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‘Enormous Wall of Money’ Coming Into Bitcoin, Price to Reach $1 Million in 5 Years, Says Raoul Pal – Bitcoin News

Macro strategist Raoul Pal says the price of bitcoin will reach $1 million in five years. He attributes the price increase to adoption by large pools of investors and the enormous wall of money coming into bitcoin, rather than because the world is collapsing.

Former hedge fund manager Raoul Pal shared his view on the economy, gold, and bitcoin last week in a podcast interview with Daniela Cambone of Stansberry Research. Pal previously co-managed the GLG Global Macro Fund in London after departing Goldman Sachs where he co-managed the hedge fund sales business in Equities and Equity Derivatives in Europe. He then founded Global Macro Investor and Real Vision Group.

The economy is not going to recover for a lot longer than we expect, he began. Theres no stimulus around and weve got more problems to come in Europe, the U.S. and elsewhere. And businesses dont have enough cash flow, theyre closing in droves and thats what I called the insolvency phase. The former hedge fund manager added, The only answer is more from the central banks, so thats why I started to buy more and more bitcoin.

His portfolio used to be equally distributed between U.S. dollars, gold, equities, and bitcoin. However, he revealed during the podcast that his bitcoin allocation is probably above 50% now. While acknowledging that this BTC allocation exposes him to a 50% downside, he said it is ok for him because the upside is so much bigger.

Pal explained that he has reduced his cash holdings and put the funds into bitcoin. My trading positions are relatively small because I dont think theres as much opportunity as the room is in bitcoin. So really, mainly a bit of cash, some gold, and bitcoin. And Im even toying with the idea of selling my gold to buy more bitcoin, the founder of Global Macro Investor shared, elaborating:

I dont dislike gold but when you get to the macro opportunity if bitcoin starts breaking out of these patterns that its been forming, it is going to massively outperform gold. Im 100% sure of that so in which case why would I have the gold allocation.

The former Goldman Sachs manager clarified that he is not fearful of hyperinflation, default or anything else, adding that he is interested in people adopting a different monitoring unit for their savings and reserve assets.

Pal has a bullish forecast on the price of bitcoin, predicting that it will be $1 million within five years. He explained:

Its going to be not because the world is collapsing [but] its because theres gonna be adoption by the real large pools of capital.

He sees bitcoin adoption happening in waves, starting with retail and moving into hedge funds. However, he noted: We are not there yet. You cant prime broke bitcoin assets but thats coming. Were starting to see family offices in the space. Next is the institutions, the endowments, the pension plans, and within that youll find some government suddenly say we have allocated 5% in bitcoin. He believes that it will be a country such as Nicaragua or one with constant problems of currency devaluation. When that happens, he says it will be another huge story, much like the story of Microstrategy moving $425 million treasury reserve into bitcoin.

Emphasizing that the pipes arent there to allow large institutional investors to invest in bitcoin yet, he said, but thats coming its on everybodys radar screen and theres a lot of smart people working on it. Pal further shared:

From what I know, from all of the institutions, [and] all of the people I speak to, theres an enormous wall of money coming into this.

Do you agree with Pal? Let us know in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Blockchain Bites: Bitcoin on Ethereum The Whos, Whats and Whys – CoinDesk – CoinDesk

Since January, over$1.5 billionworth ofbitcoinhas been tokenized into ERC-20 tokens to use in the emerging decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem on Ethereum. These DeFi applications offer an increasingly large array of potential use cases for bitcoin investors looking for alternative ways to issue loans or make trades on new exchange platforms.

Tokenizing bitcoin serves as a bridge between these two leading cryptocurrency communities and an important step forward for traders and investors taking advantage of the features offered by both blockchains. Through tokenized bitcoin projects, the powerful monetary properties of bitcoin can be leveraged in the ever-growing collection of Ethereum-based cryptocurrency applications.

CoinDesk is preparing for theinvest: ethereum economyvirtual event on Oct. 14 with a special series of newsletters focused on Ethereum's past, present and future.Every day until the eventthe team behind Blockchain Bites will dive into an aspect of Ethereum that excites or confuses us. Today's intro is written by CoinDesk reporter Zack Voell.

Tokenized bitcoin also revives an age-old discussion on the merits of decentralization versus convenience. Some projects like Thesis tBTC project prioritizes decentralization while others, like the industry-leading wrapped bitcoin (WBTC) project by BitGo emphasizes convenience through a central custodian for all tokenized coins.

To date, seven different projects offer bitcoin tokenization services, and that list is likely to grow along with demand for more bitcoin-backed ERC-20 tokens. As the amount of tokenized bitcoin grows, the importance of each projects security and reliability becomes even more important as does the continued development of Ethereum-based applications that pique the interest of tokenized bitcoin holders.

Its a topic of conversation likely to be covered by CoinList and BitGo representatives when speaking on the virtual panel Unlocked: BTC on Eth: Having Your Cake and Eating It, Too atinvest: ethereum economythis coming Wednesday.

Featured panel

The Fees Are Too Damn High: DeFi Pushes Ethereum to Its LimitEthereum has delivered many mind-boggling innovations some by design, others out of necessity. With DeFi pushing the ecosystem, existing infrastructure is being maxed out. Can Eth 2.0 address these pain points? Is this the opportunity for so-called Eth Killers?

MakerDAOs Rune Christensen will assess this critical fork in the road along with representatives from NEAR Protocol and Framework Ventures at invest: ethereum economy. Tune into The Fees Are Too Damn High: DeFi Pushes Ethereum to Its Limit, on Oct. 14 starting at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Ethereum 101

To the surprise of many, bitcoin has been a breakout star in Ethereums decentralized finance (DeFi) moment. Taking the form of wrapped or tokenized bitcoin, the digital asset takes the best of both blockchains bitcoins price value and brand along with Ethereums programmability into one highly in-demand token.

CoinDesk tech reporter Will Foxleybreaks down the mechanics behind these tokenized versionsas well as the reasons investors would want to trade representations of BTC on a competing blockchain.

Why use tokenized BTC?

What bitcoin on Ethereum does is simple: It provides liquidity for growing decentralized exchanges (DEX), such as Uniswap. Bitcoins current market cap is five times larger than the second largest cryptocurrency,ether(ETH). That money can be put to use making more money.

Tokenized bitcoin allows investors to bring large amounts of value over to the Ethereum network and its young DEX market in a few clicks.

DeFi is considered vastly immature when compared to traditional or centralized exchange (CEX) markets. This can be seen in the large price spreads between orders on exchange books between different DeFi markets.

Price differences on markets can be exploited by traders in what is called arbitrage opportunities.

Wrapped bitcoin is often the asset of choice for investors seeking arbitrage. Bitcoin packs a large punch in terms of price value. More money on DeFi trading platforms makes the markets themselves stronger as additional buying and selling options are presented.

But tokenizing bitcoin isnt without risks, particularly software risk. Investors who want exposure to bitcoins liquidity pay higher interest rates to cover the risk of losing an asset in addition to getting exposure to the first cryptocurrencies liquidity.

Security of bitcoin investmentsFor tokenized bitcoin, security boils down to the type of custodianship and if the investment is collateralized. Three major models exist: a centralized firm like BitGo; a smart contract system with collateral, such as tBTC; or a complete, synthetic-asset backing employed by sBTC.

BitGos centralized model requires users to give the custodian BTC to receive an ERC-20 token-equivalent of BTC in return. That ERC-20 can then be sold on secondary markets or plugged into a DeFi application to earn yield.

Keep Networks tBTC, which launched last month, is similar to WBTC but replaces the centralized BitGo model with a network of nodes, wallets and smart contracts. This network aims at bringing more decentralization to BitGos process by allowing both parties the bitcoin depositor and custodian to interact trustlessly through software.

A few features make this possible, such as the bitcoin depositors being able to choose who holds their bitcoin and a 150% security bond (held in ETH) pledged by the custodians on the off-chance they run to the hills with the deposits.

Rens rBTC works in a similar manner to tBTCs node network by having the Ren Virtual Machine, RenVM, act as a trustless agent between the Bitcoin and Ethereum blockchains.

Lastly, sBTC is an ERC-20 version of bitcoin. But this time its backed by another token, the Synthetix Network Token (SNX). Each sBTC is not backed by BTC, but 800% of a BTCs value in SNX, the token for minting synthetic assets (Syns) on the Synthetix DEX.

The future of tokenized assetsThe wild success of BitGos WBTC and WETH (wrapped ether) may lead to more constructions of other coin holdings. Ben Chan, CTO at WBTC co-creator BitGo, told Coindesk in August that the firm was looking at wrapping other cryptocurrencies.

WBTCs 2020 success has largely been thanks to DeFi, he said.

What weve seen this year is that WBTC traction has been largely thanks to the highly composable DeFi industry, Chan said.

The ledger

CoinDesk Chief Content Officer Michael Casey took on thetheme of wrapped bitcoin in his weekly newsletter,Money Reimagined, last June. According to Casey, tokenized bitcoins bring not only value and legitimacy to a burgeoning decentralized financial ecosystem, but also security.

Likewise, Ethereum provides a clear path towards returns for tokenized bitcoin users, willing to take on extra risk.

DeFi double act

Tensions between the Bitcoin and Ethereum tribes have been stirred by a trend outsiders might see as a sign of harmony. Beneath the rivalry that plays out primarily on Crypto Twitter, the bitcoin-on-Ethereum trend says more about complementarity than competition.

The growth of tokenized representations of BTC highlights that bitcoin is the crypto universes reserve asset and that Ethereums burgeoning DeFi ecosystem is cryptos go-to platform for generating credit and facilitating fluid exchange.

Real-world parallelsThis trend captures the early beginnings of a new, decentralized global financial system. An analogy: Bitcoin is the dollar, and Ethereum is SWIFT, the international network that coordinates cross-border payments among banks. (Since Ethereum is trying to do much more than payments, we could also cite a number of other organizations in this analogy, such as the International Swaps and Derivatives Association or the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation.)

So, lets dismiss claims like those of Ethhub.io co-founder Anthony Sassano. He argued that because bitcoin token transactions on Ethereum deny miners fees they would otherwise receive on the bitcoin chain, bitcoin is becoming a second-class citizen to ether. Youd hardly expect people in countries where dollars are preferred to the local currency to think of the former as second class. And just as the U.S. benefits from overseas demand for dollars via seigniorage or interest-free loans bitcoin holders benefit from its sought-after liquidity and collateral value in the Ethereum ecosystem, where it lets them extract premium interest.

Still, to declare bitcoin the winner based on its appeal as a reserve asset is to compare apples to oranges. Ether is increasingly viewed not as a payment or store-of-value currency but for what it was intended: as a commodity that fuels the decentralized computing network orchestrating its smart contracts.

That network now sustains its financial system, a decentralized microcosm of the massive traditional one. It takes tokenized versions of the underlying currencies that users most value (whether bitcoin or fiat) and provides disintermediated mechanisms for lending or borrowing them or for creating decentralized derivative or insurance contracts. Whats emerging, albeit in a form too volatile for traditional institutions, is a multifaceted, market for managing and trading in risk.

This system is being fueled by a global innovation and development pool bigger than Bitcoins. As of June of last year, there were 1,243 full-time developers working on Ethereum compared with 319 working on Bitcoin Core, according to a report by Electric Capital. While that work is spread across multiple projects, the size of its community gives Ethereum the advantage of network effects.

Whether DeFi can shed its Wild West feel and mature sufficiently for mainstream adoption, the code and ideas generated by these engineers are laying the foundation for whatever regulated or unregulated blockchain-based finance models emerge in the future.

Complexity vs. simplicityThere are legitimate concerns about security on Ethereum. With such a complex system, and so many different programs running on it, the attack surface is large. And given the challenges the community faces in migrating to Ethereum 2.0, including a new proof-of-stake consensus mechanism and a sharding solution for scaling transactions, its still not assured it will ever be ready for prime time.

Indeed, the relative lack of complexity is one reason why many feel more comfortable with Bitcoin Cores security. Bitcoin is a one-trick pony, but it does that trick keeping track of unspent transaction outputs, or UTXOs very well and very securely. Its proven security is a key reason why bitcoin is cryptos reserve asset.

Toward anti-fragilityThe inclusion of bitcoin in Ethereum smart contracts is inherently strengthening the DeFi system.

Decentralized exchanges (DEXs), which allow peer-to-peer crypto trading without centralized exchange (CEX) taking custody of your assets, have integrated WBTC into their markets to boost the liquidity needed to make them viable.

Meanwhile, the move by leading DeFi platform MakerDAO to include WBTC last spring in its accepted collateral has meant it has a bigger pool of value to generate loans against.

This expansion in DeFis user base and market offerings is in itself a boost to security. Thats not just because more developers means more code vulnerabilities are discovered and fixed. Its because the combinations of investors short and long positions, and of insurance and derivative products, will ultimately get closer to Nassim Talebs ideal of an antifragile system.

Thats not to say there arent risks in DeFi. Many are worried that the frenzy around speculative activities such as yield farming and interconnected leverage could set off a systemic crisis.

If that happens, maybe Bitcoin can offer an alternative, more stable architecture for it. Either way, ideas to improve DeFi are coming all the time whether for better system-wide data or for a more trustworthy legal framework.

Out of this hurly-burly, something transformative will emerge. Whether its dominated by Ethereum or spread across different blockchains, the end result will show more cross-protocol synergy than the chains warring communities would suggest.

At stake

Matt Luongo, founder of cryptocurrency venture production studio Thesis, wrote an op-ed discussing the similarities between stacking sats and decentralized finance. While hardnose bitcoiners may see DeFi as a distraction,Luongo thinks they should rethink their assertions.The article, published Oct. 1, is excerpted below.

Staking sats?

Bitcoins usefulness and grounding as hard money set it apart from most of the crypto froth from the past several years. The ocean of Ethereum white papers produced has yielded comparatively few working projects, and even fewer that anyone outside the crypto world would call usable.

Regardless of Bitcoins advantages, I am on record saying that I am a monetary maximalist, not a Bitcoin maximalist. I believe finance is a human right, just like speech and assembly, and that we need a fair and transparent financial system that empowers individuals, not powerful middlemen. So while I believe in the soundness of Bitcoin and its ability to help reshape finance, I will support any project that furthers this ultimate vision for a new economic system.

The fact that Ethereum is not Bitcoin, that it has consistently driven hype and bubbles, and that it still has not found a workable long-term solution for scalability, does not mean it offers nothing of value. In fact, Ethereums top DeFi platforms are doing some truly exciting and innovative work, and they have the promise to further the cause of a decentralized future of money.

MakerDAO operates like a credit facility, driving liquidity and encouraging more lending when interest rates are low. Compound, with its developer-focused interest rate protocols, enables the savings and loan functions of traditional banks. In more arcane spheres, projects like Synthetix offer a version of derivatives trading. Together, these platforms represent the germ of a new financial system.

Projects with names like $YAM and $TENDIES do not inspire confidence, I know. But dig a little into what DeFi is and does, and the foundations that have been laid, and youll be pleasantly surprised. DeFi is very real, and its worth exploring and explaining.

Stacking sats is about steadily, gradually, doggedly accumulating wealth over time. And DeFi is in the same spirit when properly implemented (never a sure thing in the Ethereum community). Its basic finance: DeFi lets people do things they already do through banks, mutual funds and other financial institutions. But done right, it offers these services in a way thats fairer, more transparent and more rewarding. So its not an exaggeration to say that DeFi is an ally in achieving a vision it shares with Bitcoin: a trustless world of democratized, self-sovereign finance.

It would be myopic and self-defeating to ignore the potential of DeFi to advance a goal that is, after all, shared by all of us. It would be even more self-defeating to ignore real opportunities to put money to work, like when theres a way for BTC holders to earn through cross-chain bridges like tBTC.

As Bitcoiners, we will always believe in the importance of sound money and in the Bitcoin blockchain as the best technology to facilitate it. There is plenty of risk in Ethereum and in DeFi. Potential investors must always do their due diligence. But Im here to tell you that DeFi is for real. Its a bubble, but its not just another bubble. And although there absolutely are DeFi platforms that will crash and burn, many of the concepts are sound. There are real opportunities for people to earn by putting their money to work and where thats true, investment and growth will follow.

Top shelf

Extortion claimsLocal government premises in Japan have beenhit by a flood of extortion attempts demanding bitcoin.According to a report by Japan Today on Monday, such threats have been received in at least 18 prefectures since July. The extortionists reportedly demand a payment in bitcoin to avoid the detonation of an explosive device in various public buildings, from schools to hospitals, though none of the Japanese victims have paid the extortionists, per Japan Today. Austria has also suffered a spate of similar bomb threats.

Compliance hireBitMEX, the cryptocurrency derivatives exchange recently charged by U.S. authorities, hashired an industry veteran to lead its compliance effortsgoing forward. In a blog post Monday, the exchanges operator 100x announced that experienced compliance officer Malcolm Wright will come aboard, reporting to the firms interim CEO and COO Vivien Khoo. This follows after news broke of a dual agency investigation into the firm for allegedly operating an unlicensed trading services.

Musk deniesElon Musk has thrown doubt on a claimed sighting of abitcoin ATM at the Tesla Gigafactoryin Nevada. Twitter user Will Reeves claimed on Sunday that he had just passed by and saw @elonmusk has a bitcoin ATM at the Gigafactory. The tweet was accompanied by a Google maps image revealing the location of the ATM on the northern side of the factory complex. Tesla founder and CEO Elon Musk said he didnt believe the claim was accurate in a tweet on Monday. Bitcoin ATM firm LibertyX confirmed with CoinDesk it has installed three traditional ATMs on site so employees can use their debit cards and buy bitcoin.

Little impactThe U.K. Financial Conduct Authoritys decision to ban individual investors from speculating on bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is likely to have aminimal impact, partly because the market is so small, according to analystsand industry executives who track the trading business. Some U.K.-based brokerages that had offered the crypto derivative products to retail traders could see a drop-off in revenue, though big cryptocurrency exchanges including Kraken say the impact is likely to be minimal. While U.K. individuals can still trade the actual cryptocurrencies.

Digital yuanChen Yulu, deputy governor of Chinas central bank, said in an article at the weekend that thedigital yuan project should form an independent and high-quality elementof the nations financial infrastructure, South China Morning Post reports. Chen added that R&D for the digital yuan should proceed at a faster pace, while pilots should show the CBDC is controllable and safeguards the security of payments. Last week, the city of Shenzhen, together with the central bank, launched a kind of lottery allowing local residents to apply for some of10 million digital yuan that will be handed out.

Quick bites

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First Mover: Privacy Is Litecoin’s Ace in the Hole as JPMorgan Touts Bitcoin – CoinDesk – CoinDesk

Litecoin(LTC), a nine-year-old cryptocurrency whose price returns have chronically underperformed the bigger and better-knownbitcoinin recent years, is hitching its wagon to a new star: privacy.

The blockchain industry subsector of privacy coins cryptocurrencies with embedded technology that shields identifying information from public view is becoming one of this years hottest buys. One of the biggest privacy coins,zcash(ZEC), which offers shielded transaction capabilities, has nearly tripled so far in 2020, whilemonero(XMR), which uses a technique called ring signatures to obscure sender and receiver data, has doubled.

Litecoin founder Charlie Lee told CoinDesk in an interview the project is now looking to adopt key privacy-enhancing features, which he sees as increasingly attractive to cryptocurrency users. The enhancements are already being tested, and an upgrade to the main network is scheduled for next year.If the effort succeeds, it might inject ajolt of enthusiasminto a project that has suffered from a lack of momentumin digital-asset markets. Litecoin is up 21% this year after a 38% gain in 2019, which pales in comparison to bitcoins 59% year-to-date gain and a 94% increase last year.

I want to make it so that users dont have to worry about giving up their financial privacy by using litecoin, Lee said. Even if youre not doing anything illegal, you dont want people to know how much money you have or what your paycheck is. Daniel CawreyRead More:In Effort to Differentiate, Litecoin Makes a Move to Privacy

Litecoin vs. bitcoin since start of 2019.

Bitcoin Watch

Bitcoin daily chart.

Bitcoin is hovering near $11,400 at press time, having snapped a six-day winning trend with a 1% drop on Tuesday.

Notably, the cryptocurrency formed an inside day candle on Tuesday, aborting the immediate bullish technical outlook. Inside day candle occurs when the cryptocurrency trades well within the preceding days high and low and indicates consolidation.

As such, Tuesdays high of $11,567 is now the level to beat for the bulls. A break above that level would signal a continuation of the recent rally and open the doors for resistances above $12,000.

Alternatively, acceptance under Tuesdays low of $11,314 would imply a bearish reversal and could yield deeper declines.

That said, the on-chain metrics favor a continued rally. The seven-day average of bitcoins hashrate or measure of the processing power dedicated to the blockchain rose to a record high of 144.29 exa hashes per second(quintillion hashes per second)on Tuesday, surpassing the previous peak of 143.19 EH/s observed on Sept. 18, according to data source Glassnode.

It indicates high miner confidence in the cryptocurrencys price prospects. Miners largely operate on cash and liquidate their BTC holdings to fund operations. As such, they are likely to dedicate more resources to the computer-intensive mining process if they are bullish on price.

Token Watch

Bitcoin (BTC):Giant money manager Fidelity pitches bitcoin asalternative investment.

Ether (ETH):Ethereums network upgrade (Eth 2.0) isexpected soonand could address scaling issues associated with its legacy platform.

What's Hot

JPMorgan calls Squares $50M bitcoin investment strong vote of confidence for the cryptocurrency (CoinDesk)

Bank of Russia seeks limit on amount of digital assets retail investors can buy (CoinDesk)

Blockchain could give $1.7T boost to global economy by 2030, PwC report says (CoinDesk)

New cVIX index tracks crypto market volatility (CoinDesk)

The saga of Blue Kirby shows DeFiers are a trusting lot, until theyre not (CoinDesk)

Coinbase chief compliance officer departs amid as CEOs apolitical stanceproves political (CoinDesk)

Nasdaq-listed Marathon Patent teams with Beowulf Energy to co-locate bitcoin mining facility in Montana (CoinDesk)

Lesson of third quarter is that crypto is still a retail dominated industry, The TIEs Joshua Frank writes (eToro/The TIE)

BitMEX charges show that days are gone when innovators could take a lackadaisical approach to regulatory and legal compliance (Arca)

Coin Metrics analysis maps BitMEX execs Arthur Hayes, Ben Delo and Samuel Reed to their respective withdrawal keys (Coin Metrics):

Chart showing which founder keys were used to authorize BitMEX withdrawals. At least three keys must be used on any given day to authorize withdrawals. Founder Key A is presumed to belong to Reed held Founder Key A, since he was arrested on Oct. 1. Key B is presumed to belong to Delo and C to Hayes.

Analogs

The latest on the economy and traditional finance

IMFs Tobias Adrian sees risk of sharp adjustment in asset prices or periodic bouts of volatility (IMF)

BlackRocks Larry Fink sees futurewithjust 50% of workers in offices (Bloomberg)

Argentine president says government has no intention of devaluing countrys currency (Bloomberg)

Chinese tech hub Shenzhen toyswith digital yuan pilot program (SCMP)

Interest rate cuts in U.S. and elsewhere have China buying hitherto unattractivegovernment bonds from Japan(CNBC)

Environmental, social and governance concerns could take toll onstock valuations, ValueActs Jeffrey Ubben says (Reuters)

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Hathor Merge Mining Pool Commands 33% of the Bitcoin Cash Hashrate – Bitcoin News

Bitcoin Cash proponents have been recently discussing a new mining entity with a large amount of hashrate joined the network. The merge mining operation called HathorMM currently captures 33% of the Bitcoin Cash hashrate and the miners are also mining Bitcoinsv as well.

The Bitcoin Cash (BCH) network currently has 2.77 exahash (EH/s) of SHA256 hashrate pointed at the chain and a new mining entity has joined the ranks. On October 11, a few members of the BCH community discussed the mining operation dubbed HathorMM and disclosed the project is a merge-mined network.

At the time of publication, the HathorMM operation commands 33% of todays BCH hashrate and 22% for the last seven days. The operation on Monday afternoon is currently the largest BCH mining pool in terms of hashrate according to Coin Dance stats.

The pool is a merge mining operation which means the miners can mine both bitcoin cash (BCH) and hathor (HTR). The Hathor Network website claims the project is a scalable and easy-to-use blockchain for digital assets. The communitys quick guide to mining HTR indicates that merged mining can be done with BCH, BSV, and DGB.

The guide highlights that the HTR mining pools are not managed by the Hathor team. The projects source code is available on Github and the Hathor mainnet launched on January 3, 2020.

The project recently published documents on Hathor Token Economics and there is currently 84,448,933 HTR circulating today. Market cap aggregators show that HTR is worth $0.321 per unit and theres around $79,000 worth of trade volume on Monday afternoon (ET). On September 25, 2020, HTR was trading for $0.058 which means its gained 540% in that timespan. It seems that HTR is only swapping on one exchange and is paired against BTC on the trading platform Qtrade.

Meanwhile, the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) network upgrade is expected to happen in 34 days on November 15. BCH community members have been discussing the HathorMM pool because theres been a number of empty blocks mined in recent days. The founder of General Protocols and BCHN developer John Nieri (emergent_reasons) explained that the Hathor Network creators have nothing to do with the merged mining pools.

General Protocols and BCHN have been working to sort the situation out, Nieri detailed in the thread concerning Hathor. FYI There are four main Hathor merge mining outputs. Three of them mine regular blocks with relatively low hashrate. We have not been able to get in touch with them yet but will make another attempt this week. One of them mines empty blocks with a high hashrate. We are pretty sure we have identified which pool this is and working on communicating with them to make sure they are aware of issues in November.

Hathor merge mining is also represented on the Bitcoinsv (BSV) network as HathorMM captured over 4% of the BSV hashrate during the last seven days. On Monday afternoon, the Hathor-based merge mining on BSV is roughly 3.47%.

What do you think about the merge mining operation mining alongside Bitcoin Cash miners? Let us know what you think in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons, Coin Dance Bitcoin Cash Blocks Data,

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Cashfusion Use Increased by 328%, $200M in BCH Fused and Close to 20,000 Fusions | Privacy – Bitcoin News

Cashfusion, the privacy-enhancing solution for the Bitcoin Cash network is nearing its one-year anniversary and during the last four months, fusions have increased by 328.93%. The protocol recently completed a security audit and fusions are nearing 20k with close to $200 million worth of bitcoin cash fused to-date.

On November 28, 2020, the Cashfusion protocol for the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) network will celebrate a milestone of one year operating so far. At the time of publication, stats from the web portal stats.devzero.be/#/fusion shows approximately 19,658 fusions have been processed since last November.

Four months ago, news.Bitcoin.com reported on the protocol exceeding $9 million worth of BCH fused and 4,583 fusions. Current data reveals that Cashfusion usage has jumped 328.93% since that report.

The increase in Cashfusion use jumped a great deal after the protocol completed a security audit from Kudelski Security. Alongside this, Cashfusion participation also increased when fusion tiers were expanded from 0.82 BCH to 8.2 BCH. The expansion allows for 10x a larger amount of bitcoin cash to be fused. Moreover, theres been 791,310 BCH fused to-date and using todays exchange rate thats $193 million worth of bitcoin cash.

Bitcoin Cash proponents are big fans of the Cashfusion protocol as they believe the software is more advanced than traditional coinjoin practices. For instance, data analyst James Waugh tested Cashfusion with thousands of transactions and found fusing is far more practical than other coinjoin methods. Waugh sifted through a number of transaction inputs and outputs and realized that its not possible to establish a concrete link between them.

This is because Cashfusion developers opted to remove the equal amount requirement traditionally found in coinjoin inputs and outputs. In a published a paper called Analyzing the Combinatoric Math in Cashfusion, Electron Cash developer Jonald Fyookball explains the process in great detail.

When James Waugh tested the claims of combinatorial anonymity and said that its impossible to determine the true way that inputs and outputs truly relate (since there are multiple possible combinations of ways of getting the inputs and outputs to balance).

In addition to the Cashfusion action rising, BCH supporters are still leveraging the Cashshuffle protocol as well. Cashshuffle was launched in March 2019 and also completed a security audit from Kudelski Security.

The web portal stats.cash/#/shuffle shows theres been 60,614 shuffles using Cashshuffle since its inception. In mid-September, shuffles dropped a bunch as more users started flocking to the Cashfusion protocol since the security audit and fusion tiers were expanded. Still, 271,962 BCH has been shuffled worth $66.5 million today.

What do you think about the Cashfusion protocols milestones after a year? Let us know what you think in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Cashfusion Use Increased by 328%, $200M in BCH Fused and Close to 20,000 Fusions | Privacy - Bitcoin News

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The Silk Road Balance Sheet Discrepancy: Bitcoin Worth $4.8 Billion Still Missing | Featured – Bitcoin News

The original Silk Road marketplace has been shut down for well over seven years now and to this day, 444,000 bitcoin worth $4.8 billion is still missing. Just recently, a report focused on those funds discusses one of the markets biggest mysteries and how people have seemingly forgotten about this massive stash.

A number of people understand that the Silk Road marketplace was shut down by global law enforcement (LE) in October 2013 and LE subsequently arrested Ross Ulbricht shortly after. Individuals are also familiar with the 173,991 BTC ($1.9B) from the Silk Road coins that were seized and later auctioned by the U.S. Marshalls.

However, the public is not wholly aware of the estimated 444,000 BTC ($4.8B) missing from the Silk Road and a recent study from mysteryarchive.com discusses the lost coins at length.

What many people dont know about the Silk Road story, is that the balance sheet does not add up, and everybody just seems to be okay with this fact, the mysteryarchive.com report notes. The author further adds:

Generally speaking, you dont close a case with $4.8B just unaccounted for and this remains the Silk Roads greatest mystery as nobody can answer this simple question.

The findings discuss how the U.S. federal agents managed to seize the 173k BTC and that its quite possible the rest of the funds were stored on another computer. 144k BTC out of the seized stash was found on Ulbrichts laptop, which gave LE full access to the Mastermind dashboard and a list of SR payroll expenses from 2011 to 2013.

Mysteryarchive.com stresses that another computer seems likely, as it is common practice to not put all your wealth in one place. The report is not the only account of the hundreds of thousands of Silk Road BTC still missing from the darknet marketplace.

In 2015, news.Bitcoin.com shared an account from the alleged Silk Road mentor, Variety Jones, who told a tale about an estimated 300,000 to 400k BTC stash. According to Jones, a rogue FBI agent dubbed Diamond was harassing him with an attempt to obtain the hoard of Silk Road coins LE never seized.

My back of the envelope calculations for SR [Silk Road] show that there was easily close to 400,000 BTC that wasnt accounted for yet, Jones wrote at the time. I certainly dont have it, its gotta be somewhere, and Diamond (the rogue FBI agent) is certainly willing to move heaven and earth to get the passphrase for it.

Jones had said the rogue LE official was trying to extort him and the agent was also making an average of $1,000,000 a month, committing felonies with wild abandon, just because he can. Variety Jones, whose real name is Roger Clark, was arrested in Thailand in December 2015.

Oddly enough, Clark wasnt charged for his association with the Silk Road (SR) or his crimes until the end of January 2020. Moreover, two rogue federal agents working with the SR investigation stole thousands of bitcoins acting as double agents.

The recent report details that the missing stash of hundreds of thousands of SR bitcoins may have been lost during the Mt Gox breach. A number of studies over the years have shown a great deal of bitcoins from the darknet marketplace might have found their way into the now-defunct Mt Gox exchange.

Alongside this, Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) agent Jared Der-Yeghiayan discovered interesting connections between Mt Gox and the SR marketplace. A summary of Der-Yeghiayans account was published on Freeross.org in a story called Silk Road Case: The Real, Untold Story.

Der-Yeghiayan had identified multiple accounts belonging to the Silk Road operators that contained bitcoins worth millions of U.S. dollars, the Untold Story studys author notes.

The crypto community may never find out where this stash of BTC went, and can only speculate on how much really went missing. The mysteryarchive.com report concludes that it is noteworthy that Mark Karpeles (CEO of Mt Gox) helped LE with the federal investigation into the SR marketplace. Moreover, the author adds that Karpeles was also once a lead suspect in the case and was accused of being the SR leader at one point as well.

What do you think about the mysterious missing SR bitcoins? Let us know what you think about this story in the comments below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons, Mysteryarchive.com

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Bitcoins Taproot is ready to go, but it’s unlikely to be included in the next release – Cointelegraph

The Bitcoin Improvement Proposals 340 through 342 were merged into the Bitcoin codebase on Thursday, signaling that the anticipated Taproot upgrade is ready.

Taproot and the associated technology of Schnorr signatures are considered to be the most important upgrade for Bitcoin in the past year. It is primarily a privacy improvement for complex spending conditions on Bitcoin like multisig transactions, time locks and other conditions based on Bitcoin Script.

As Cointelegraph reported previously, Taproot hides every additional spending condition beyond the one that was activated. For example, a transaction might be executed immediately if all four multisig signers agree, or it could require a certain amount of time to pass before funds are unlocke if only three out of four signers are present. Normally, an outsider is able to identify every possible condition, but with Taproot they will see only the one that was eventually triggered.

Furthermore, thanks to Schnorr signatures, a pure multisig transaction can be made indistinguishable from normal transfers. It is worth addressing that Taproot makes no changes to mixing protocols like CoinJoin, which will remain easily distinguishable.

While the initial code for Taproot was submitted for review in January, some complications primarily related to Schnorr signatures required an extensive amount of refinement.

The proposals have now been fully reviewed by Bitcoin core developers and are ready to be included in a client release. Pieter Wuille, the lead developer for Taproot, told Cointelegraph that its all done, except activation.

Cointelegraph previously reported that consensus for activation may require some time to be reached. The process could potentially last for years, though Taproot is generally considered much less controversial than previous upgrades like SegWit.

The process starts as soon as the activation code is included in Bitcoin Core, allowing miners to signal approval for its inclusion. But Taproot seems to have come slightly at the wrong time for immediate activation.

Jonas Nick, researcher at Blockstream and Bitcoin core developer, told Cointelegraph that Taproot is not ready for activation yet.

He explained that activation logic is generally not included in a major release, referring to the upcoming 0.21 version. The codebase reached feature freeze on Thursday, with the base Taproot code making it just in time. Nevertheless, only bug fixes will be added from now on.Explaining why developers are cautious, Nick said:

The logic to activate Taproot on mainnet is likely to be included in a future minor version, but in the meantime, Nick said that Taproot could be activated on something like signet or testnet if someone produced the code for that, as the raw implementation is already present.

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US Department of Justice reignites the Battle to Break Encryption – Naked Security

The US Department of Justice (DOJ), together with government representatives from six other countries, has recently re-ignited the perennial Battle to Break Encryption.

Last weekend, the DOJ put out a press release co-signed by the governments of the UK, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, India and Japan, entitled International Statement: End-To-End Encryption and Public Safety.

You might not have seen the press release (it was put out on Sunday, an unusual day for news releases in the West), but you can almost certainly guess what it says.

Two things, mainly: think of the children, and something needs to be done.

If youre a regular reader of Naked Security, youll be familiar with the long-running tension that exists in many countries over the use of encryption.

Very often, one part of the public service the data protection regulator, for instance will be tasked with encouraging companies to adopt strong encryption in order to protect their customers, guard our privacy, and make life harder for cybercriminals.

Indeed, without strong encryption, technologies that we have come to rely upon, such as e-commerce and teleconferencing, would be unsafe and unusable.

Criminals would be trivially able to hijack financial transactions, for example, and hostile countries would be able to eavesdrop on our business and run off with our trade secrets at will.

Even worse, without a cryptographic property known as forward secrecy, determined adversaries can intercept your communications today, even if they arent crackable now, and realistically hope to crack them in the future.

Without forward secrecy, a later compromise of your master encryption key might grant the attackers instant retrospective access to their stash of scrambled documents, allowing them to rewind the clock and decrypt old communications at will.

So, modern encryption schemes dont just encrypt network traffic with your long-term encryption keys, but add in what are known as ephemeral keys into the mix one-time encryption secrets for each communication session that are discarded after use.

The theory is that if you didnt decrypt the communication at the time it was sent, you wont be able to go back and do so later on.

Unfortunately, forward secrecy still isnt as widely supported by websites, or as widely enforced, as you might expect. Many servers still accept connections that reuse long-term encryption keys, presumably because a significant minority of their visitors are using old browsers that dont support forward secrecy, or dont ask to use it.

Similarly, we increasingly rely upon what is known as end-to-end encryption, where data is encrypted for the sole use of its final recipient and is only ever passed along its journey in a fully scrambled and tamper-proof form.

Even if the message is created by a proprietary app that sends it through a specific providers cloud service, the company that operates the service doesnt get the decryption key for the message.

That means that the service provider cant decrypt the message as it passes through their servers, or if it is stored there for later not for their own reasons; not if theyre told to; and not even if you yourself beg them to recover it for you because youve lost the original copy.

Without end-to-end encryption, a determined adversary could eavesdrop on your messages by doing the digital equivalent of steaming them open along the way, copying the contents, and then resealing them in an identical-looking envelope before passing them along the line.

Theyd still be encrypted when they got to you, but you wouldnt be sure whether theyd been decrypted and re-encrypted along the way.

At the same time, another part of the government will be arguing that strong encryption plays into the hands of terrorists and criminals especially child abusers because, well, because strong encryption is too strong, and gets in the way even of reasonable, lawful, court-approved surveillance and evidence collection.

As a result, justice departments, law enforcement agencies and politicians often come out swinging, demanding that we switch to encryption systems that are weak enough that they can crack into the communications and the stored data of cybercriminals if they really need to.

After all, if crooks and terrorists can communicate and exchange data in a way that is essentially uncrackable, say law enforcers, how will we ever be able to get enough evidence to investigate criminals and convict them after something bad has taken place?

Even worse, we wont be able to collect enough proactive evidence intelligence, in the jargon to stop criminals while they are still at the conspiracy stage, and therefore crimes will become easier and easier to plan, and harder and harder to prevent.

These are, of course, reasonable concerns, and cant simply be dismissed out of hand.

As the DOJ press release puts it:

[T]here is increasing consensus across governments and international institutions that action must be taken: while encryption is vital and privacy and cyber security must be protected, that should not come at the expense of wholly precluding law enforcement, and the tech industry itself, from being able to act against the most serious illegal content and activity online.

After all, in countries such as the UK and the US, the criminal justice system is largely based on an adversarial process that starts with the presumption of a defendants innocence, and convictions depend not merely on evidence that is credible and highly likely to be correct, but on being sure beyond reasonable doubt.

But how can you come up with the required level of proof if criminals can routinely and easily hide the evidence in plain sight, and laugh in the face of court warrants that allow that evidence to be seized and searched?

How can you ever establish that X said Y to Z, or that A planned to meet B at C, if every popular messaging system implements end-to-end encryption, so that service providers simply cannot intercept or decode any messages, even if a court warrant issued in a scrupulously fair way demands them to do so?

Impasse.

We cant weaken our current encryption systems if we want to stay ahead of cybercriminals and nation-state enemies; in fact, we need to keep strengthening and improving the encryption we have, because (as cryptographers like to say), attacks only ever get better.

But were also told that we need to weaken our encryption systems if we want to be able to detect and prevent the criminals and nation-state enemies in our midst.

The dilemma here should be obvious: if we weaken our encryption systems on purpose to make it easier and easier to catch someone, we simultaneously make it easier and easier for anyone to prey successfully on everyone.

O, what a tangled web we weave!

Theres an additional issue here caused by the fact that uncrackable end-to-end encryption is now freely available to anyone who cares to use it for example, in the form of globally available open source software. Therefore, compelling law-abiding citizens to use weakened encryption would make things even better for the crooks, who are not law-abiding citizens in the first place and are unlikely to comply with any weak crypto laws anyway.

Governments typically propose a range of systems to solve the strong encryption problem, such as:

The problem with all these solutions is that they can all be considered variations on the master key theme.

Endpoint interception only when its needed is just a specialised, once-in-a-while case of general message escrow; message escrow is just a specialised case of a master key; and a deliberate cryptographic flaw is just a complicated sort of master key wrapped up in the algorithm itself.

They all open up a glaring threat, namely, What happens when the Bad Guys uncover the secrets behind the message cracking system?

Simply put: how on earth do you keep the master key safe, and how do you decide who gets to use it anyway?

The DOJ seems to think that it can find a Holy Grail for lawful interception, or at least expects the private sector to come up with one:

We challenge the assertion that public safety cannot be protected without compromising privacy or cyber security. We strongly believe that approaches protecting each of these important values are possible and strive to work with industry to collaborate on mutually agreeable solutions.

Wed love to think that this is possible, but in case you were wondering were sticking to what we call our #nobackdoors principles:

[At Sophos,] our ethos and development practices prohibit backdoors or any other means of compromising the strength of any of our products network, endpoint or cloud security for any purpose, and we vigorously oppose any law that would compel Sophos (or any other technology supplier) to intentionally weaken the security of its products.

Where you do stand in this perennial debate?

Have your say in the comments below. (If you omit your name, you will default to being Anonymous.)

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Five Eyes Call for Tech World to Weaken Encryption – ClearanceJobs – ClearanceJobs

This week, representatives of the Five Eyes intelligence alliance the U.S., UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand along with the intelligence services of Japan and India issued a joint call for the tech world to provide lawful access into commercial encryption.

In a statement that was posted on the website of the United States Department of Justice, the intelligence services noted that an understanding that encryption continues to play a crucial role in protecting personal data, privacy, intellectual property, trade secrets, and cyber security. Encryption was also understood to provide a vital purpose in repressive states to protect journalists, human rights defenders, and other vulnerable individuals.

However, the intelligence services also noted, Particular implementations of encryption technology, however, pose significant challenges to public safety, including to highly vulnerable members of our societies like sexually exploited children.

The services urged industry to address the joint concerns where encryption is applied in a way that wholly precludes any legal access to content. Additionally, the statement called on technology companies to work with governments to take the necessary steps, which are focused on reasonable, technically feasible solutions to provide that lawful access.

This included:

*Embedding the safety of the public in system designs, thereby enabling companies to act against illegal content and activity effectively with no reduction to safety, and facilitating the investigation and prosecution of offences and safeguarding the vulnerable;

*Enabling law enforcement access to content in a readable and usable format where an authorization is lawfully issued, is necessary and proportionate, and is subject to strong safeguards and oversight; and

*Engaging in consultation with governments and other stakeholders to facilitate legal access in a way that is substantive and genuinely influences design decisions.

This is not the first time the Five Eyes alliance have called upon the tech giants to address the issue of end-to-end encryption (E2EE) into their respective products. Similar calls were made in 2018 and 2019, as the intelligence services have argued that way that E2EE could be supported on many major tech platforms essentially prohibits law enforcement from investigating crime rings and other illicit activities.

The issue is whether enabling access to law enforcement could in turn create potential back doors that could be used by cyber criminals or even foreign actors.

Its impossible to create an encryption backdoor that only law enforcement can take advantage of, warned Paul Bischoff, privacy advocate with Comparitech, via an email to ClearanceJobs.

If backdoors are in place, criminals will move on to other end-to-end encrypted messaging apps, while legitimate users suffer security and privacy violations, Bischoff added. If our analysis of U.S. wiretapping orders is any indication, only a fraction of law enforcement requests to decrypt data will actually be incriminating or lead to convictions. Theres little consideration for innocent parties whose communications are intercepted by law enforcement, and 99% of interception requests are granted by courts.

An argument could be made that the intelligence community and even the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) would be interest in relaxed standards to make it easier for investigators to do their jobs. Of course if the digital thugs were to find it easier to access information that too would be the DoJs problem.

The only down side for DoJ would be if they must abide the same standards, and we dont hear anyone in the government begging for less security in DoJ systems, do we, explained Jim Purtilo, associate professor of computer science at the University of Maryland.

What the feds call for are more ways to access protected information, and this means criminals get more bites at the apple too, Purtilo told ClearancesJobs. The algorithms will be more complex, but not in a good way. Normally computational complexity makes it tough for an unauthorized agent to reverse encryption; more complexity means more protection. However, once we architect multiple ways to access information, the programs complexity will go up there is more a programmer must get right yet the computational complexity that protects goes down.

An alternate solution that has been suggested would be for the tech community to work to provide greater access to law enforcement or the IC. Of course that falls back on the often asked question Quis custodiet ipsos custodies or who watches the watchmen.

Giving keys to the DoJ just in case they might want your information also creates a single point of failure that would have grim consequences if breached, added Purtilo. Then everyones data are exposed. This might sound unlikely, but lets remember it was the fed (Office of Personnel Management) that a few years back exposed sensitive personal records of all people who ever applied for security clearances.

The Five Eyes Alliance, which was formed in 1946 among the five English-speaking nations as a way to share security information, has increasingly had to deal with the issue of cybersecurity in recent years. That included joining with 22 other nations to determine what constitutes fair or foul play in cyberspace. Last year, the Five Eye nations were amongst those who agreed to a broadly written agreement for all nations to follow international law even online.

An issue of cybersecurity also caused the largest riff among the alliance when the UK opted to move forward with a plan to have Chinese-based Huawei build out the nations 5G network. While the telecom company would have been blocked from the core parts of the system, the fact that it was involved at all caused a serious divide within the Five Eyes. However, in July Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that the UK would follow its IC partners and ban Huawei from its 5G network and all components and equipment deployed and/or made by the Chinese firm would be removed from the UK by 2027.

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Zoom Begins Rollout of End-To-End Encryption – My TechDecisions – TechDecisions

Zoom next week will begin rolling out its end-to-end encryption offering as a technical preview for 30 days as the company seeks feedback form its users, the company announced during its two-day virtual Zoomtopia event.

The enhanced encryption for both free and paid users comes after Zoom in May announced plans to build an end-to-end encryption (E2EE) model into the popular videoconferencing platform to increase meeting security. In a press release, the company says this initial roll out is the first of four phases in releasing the E2EE model.

Zoom earlier this year took 90 days to address security concerns with the platform after reports of meeting hijackers easily joining calls as usage skyrocketed in the early days of the COVID-19 lockdown. The company added on new security features like better meeting controls, stronger password protections, and enhanced encryption.

According to the company, its E2EE uses the same GCM encryption currently offered to Zoom users, but where those encryptions live has changed. Zooms cloud typically generates encryption keys and distributes them to meeting participants using Zoom apps as they join. With this new offering, the meetings host generates encryption keys and uses public key cryptography to distribute keys to the other meeting participants.

Read Next: Zoom Publishes Draft of Encryption Design

That turns Zooms servers into oblivious relays that never see the encryption keys required to decrypt meeting content, according to the company.

All participants must have the setting enabled to join a call that is end-to-end encrypted. Hosts can enable the setting at the account, group and user level, and can be locked at the account or group level, according to the company.

In the first phase, all participants must join from the Zoom desktop client, mobile app or Zoom Rooms.

End-to-end encryption is another stride toward making Zoom the most secure communications platform in the world, said Zoom CEO Eric S. Yuan in a statement. This phase of our E2EE offering provides the same security as existing end-to-end-encrypted messaging platforms, but with the video quality and scale that has made Zoom the communications solution of choice for hundreds of millions of people and the worlds largest enterprises.

At least in this version, enabling E2EE will disable some features, like joining before the host, cloud recording, streaming, live transcription, breakout rooms, polling, 1:1 private chat and meeting reactions.

The company is planning to roll out better identity management and E2EE SSO integration as part of the second phase, which is tentatively scheduled for 2021.

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