported in on Twitter:

70,009,991 USDT (70,237,853 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Okex.

Meanwhile, from a technical point of view, we will need to see a daily close above $7,350 to claim that the short-term picture has improved. The next barrier is created by the middle line of the daily Bollinger Band at $7,700, followed by $8,000.

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The Cryptocurrency Market Update: Bitcoin is in recovery mode ahead of the weekend – FXStreet

The cryptocurrency market has recovered from the recent sell-off; however, the further upside in major coins looks to be limited in the short run Bitcoin and all major altcoins are mostly range-bound during early Asian hours, with marginal gains registered on a day-to-day basis. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization increased to $201 billion from $196 billion this time on Thursday; an average daily trading volume stayed retreated to $59 billion. Bitcoin's market share settled at 66.9%.

BTC/USD is hovering around $7,400 during early Asian hours; This area is packed with technical levels, which makes it hard to break. Once it happens, the upside may gain traction with the next focus on $7,700 and the recent high of $7,700. On the downside, thee coin is supported by a confluence of SMA50 (Simple Moving Average), SMA100 and the lower line of the Bollinger Band 1-hour clustered on approach to $7,300.

Ethereum is struggling to settle above $148.00; however, with little success so far. At the time of writing, ETHUSD is changing hands at $147.98, which is 2% higher from this time on Thursday and unchanged since the beginning of the day. The initial support awaits us at $147.00. It is reinforced by SMA50 1-hour and the lower line of 1-hour Bollinger Band. The upside is limited by $148.00 and $148.70 (the upper border of 4-hour Bollinger Band). Once it is out of the way, $150.00 will come back into focus.

Ripple's XRP topped at $0.2268 late on Thursday but failed to hold the ground. At the time of writing, XRP/USD is changing hands at $0.2210, unchanged since the beginning of Friday, with over 3.5% gains on a day-to-day basis. The initial support is created by a psychological $0.2200. However, we will need to see a sustainable move below $0.2170 (SMA200 1-hour) for the sell-off to gain traction. The resistance is created by a $0.2260-0.2270 area that includes the recent high and the upper line of 1-hour Bollinger Band.

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The Cryptocurrency Market Update: Bitcoin is in recovery mode ahead of the weekend - FXStreet

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Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky – newsBTC

If youve been a crypto investor or traded Bitcoin at all during 2019, chances are youve heard repeated discussion surrounding the gaps on Bitcoin futures charts offered by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

But what are gaps? And are these gaps nothing more than hype, or is the validity in taking trades based on the location of these gaps? One crypto analyst has set out to find out and has done a deep dive into the statistics of CME futures gaps and their correlation in the crypto market.

Cryptocurrencies are an always-on, 24/7, 365 days a year market. However, traditional trading desks like CME Group offer weekday trading sessions. If Bitcoin makes a powerful weekend move, and it often does as liquidity tends to be the lowest on weekends while traders are away from their desks, it can leave a gap between Fridays late evening close and Mondays morning open.

Related Reading | Bah Humbug! If Bitcoin Bulls Cant Reclaim $7,800 Its Coal For Christmas

Gaps commonly appear on the price charts of financial assets, when the assets price deviates significantly from a trading periods close to when trading resumes. Gaps are even more common in speculative assets where extreme emotions like fear or exuberance can push the price higher or lower than normal market fluctuations.

Bitcoin CME futures gaps have become a sort of a meme across the cryptocurrency industry, with many analysts balking at any claims of validity, while others swear by the trading strategy and set orders near where gaps need to be filled.

One particular cryptocurrency analyst decided to get to the bottom of if CME gaps were a helpful tool to assist traders with taking positions or predicting price movements, or if they are nothing more than a meme.

The analyst says that not all gaps are filled, and some take weeks before closing, however, as much as 95% of the gaps analyzed eventually were filled.

Taking the data a few steps further, the analyst found that over 50% of Bitcoin CME futures gaps were filled on the day of the new trading session open, with 30% of the remaining gaps filled later during that weeks session. Fewer and fewer gaps are closed the further the time goes by.

The largest gap on the chart was a $1,085 price move or 12.47% of Bitcoins price at the time, and the smallest gap was just $5. The average gap difference was $225, or 2.87%.

Related Reading | Bitcoin To Spend 2020 In Accumulation Mode, Ideal Buy Zone

The data is certainly encouraging that theres correlation for Bitcoin traders to take advantage of, however, the analyst says that had each of the 100 gaps analyzed had been traded, the trades would have been stopped out 53 out of 100 times, making the strategy a losing one, even despite the 95% certainty in which gaps are filled.

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Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps Are Filled With 95% Certainty, But Trading Them Is Risky - newsBTC

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