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Bitcoin and bonds wont cut it. Buy these 6 types of assets for protection in a bear market, says strategist. – MarketWatch

Wednesday was a quiet day for markets, and Thursday looks set for the same in what may be a taste of doldrums in the summer ahead.

But that doesnt mean investors should kick back and relax in the sun just yet, because major risks to stocks remain. If a bear market is indeed on the horizon, investors need to look for new, uncorrelated assets to survive the next selloff, advised Vincent Deluard, a strategist at broker StoneX, in our call of the day. The strategist said to look at six types of assets in particular, because bitcoin and bonds just wont cut it.

Risks are everywhere in a time of peak liquidity, peak valuations, and peak economic optimism, the strategist said, with stocks 50% to 100% more expensive than they were at the height of the 1990s dot-com bubble.

And market concentration is also more extreme, with U.S. stocks accounting for 56% of the MSCI World Index. In fact, tech giants Apple AAPL, -0.53%, Amazon AMZN, -0.22%, Facebook FB, -1.21% and Microsoft MSFT, +0.15%, electric-car maker Tesla TSLA, -0.89%, and graphics microchip maker Nvidia NVDA, +4.88% have the same market capitalization as the U.K., German, French, Italian, Russian, and Polish indexescombined.

This sets the stage for stocks on a hair trigger. Unfortunately for investors, traditional hedges are expensive or ineffective, or both, Deluard said.

For the first time in 15 years, long-term Treasuries the ultimate risk-off asset of the past decade are positively correlated with stocks, and the typical inverse relationship between stock valuations and the price of options has broken down.

Investors desperate rush for the holy grail of diversification has reduced the appeal offered by traditionally uncorrelated assets: gold GOLD, +0.92%, the Yen USDJPY, +0.01%, the Swiss Franc USDCHF, +0.30%, and bitcoin BTCUSD, -0.76% have lost value during recent equity selloffs, Deluard said, but gold and commodities have proved better protection against recent inflation surprises.

According to Deluard, the five main risks of 2021 are rising yields, inflation surprises, wider spread, an equity market selloff, and a blowup of overpriced growth stocks.

Deluards advice is to look at six types of assets to best protect yourself against these specific risks in the year ahead. Financials, commodities, and energy stocks are the best hedges, Deluard said, which dovetails with his bullish view on Latin American and especially Mexican assets. Bets on those cyclical sectors should be complemented by traditional risk-off plays such as gold and Japanese stocks, the strategist added.

This barbell portfolio should protect investors against the main risks of 2021 at a relatively cheap price, Deluard said. Rare, good news in an otherwise bleak environment.

The markets

U.S. stocks DJIA, +0.19% SPX, +0.08% COMP, +0.09% opened higher, after stock market futures remained in the red for much of the premarket. Equities in Europe SXXP, +0.57% UKX, +0.04% DAX, +0.74% PX1, +0.75% and Asia NIK, +2.10% HSI, +0.04% SHCOMP, -0.22% were mixed but mostly positive, with no huge moves in either direction among the major stock-market indexes.

The chart

Between stories of fast-food restaurants struggling to find burger flippers and news that Amazon will hire 75,000 workers at an average pay of more than $17 an hour well above U.S. minimum wage rising pay is on the mind.

Workers and their families may well be thinking about time, too, said Russ Mould, an analyst at AJ Bell, who provided our chart of the day. Since 1947, Americans pay has fallen by 5 percentage points as a portion of GDP. American corporate profits have increased by almost exactly the same amount.

Random reads

GM to the moon? General Motors GM, -0.77% is teaming up with aerospace company Lockheed Martin to produce an off-road, self-driving, electric-vehicle for the lunar landscape.

Ornithological horror in Henley-on-Thames: Birds of prey in U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnsons former constituency are creating terror by attacking people and snatching their food.

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Bitfarms Mines 1000th Bitcoin with Hydroelectricity This Year – GlobeNewswire

TORONTO, Ontario and BROSSARD, Qubec, May 28, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bitfarms Ltd.(Bitfarms, or the Company) (TSXV: BITF // OTC:BFARF), today provides a Bitcoin production update.

Bitcoin Production Update

Year-to-date, Bitfarms has mined and deposited in custody 1,006 Bitcoin, currently valued at approximately US$39 million, or approximately 5.5% of the Companys market capitalization as of the close of trading yesterday, May 27, 2021. Bitfarms achieved this milestone a full 9 days ahead of the schedule reported on April 16, 2021.

Based on public information of other publicly traded cryptocurrency mining companies, Bitfarms has mined and accumulated one of the largest reported amount of Bitcoin from mining activities in North America, year-to-date; and has done so with 100% hydroelectricity.

Since starting its Bitcoin Inventory Pilot Program in early January, Bitfarms has quickly climbed the ranks of publicly traded companies with Bitcoin on their balance sheet and has now earned the 13th spot for publicly traded companies on bitcointreasuries.org.

With approximately 1% of the Bitcoin network, Bitfarms is currently mining and adding approximately 7.8 Bitcoins a day to inventory at a cost of approximately US$9,500 per Bitcoin as of May 27, 2021. This means that Bitfarms is both adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet at one of the fastest rates and with some of the lowest costs in the world.

Since inception, we have worked at building a world-class and vertically-integrated mining company achieving high levels of efficiency. This year Bitfarms is experiencing our fastest rate of growth ever. We expect to more than double our installed hydropower infrastructure in Qubec, triple our operational hashrate in 2021 and be trading on both the TSX Venture Exchange and Nasdaq soon, said Emiliano Grodzki, Bitfarms Chief Executive Officer.

About Bitfarms Ltd.

Founded in 2017, Bitfarms is a Bitcoin mining company, running vertically integrated mining operations with onsite technical repair, proprietary data analytics and Company-owned electrical engineering and installation services to deliver high operational performance and uptime.

Having demonstrated rapid growth and stellar operations, Bitfarms became the first Bitcoin mining company to complete its long form prospectus with the Ontario Securities Commission and started trading on the TSX-V in July 2019. On February 24, 2021, Bitfarms was honoured to be announced as a Rising Star by the TSX-V.

Bitfarms has a diversified production platform with five industrial scale facilities located in Qubec. Each facility is 100% powered with environmentally friendly hydro power and secured with long-term power contracts. Bitfarms is currently the only publicly traded pure-play mining company audited by a Big Four audit firm.

To learn more about Bitfarms events, developments, and online communities:

Website:www.bitfarms.com

https://www.facebook.com/bitfarms/https://twitter.com/Bitfarms_iohttps://www.instagram.com/bitfarms/https://www.linkedin.com/company/bitfarms/

Defined Terms

Cautionary Statement

Trading in the securities of the Company should be considered highly speculative. No stock exchange, securities commission or other regulatory authority has approved or disapproved the information contained herein. Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains certain forward-looking information and forward-looking statements (collectively, forward-looking information) that are based on expectations, estimates and projections as at the date of this news release. The information in this release regarding expectations in respect to the future level of Bitcoin inventory and about future plans and objectives of the Company are forward-looking information. Other forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, information concerning: the intentions, plans and future actions of the Company, as well as Bitfarms ability to successfully mine digital currency, revenue increasing as currently anticipated, the ability to profitably liquidate current and future digital currency inventory, volatility of network difficulty and digital currency prices and the potential resulting significant negative impact on the Companys operations, the construction and operation of expanded blockchain infrastructure as currently planned, and the regulatory environment for cryptocurrency in the applicable jurisdictions.

Any statements that involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions, future events or performance (often but not always using phrases such as expects, or does not expect, is expected, anticipates or does not anticipate, plans, budget, scheduled, forecasts, estimates, believes or intends or variations of such words and phrases or stating that certain actions, events or results may or could, would, might or will be taken to occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information and are intended to identify forward-looking information.

This forward-looking information is based on assumptions and estimates of management of the Company at the time they were made, and involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Such factors include, among others, risks relating to: the global economic climate; dilution; the Companys limited operating history; future capital needs and uncertainty of additional financing; the competitive nature of the industry; currency exchange risks; the need for the Company to manage its planned growth and expansion; the effects of product development and need for continued technology change; protection of proprietary rights; the effect of government regulation and compliance on the Company and the industry; network security risks; the ability of the Company to maintain properly working systems; reliance on key personnel; global economic and financial market deterioration impeding access to capital or increasing the cost of capital; and volatile securities markets impacting security pricing unrelated to operating performance. In addition, particular factors that could impact future results of the business of Bitfarms include, but are not limited to: the construction and operation of blockchain infrastructure may not occur as currently planned, or at all; expansion may not materialize as currently anticipated, or at all; the digital currency market; the ability to successfully mine digital currency; revenue may not increase as currently anticipated, or at all; it may not be possible to profitably liquidate the current digital currency inventory, or at all; a decline in digital currency prices may have a significant negative impact on operations; an increase in network difficulty may have a significant negative impact on operations; the volatility of digital currency prices; the anticipated growth and sustainability of hydroelectricity for the purposes of cryptocurrency mining in the applicable jurisdictions, the ability to complete current and future financings, any regulations or laws that will prevent Bitfarms from operating its business; historical prices of digital currencies and the ability to mine digital currencies that will be consistent with historical prices; an inability to predict and counteract the effects of COVID-19 on the business of the Company, including but not limited to the effects of COVID-19 on the price of digital currencies, capital market conditions, restriction on labour and international travel and supply chains; and, the adoption or expansion of any regulation or law that will prevent Bitfarms from operating its business, or make it more costly to do so. For further information concerning these and other risks and uncertainties, refer to the Companys filings on http://www.SEDAR.com including the annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2020, filed on April 7, 2021. The Company has also assumed that no significant events occur outside of Bitfarms normal course of business. Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking information. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking information other than as required by law.

Contacts

Investor Relations:

CORE IR+1 516 222 2560Investors@bitfarms.com

US Media:

CORE IRJules Abraham, Director of Public Relationsjulesa@coreir.com

YAP GlobalMia Grodsky, Account Executivemia@yapglobal.com

Qubec Media:

Ryan Affaires publiques Marc Duchesne, Directeur / Directormarc@ryanap.com

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Bitfarms Mines 1000th Bitcoin with Hydroelectricity This Year - GlobeNewswire

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Bitcoins Reliance on Stablecoins Harks Back to the Wild West of Finance – The Wall Street Journal

Stablecoins are one of the weirdest things in the whole bizarro world of cryptocurrencies, because they operate on principles directly opposed to the rest of the crypto system.

Crypto true believers argue that bitcoin and its ilk will supplant fiat currencies issued by governments, while the whole point of the innovative blockchain that underlies them is to overcome what pseudonymous inventor Satoshi Nakamotocalled the inherent weaknesses of the trust based model.

Yet stablecoins, and especially the largest, Tether, are thriving. Tethers $60 billion of issuance leaves it jockeying for third place in crypto market value behind bitcoin and ethereum. There are scores of others, and Facebook s Libra, renamed Diem last year, plans to join in with stablecoins covering several currencies.

Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency tied one-for-one to dollars or other traditional currencies and whose value relies on trusting the issuer.

Stablecoins have also become central to the financial infrastructure of crypto. According to data provider Crypto Compare theres more trading between Tether and bitcoin than between bitcoin and all fiat currencies put together. For crypto traders, at least, stablecoins are a vital tool, because of the speed with which they can be used to move money from one crypto exchange to another, and because they provide a handy way to park cash temporarily in what is basically dollars.

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The Cryptocurrencies That Outperformed During Bitcoin’s Crash – Barron’s

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Just about the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem has gotten washed out in the past week, as news of government crackdowns and other negative headlines have dominated the discussion.

Not every coin has been plunging, however. One of the generally positive things about the decline in cryptocurrency values is that different assets are reacting in different ways to the selloff.

To be sure, the damage is widespread. Bitcoin has fallen 12% in the past week and Ether, the second most valuable cryptocurrency, is down 21%. Excluding stablecoins, whose values hover around $1 because they are pegged to the dollar, the top 12 coins have all fallen. But others have risen over that period.

Barrons screened for coins within the top 100 cryptos by market cap that have outperformed over the past week, and found several that have held up.

Source: coinmarketcap.com

They include coins that arent exactly household names, but that are being explored as potentially useful technologies: Polygon, Helium, Celsius, and Maker. Its dangerous to assume that the relative winners will hold up in the longer-term cryptocurrencies can move sharply based on trading on opaque unregulated markets and may suffer from low liquidity. With smaller coins in particular, investors need to understand the platform they are buying into because they are essentially investing in an early-stage venture capital start-up.

That said, projects that held up in the selloff are worth watching. One reason some of these coins did well may have been because they dodged some of the overall crypto networks problems during the selloff.

One thing we saw during the panic was that both centralized and many decentralized exchanges had issues keeping up with demand, Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of crypto fund provider Bitwise Asset Management, told Barrons in an email. Many centralized exchanges simply went down for periods of time during the selloff, as they were overloaded by traders.

That may have been the case with Polygon, formerly called Matic, the 14th most valuable cryptocurrency. It is a so-called Layer 2 technology thats built on top of the Ethereum blockchain, and is meant to make transactions faster and less expensive. Hougan thinks that Polygon was able to bypass some of the congestion in the system during the selloff because it is meant to process more transactions. Because of this approach, their network wasnt congested, he wrote. As a result, users were able to trade with ease on [Polygon] while other approaches faced challenges.

Polygon is involved in some of the hottest areas of cryptocurrencies, including working with trading platforms to make it easier to trade non-fungible tokens, or NFTs. Right now, trading NFTs can be expensive because of gas fees associated with using trading platforms.

Polygon may have increased for another reason, too it appears to be better for the environment than some other coins. It uses a proof of stake system to validate transactions on the blockchain. Bitcoin uses proof of work, a system thats much more energy intensive. Tesla CEO Elon Musk has criticized Bitcoins impact on climate change, causing some proof of stake tokens to outperform proof of work ones.

Helium is a particularly unusual cryptocurrency that is part of a project meant to decentralize wireless communications. Its aim is to get households and businesses to install small telecom hubs on their property almost like mini cell towers and then reward them with a token called HNT. The company says it has nearly 42,000 hot spots around the world. It has received funding from New York venture-capital firm Union Square Ventures.

The Celsius network is known for allowing people to earn interest in their crypto holdings, or to borrow crypto. Celsius says that it has more than 700,000 users and that it is gaining nearly 100,000 users a month. Lending and borrowing are increasingly popular on crypto platforms, and Celsius is becoming a bigger hub for that.

Maker is a token thats part of another unique finance project within cryptocurrencies. MakerDAO is an organization that created a decentralized stablecoin called DAI that can be lent out without intermediaries. Maker is a key hub in the defi movement that is trying to move traditional banking activities to a decentralized network where there are no gatekeepers and people can more easily lend or borrow currencies. The Maker tokens give users a voting stake in the creation of the market, and will presumably rise in value if DAI is used more frequently.

Write to avi.salzman@barrons.com

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Bitcoin investors are flying too close to the sun: analyst – Yahoo Finance

Jeffrey Halley, OANDA's Senior Market Analyst for Asia Pacific, joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the outlook for cryptocurrency, a potential Bitcoin regulation and the future of digital payments.

JULIE HYMAN: Cryptocurrencies have calmed down to some extent, at least by crypto standards, I suppose. We are still seeing some action in Bitcoin. Right now, it's up about 2%. Earlier, when we checked, I believe it was lower, so continuing with volatility, both to the up and to the down side. Let's talk to somebody about crypto and where it's going from here.

Jeffrey Halley is with us, OANDA senior market analyst of Asia-Pacific. And Jeffrey, as you look at the recent moves that we have seen in cryptocurrencies, I know that you sort of have thoughts on what the long-term investable case is. I want to leave that aside just for a second and talk about the recent price action and where you think Bitcoin in particular is going to go from here.

JEFFREY HALLEY: Yeah, I often say that Bitcoin and the crypto space is a tradable asset and not-- but not necessarily an investable asset. So it has extreme volatility, and there's money to be made there. There's money to be lost there as well. And I won't dispute that one. And I wish all those traders the very best. I think it was very indicative that when it broke the 200-day moving average and crashed down to 30,000 very quickly, that there was very, very little liquidity.

So it very much behaves like an emerging market when things get tough. So the saying in emerging markets is, an emerging market is a market you can't emerge from in an emergency. And I think that's sort of indicative of the price action that we're going to see now. I think a lot of traders were taken out of positioning on that crash. And we're going to see even less liquidity going forward than we did.

I think equally, quite a few of them tried to get back in again as it rallied up off 30,000. But it is struggling above 40,000 now. And I'm just-- I'm not quite convinced just by looking at the technical picture that we're not going to see another big move down. We're going to see liquidity gaps now because a lot of positioning has been taken out of the market. So we're going to see cryptos in general gapping between price points as liquidity disappears.

Story continues

MYLES UDLAND: Well, so and Jeff, in thinking about the role that emerging markets, emerging assets tend to play when it comes to the performance of more established markets, are you thinking that there won't be quite as much spillover perhaps as some folks have braced for, as the size of the crypto market has grown in absolute dollars. We still haven't seen too, too much of a weekend washout really dampening risk sentiment, at least so far as we've seen here in US markets.

JEFFREY HALLEY: Yeah, it's a very good point because until we saw that crash it seems like a lifetime ago, but I think it was the beginning of last week. And so we saw that. I didn't really feel there was a lot of cross-asset spillover. But actually, when the Bitcoin crashed along with the other cryptos, we did see a spillover. We saw gold rise. We saw some stocks coming under pressure. We saw the dollar rise. And I think investors, a lot of these investors are going to have multiple assets in their portfolios.

And it could well be the case that we saw in March last year where one position moves underwater, it has to be sold, and they have to liquidate other positionings and other asset classes to cover those losses. And I believe that the crypto market actually did hit a $2 trillion market cap when Bitcoin was at $65,000 a coin. That's a lot of money to get wiped out. And if it's still around a trillion dollars now, and it crashes by 30%, well, that's a big hit in the financial markets. And I think this will actually also draw the attention of the regulators. If we start seeing it spilling into other asset classes, they're going to start paying attention a lot more.

BRIAN SOZZI: Jeffrey, you talk-- I want to make sure I have this right. So you're talking about liquidity potentially drying up, regulators doing what they are known or likely to do, regulate. Do you think there's another crash coming here this summer?

JEFFREY HALLEY: I think there's a real risk now that I think-- I trace it back to this Colonial Pipeline saga. And I think that might be cryptos flying too close to the sun. They may have poked a sleeping bear just once too often and woken it up with regards to the regulators and/or governments. When you start launching attacks on United States infrastructure-- and we're seeing it going on in some other parts of the world at the moment, like New Zealand as well. When you start launching attacks on infrastructure and then taking the ransoms in Bitcoin or other cryptos, that's going to get the attention of some very serious and very powerful people at all levels of government.

And I believe that the China measures that we've seen are, in part, due to that. And it wasn't so much about the actual power draw at all. And I believe that the risk has ratcheted up exponentially now that blocs such as Europe and/or the United States actually start taking some measures to either regulate or partially ban cryptos, as we know it. So I think it does actually face an existential threat from that sector at the moment. And that will, of course, be bearish for those coins.

JULIE HYMAN: Do you think, though, that there's a scenario where you have that kind of regular-- you know, the crypto folks, Jeffrey, will say we want regulation. We welcome regulation, right? That's what they tend to say because they argue it will legitimize the cryptocurrencies in some measure. Do you see a scenario where cryptocurrencies can still rise in price and there is regulation?

JEFFREY HALLEY: It's a little hard to say because you talk to the original Bitcoin creators and the original pioneers in the space-- the whole reason for cryptos to exist is to be outside of control to have this libertarian, do what you want, and move money and procure goods and services as you wish anywhere in the world. It's only when this institutional money has emerged into the space this year that we've started hearing that. I struggle to see how they can actually coexist if governments and major countries around the world are going to regulate their use or even ban their use.

I do potentially see a future for digital coins like the digital Yuan. They're talking of-- the Fed's talking about a digital US dollar now. I can see those having a future. But I can't see them coexisting with what we've seen going on in the space at the moment, which seems, to me, driven more by speculative mania than underlying fundamentals at this stage.

JULIE HYMAN: Jeffrey, thanks so much. Jeffrey Halley is OANDA senior market analyst of Asia-Pacific. I don't know-- these days, you're a little bit of a lone voice in the wilderness, Jeffrey. So we'll see how it all pans out. Thank you so much for taking the time to talk to us.

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Bitcoin Investing vs. Invisible Hardware of the Nanocosm – Yahoo Finance

Welcome back to Cook's Kitchen!

Last week I explained what the Bitcoin faithful were missing about their precious "digital gold" in this article and video...

Bitcoin Crash Lessons: Passionate Belief Still Needs Risk Management

And in the past week, I've had many conversations about those views, even publicly on Twitter. You can always follow me @KevinBCook to eavesdrop in real-time, but I'll share one exchange that was right up our alley.

First, the premise: the acerbic wit of one OJ Renick, anchor extraordinaire of the TD Ameritrade Network investing broadcast, coined an important new market acronym Wednesday to describe, and warn, Bitcoin faithful about what was happening in their minds and margin-based accounts.

It was MUD: Maniacal Unwavering Devotion.

And it was a beautiful contribution to the conversation I began last week.

Second, the interaction: Immediately, OJ's tweet about his article explaining MUD (published on his LinkedIn blog) drew some very important fire...

A crypto thought leader wrote...

"I don't know a single *crypto* thought leader that warned people of the upcoming *bitcoin* crash" (quoting OJ Renick from his article).

He proceeds...

"Why should I (a public proponent of accumulating bitcoin for the long term) encourage people to gamble their bitcoin by trying to time unpredictable markets?"

And here was my immediate reply...

Exactly the question needs to be asked & answered. I proposed last week that "faithful fundamentalists" ignore that even a revolutionary new asset class trades at market prices, susceptible to human emotional extremes (bubbles & crashes). Think of newbs following & buying at $60K.

My point, as always here, was that it's fine for BTC "thought leaders" to engage in fantasies of accumulating their precious for the "inevitable" surges to $100K and $500K, but the average follower with less than $10K to spare can't really handle or understand the 50% crashes.

Until Bitcoin has quantifiable use cases and big institutional support (think buying from BlackRock, JPMorgan, and central banks), the fundamental value of it is hard to model, let alone quantify. That means it's trading mostly on emotional speculation and passionately-held beliefs. Or influential whims and changes of heart (@elon if you musk ask who).

Don't get me wrong. In my piece last week, I argued that Bitcoin is an entirely new asset class for the digital age. And there are good reasons that it's 10X better -- and more volatile -- than that barbarous relic gold.

So maybe we should warn new BTC "investors" about possibilities for "wild randomness," as the great Benoit Mandelbrot described the central feature of complex and chaotic markets. After I understood what he and Nassim Taleb were trying to teach us about volatility in human-built systems, I realized that "when anything can happen, there is no standard for deviation."

The Semi Ecosystem is a Rich Jungle of Investing Opportunities

While some "coiners" look for opportunity in the hundreds of alt-coins that may go from a thousandth of a cent to 5 cents -- for a 5,000X windfall -- those dreams will remain as infrequent as they are random.

What I'm encouraging investors to do is look at the companies building the actual infrastructure of the Crypto-Blockchain space.

And that's what I've been focused on for the month of May with deeper dives into the sales and earnings growth of Micron MU, Applied Materials AMAT, and NVIDIA.

On Wednesday morning, I published a piece on ASML Holding N.V. ASML the Netherlands-based giant of photolithography for integrated circuit (IC) manufacture.

That article spins a few quick circles around many of the players that we find most important in the buildout of the Nanosphere. That was my new term last year for the world of sub-10 nanometer technology that was becoming crucial to the next stages of ICs for phones, cars, medicine, and aerospace.

But then I found that futurist and technology guru George Gilder calls it the Nanocosm, and I'm going with him since he is probably the best independent semiconductor researcher on the planet. He is also the author of the 1989 book Microcosm: The Quantum Era in Economics and Technology, which set the stage for a whole generation of investors and technologists to understand this invisible world of power laws.

Be sure to check out the article on ASML linked above to find out which mega-investor just became the 5th largest holder of ASML shares in Q1.

NVIDIA Is Taking It Down, Way Down

In the video attached to this article, I talk a bit about NVIDIA NVDA innovation heading down to the 5nm level for its next-gen GPU architecture, Hopper. Since NVIDIA contracts Taiwan Semiconductor, or TSMC, to build this hardware, word gets out in the supply chain and DigiTimes has been reporting on this "mystery" chipset for the past year.

What is known with a little more certainty is that NVIDIA has orders in with TSMC for 7nm technology that goes into Ampere GPU cards. According to Kara Copple writing for WePC.com "TSMC will be producingApples AAPL 5nm ARM-based processors and also AMDs Ryzen 5000 series of CPUs. Its fair to say TSMC has some big projects on its hands."

And for TSMC to build any of this requires the sophisticated laser etching technology of ASML.

I taped the video on Wednesday morning before NVIDIA reported its latest quarterly results. As I type now, investors are reacting to stunning growth in the company's two primary segments:

Gaming revenue of $2.76 billion was up 106% from a year ago. Datacenter revenue of $2.05 billion was up 79% from this time last year.

They even got a boost from crypto mining as they offer that niche market new specialized GPUs for massively parallel, high-speed processing. More importantly, current Q2 revenue guidance at $6.3 billion was more than 14% higher than the analyst consensus of $5.5B! That has investment banks jumping over each other to raise price targets north of $750.

After NVIDIA's show-stopping annual GPU Tech Conference, held virtually in April, I wrote about my own $750 PT on NVDA and how Datacenter was on pace to overtake Gaming this year. Here's what I wrote then...

Jefferies semiconductor analyst Mark Lipacis wrote a powerful research report in September that the former is growing at 40% CAGR vs just 10% for the latter.

Based on that math, this is the year that Datacenter takes over Gaming in revenues. And based on his 5-year projections, Lipacis sees Gaming growing to a nearly $12 billion business while DC blows the doors off to $34 billion.

For perspective, this year's total revenue is only expected to be in the neighborhood of $22.5 billion.

To be clear, Lipacis was inspired to write this new report after NVIDIA announced it had an agreement to buy UK-based ARM Holdings for $40 billion. That deal remains controversial -- for everyone but NVDA -- and also uncertain in terms of the probability of actually closing any time soon.

The primary issues revolve around ARM's technology for mobile devices which is licensed to everyone from Apple to Qualcomm.

ARM also deals in CPUs (serial processing), which is part of what made it attractive to NVIDIA's GPU (parallel processing) expertise. But one of the most important elements to keep in mind when talking about Jensen Huang & Co. is that he surrounds himself with the best engineering talent in the world, just like Elon.

And that's why they develop complete "stacks" of hardware and software in the CUDA platform to give power tools to data miners and modelers, automation innovators, and scientific researchers expanding the limits of our knowledge and technology in medicine, energy, aerospace, materials, autos, and smart cities.

Gilder on the Nanocosm

I mentioned that my ASML article has details on the new 5th largest investor. The video actually has a good screenshot of the top ten.

But I also want to share why George Gilder is a new buyer of ASML shares, which have more than doubled in the past year from $325 to over $650. I'll let him explain in his own words...

"Without Taiwan Semiconductors and crucially ASML, your iPhone 12's M-1 processor chip would not exist. Without ASML, TSM would not be able to make Huawei's 5G HiSilicon processors. The same is true for Samsung and your Galaxy phone.

"ASML is the key. ASML's technical lead in the field is so great, and growing, that it has essentially 100% market share of the photolithography market for single-digit-nanometer geometries."

The Semi Ecosystem is a complex jungle. As complicated as NVIDIA's proposed acquisition of ARM may be, they also contract with the other big Asian chip foundry, Samsung, to spread out their risk away from TSMC -- and maybe to avoid any technology IP slipping into view of Apple.

For this jungle, it pays to pay attention to a wily and brilliant veteran like Gilder, who knows that a premier "arms dealer" like ASML and its invisible technologies may be one of the smartest bets of all. Be sure to check out my ASML article to learn about his latest work on the Blockchain.

Disclosure: I own NVDA shares for the Zacks TAZR Trader portfolio.

Bitcoin, Like the Internet Itself, Could Change Everything

Blockchain and cryptocurrency has sparked one of the most exciting discussion topics of a generation. Some call it the Internet of Money and predict it could change the way money works forever. If true, it could do to banks what Netflix did to Blockbuster and Amazon did to Sears. Experts agree were still in the early stages of this technology, and as it grows, it will create several investing opportunities.

Zacks has just revealed 3 companies that can help investors capitalize on the explosive profit potential of Bitcoin and the other cryptocurrencies with significantly less volatility than buying them directly.

See 3 crypto-related stocks now >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free reportMicron Technology, Inc. (MU) : Free Stock Analysis ReportNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) : Free Stock Analysis ReportApple Inc. (AAPL) : Free Stock Analysis ReportASML Holding N.V. (ASML) : Free Stock Analysis ReportApplied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) : Free Stock Analysis ReportTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.Zacks Investment Research

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Bitcoin Investing vs. Invisible Hardware of the Nanocosm - Yahoo Finance

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Bitcoin: I’ll either be rich, or wrong – Financial Times

The pros and cons of investing in highly volatile cryptocurrencies

When 29-year-old Sam found out that his younger brother had made 30,000 trading bitcoin, he couldnt believe what he was hearing. The self-employed musician decided to put the last 2,000 of his savings into various cryptocurrencies, hoping he could double his money. However, wild swings in crypto valuations are proving a test of his strategy. Presenter Claer Barrett explores the highs and lows of investing in cryptocurrencies with experts Abhishek Sachdev, a professional investor who has personally invested 20,000, and Eva Szalay, the FTs currencies correspondent. They discuss cryptos long-term potential as an asset class and the risks that investors such as Sam need to be aware of, as well as the allure of investing in highly volatile unregulated assets.Review clips: BBC Newsnight, CNBC.

If you would like to be a guest on Money Clinic and chat to Claer about a money issue thats bothering you, get in touch our email is money@ft.com - and you can follow Claer on Twitter and Instagram @ClaerB.

Further reading:

-Read Eva Szalays article Bitcoin: too good to miss, or a bubble ready to burst?

-Following Elon Musks tweets about the environmental impact of mining Bitcoin, check out this FT article Bitcoins growing energy problem: Its a dirty currency

-Here is how the FT covered the story of the Bitcoin price crash last week

-Check out our recent investment masterclass episode with FT columnist Merryn Somerset Webb, where she chats to Claer about Bitcoin and all kinds of other investment trends

See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

A transcript for this podcast is currently unavailable, view our accessibility guide.

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Bitcoin: I'll either be rich, or wrong - Financial Times

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More and more companies are encrypting their devices – ITProPortal

Encryption as means of securing data, both at rest and in transit, is growing more popular by the day.

According to a new report from encrypted USB drive manufacturers Apricorn, a third of organizations increased their encryption efforts across all mobile and removable devices last year, while another third said encryption is now standard. Furthermore, a quarter require all data stored in the cloud to be encrypted as well.

Many companies have encryption policies in place, making sure all data held on removable media gets encrypted. Some allow the use of hardware and software encrypted removable media, others allow the use of any thumb drive, as long as it's software-encrypted. A small percentage dont allow the use of removable media whatsoever.

Organizations have also started using other ways to encrypt and protect their data, Apricorn further added. These creative new methods were born out of necessity with the boom in remote working.

Yet despite the rising popularity, lack of encryption is still among the main causes of data breaches within organizations, followed by lost and misplaced devices containing sensitive data.

Key challenges remain making sure data is adequately secure, as well as understanding which data sets need to be encrypted. Some fear having no control over where company data goes and where its stored, the report also found.

Remote working has become the new normal and its crucial that businesses now address any quick fix security solutions they had put in place and ensure the security of corporate data," said Jon Fielding, Managing Director EMEA, Apricorn.

"The rise in endpoint control, and the plans for increased encryption are hugely positive, but this needs to be embedded in remote working policies if businesses are to avoid the potential for a data breach and failure to comply with existing regulations."

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More and more companies are encrypting their devices - ITProPortal

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WhatsApp Sues The Indian Government Over New Laws That Would Force It To Break Encryption – Techdirt

from the backdoors dept

For many years now, we've reported on efforts by the Indian government to demand that WhatsApp break its encryption to give the government access. Much of this comes from the fact that the Indian government wants to pin the blame for certain violence and disinformation on WhatsApp, rather than on those actually responsible. WhatsApp has, in the past, pushed back on individual demands to break its encryption.

However, things have stepped up a notch. The Indian government recently put in place new regulations that are, to put it mildly, quite troubling. India has framed the laws -- like so many other laws like this around the globe -- as being about stopping "abuse." But, of course, the government gets to decide what is abuse.

The Indian government says the rules are designed to prevent abuse and misuse of social media. The new rules instead seek to empower the users of social media by requiring these platforms to put in place a robust public grievance redressal mechanism, a representative of Indias Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology said in a March 17 letter to TIME. It brings digital media outlets at par with print and electronic media with the underlying principle of self-regulation to ensure compliance to existing laws of India.

And one thing that the Indian government believes is abuse... is encryption (remember, again, those earlier stories of the government blaming WhatsApp for violence). Exactly what the rules mean for encryption has been a bit... unclear. The rules do require that encrypted services keep certain information about who the "first originator" of a message is and to provide that to the government on demand. The Indian government insists this is not about breaking encryption. It claims they only need certain metadata and only in extreme circumstances. The government also claims that WhatsApp did not object to this proposal when it was first put forth and there was an open consultation period.

WhatsApp (owned by Facebook) claims that's completely bogus, because in order to find the "first originator" of a message you have to track everything:

Traceability is intended to do the opposite by requiring private messaging services like WhatsApp to keep track of who-said-what and who-shared-what for billions of messages sent every day. Traceability requires messaging services to store information that can be used to ascertain the content of peoples messages, thereby breaking the very guarantees that end-to-end encryption provides. In order to trace even one message, services would have to trace every message.

Thats because there is no way to predict which message a government would want to investigate in the future. In doing so, a government that chooses to mandate traceability is effectively mandating a new form of mass surveillance. To comply, messaging services would have to keep giant databases of every message you send, or add a permanent identity stamp -- like a fingerprint -- to private messages with friends, family, colleagues, doctors, and businesses. Companies would be collecting more information about their users at a time when people want companies to have less information about them.

And now, WhatsApp is suing the Indian government, claiming that the law violates India's privacy rights.

Of course, this is also against the backdrop of even bigger conflicts between social media platforms and the government of Narendra Modi, including threatening to jail Twitter employees for not taking down criticism of Modi's policies, and then raiding Twitter's local offices for daring to fact check a tweet by a government spokesperson.

Tragically, these attacks on social media moderation and encryption are becoming a toolkit of angry regulators around the globe, as they seem perpetually put out by the fact that the public actually has a voice. Whatever you might think of Facebook, this is a scenario where you should be rooting for WhatsApp to win this case to protect basic privacy rights.

Thank you for reading this Techdirt post. With so many things competing for everyones attention these days, we really appreciate you giving us your time. We work hard every day to put quality content out there for our community.

Techdirt is one of the few remaining truly independent media outlets. We do not have a giant corporation behind us, and we rely heavily on our community to support us, in an age when advertisers are increasingly uninterested in sponsoring small, independent sites especially a site like ours that is unwilling to pull punches in its reporting and analysis.

While other websites have resorted to paywalls, registration requirements, and increasingly annoying/intrusive advertising, we have always kept Techdirt open and available to anyone. But in order to continue doing so, we need your support. We offer a variety of ways for our readers to support us, from direct donations to special subscriptions and cool merchandise and every little bit helps. Thank you.

The Techdirt Team

Filed Under: encryption, going dark, india, private messaging, traceabilityCompanies: facebook, whatsapp

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Skiff, an end-to-end encrypted alternative to Google Docs, raises $3.7M seed – TechCrunch

Imagine if Google Docs was end-to-end encrypted so that not even Google could access your documents. Thats Skiff, in a nutshell.

Skiff is a document editor with a similar look and feel to Google Docs, allowing you to write, edit and collaborate in real time with colleagues with privacy baked in. Because the document editor is built on a foundation of end-to-end encryption, Skiff doesnt have access to anyones documents only users, and those who are invited to collaborate, do.

Its an idea that has already attracted the attention of investors. Skiffs co-founders Andrew Milich (CEO) and Jason Ginsberg (CTO) announced today that the startup has raised $3.7 million in seed funding from venture firm Sequoia Capital, just over a year since Skiff was founded in March 2020. Alphabet chairman John Hennessy, former Yahoo chief executive Jerry Yang and Eventbrite co-founders Julia and Kevin Hartz also participated in the round.

Milich and Ginsberg told TechCrunch that the company will use the seed funding to grow the team and build out the platform.

Skiff isnt that much different from WhatsApp or Signal, which are also end-to-end encrypted, underneath its document editor. Instead of using it to send messages to a bunch of people, were using it to send little pieces of documents and then piecing those together into a collaborative workspace, said Milich.

But the co-founders acknowledged that putting your sensitive documents in the cloud requires users to put a lot of trust into the startup, particularly one that hasnt been around for long. Thats why Skiff published a whitepaper with technical details of how its technology works, and has begun to open source parts of its code, allowing anyone to see how the platform works. Milich said Skiff has also gone through at least one comprehensive security audit, and the company counts advisors from the Signal Foundation to Trail of Bits.

It seems to be working. In the months since Skiff soft-launched through an invite-only program, thousands of users including journalists, research scientists and human rights lawyers use Skiff every day, with another 8,000 users on a waitlist.

The group of users that were most excited about are just regular people that care about privacy, said Ginsberg. There are just so many privacy communities and people that are advocates for these types of products that really care about how theyre built and have sort of lost trust in big companies.

Theyre using us because theyre really excited about the vision and the future of end-to-end encryption, he said.

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Skiff, an end-to-end encrypted alternative to Google Docs, raises $3.7M seed - TechCrunch

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