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Bitcoin (BTC) price drops on China crypto mining crackdown

Bitcoin sank to a two-week low Monday on reports that China has intensified its crackdown on cryptocurrency mining.

The world's largest digital currency fell as low as $31,760 Monday morning, dropping below $32,000 for the first time since June 8, according to data from Coin Metrics. It was trading at $32,472 at 4:00 p.m. ET, down 8% on the day. Smaller rivals like ether and XRP also fell 12%.

Many bitcoin mines in Sichuan were shuttered Sunday after authorities in the southwestern Chinese province ordered a halt to crypto mining, according to a report from the Communist Party-backed newspaper Global Times. More than 90% of China's bitcoin mining capacity is estimated to be shut down, the paper said.

Bloomberg and Reuters also reported on the move from Sichuan authorities. It follows similar developments in China's Inner Mongolia and Yunnan regions, as well as calls from Beijing to stamp out crypto mining amid worries over its massive energy consumption.

Separately, the People's Bank of Chinasaid Mondayit hadurgedAlipay, the payments service run by Alibaba affiliate Ant Group, and some major banksto crack downon crypto trading. China has already banned financial institutions from providing crypto-related services.

"China often does this," Charles Hayter, CEO of crypto data firm CryptoCompare, told CNBC via email.

"When China sneezes, bitcoin catches a cold. But this flexing of regulatory muscle is often just that in the past eight years, this story has risen its head at least three times."

China's crackdown appears to have led to a significant decline in bitcoin's hash rate or processing power which has fallen sharply in the last month, according to data from Blockchain.com. An estimated 65% of global bitcoin mining is done in China.

Bitcoin's network is decentralized, meaning it doesn't have any central party or middleman to approve transactions or generate new coins. Instead, the blockchain is maintained by so-called miners who race to solve complex math puzzles using purpose-built computers to validate transactions. Whoever wins that race is rewarded with bitcoin.

This power-intensive process has led to growing concerns over the potential environmental harm of bitcoin, with everyone from Tesla CEO Elon Musk to U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen raising the alarm. China, where most bitcoin mining is concentrated, relies heavily on coal power. Last month, a coal mine in the Xinjiang region flooded and shut down, taking nearly a quarter of bitcoin's hash rate offline.

However, miners in China often migrate to places like Sichuan, which are rich in hydropower, in the rainy season. And some industry efforts have been launched including the Bitcoin Mining Council and the Crypto Climate Accord in an effort to reduce cryptocurrencies' carbon footprint.

CNBC's Tanaya Macheel contributed reporting

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Bitcoin surges 18% after a wild day that saw the cryptocurrency briefly drop below $30,000 – CNBC

The reflection of bitcoins in a computer hard drive.

Thomas Trutschel | Photothek via Getty Images

Bitcoin continued to rebound from its lows for the year on Wednesday.

The cryptocurrency sank below the key $30,000 threshold Tuesday, at one point briefly erasing all its 2021 gains. It later recovered to turn positive for the day.

On Wednesday, bitcoin surged 18%, climbing back above the $34,000 mark in early morning trading, according to Coin Metrics data. It last changed hands at $33,641.27, up 3% on the day.

Smaller rivals also surged, with ether rising 6% to $2,014 and XRP up 9% at a price of 64 cents. The reason for the moves higher wasn't clear, but cryptocurrencies are known for their volatility.

Bitcoin had a solid start to the year, rallying to an all-time high of almost $65,000 ahead of crypto exchange Coinbase's blockbuster debut and as institutional investors appeared to be warming to it.

But the world's biggest digital coin has been on a roller-coaster ride since, almost halving in value amid a slew of negative news.

In China, authorities have been clamping down on bitcoin mining, the power-intensive process for validating transactions and generating new bitcoins. Over the weekend, Beijing's crackdown on crypto mining extended to the hydropower-rich Sichuan province.

Then, the People's Bank of China on Monday said it had urged financial institutions including Alipay and major banks not to provide services related to cryptocurrency activities.

Investors have also become more concerned about bitcoin's environmental impact, after Tesla CEO Elon Musk decided to stop accepting bitcoin as a method of payment for his company's vehicles.

At the time, Musk said he was worried about bitcoin's huge energy consumption and the "rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels" in mining the digital asset. However, he later said Tesla would accept bitcoin when at least half of bitcoin mining is confirmed to be powered by clean energy.

Critics of the cryptocurrency have long been wary of its impact on the environment. That could threaten the adoption of bitcoin by institutional investors, which are under growing pressure to invest in cleaner, more ethical assets.

Meanwhile, there have also been concerns about tether, a so-called stablecoin whose price is meant to be pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Tether is now the world's third-largest digital currency with a market value of more than $60 billion. But some investors are worried tether's issuer doesn't have enough dollar reserves to justify its peg to the greenback.

Last month, the company behind tether broke down the reserves for its stablecoin, revealing that around 76% was backed by cash and cash equivalents but just under 4% of that was actual cash, while about 65% was commercial paper, a form of short-term debt.

It comes after the New York attorney general's office reached a settlement with Tether and Bitfinex, an affiliated digital currency exchange. The state's top law enforcement official had accused the firms of moving hundreds of millions of dollars to cover up the loss of $850 million in commingled client and corporate funds. Tether and Bitfinex agreed to pay $18.5 million in the settlement and were barred from operating in New York state, however the companies didn't admit to any wrongdoing.

CNBC's Tanaya Macheel contributed reporting.

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South Africa Africrypt Bitcoin Scam?: Cajee Brothers Missing Along With Billions – Bloomberg

Follow @crypto Twitter for the latest news.

A pair of South African brothers have vanished, along with Bitcoin worth $3.6 billion from their cryptocurrency investment platform.

A Cape Town law firm hired by investors says they cant locate the brothers and has reported the matter to the Hawks, an elite unit of the national police force. Its also told crypto exchanges across the globe should any attempt be made to convert the digital coins.

Following a surge in Bitcoins value in the past year, the disappearance of about 69,000 coins -- worth more than $4 billion at their April peak -- would represent the biggest-ever dollar loss in a cryptocurrency scam. The incident could spur regulators efforts to impose order on the market amid rising cases of fraud.

The first signs of trouble came in April, as Bitcoin was rocketing to a record. Africrypt Chief Operating Officer Ameer Cajee, the elder brother, informed clients that the company was the victim of a hack. He asked them not to report the incident to lawyers and authorities, as it would slow down the recovery process of the missing funds.

Some skeptical investors roped in the law firm, Hanekom Attorneys, and a separate group started liquidation proceedings against Africrypt.

We were immediately suspicious as the announcement implored investors not to take legal action, Hanekom Attorneys said in response to emailed questions. Africrypt employees lost access to the back-end platforms seven days before the alleged hack.

The firms investigation found Africrypts pooled funds were transferred from its South African accounts and client wallets, and the coins went through tumblers and mixers -- or to other large pools of bitcoin -- to make them essentially untraceable.

South Africa Plans to Regulate Crypto Trading in Phased Manner

Calls to a mobile number for Cajee were immediately directed to a voicemail service. He and his brother, Raees, 20, set up Africrypt in 2019 and it provided bumper returns for investors. Calls to Raees also went straight to voicemail. The company website is down.

The saga is unfolding after last years collapse of another South African Bitcoin trader, Mirror Trading International. The losses there, involving about 23,000 digital coins, totaled about $1.2 billion in what was called the biggest crypto scam of 2020, according to a report by Chainalysis. Africrypt investors stand to lose three times as much.

Crypto Havens Lure Firms Fleeing South Africa Regulator Fear

While South Africas Finance Sector Conduct Authority is also looking into Africrypt, it is currently prohibited from launching a formal investigation because crypto assets are not legally considered financial products, according to the regulators head of enforcement, Brandon Topham. The police have not yet responded to a request for comment.

China has recently escalated its crackdown on cryptocurrency trading after a frenzied surge in Bitcoin and other tokens over the past six months heightened longstanding Communist Party concerns about the potential for fraud, money laundering and trading losses by individual investors.

In January, the daily value of crypto-asset trading exceeded 2 billion rand ($141 million) for the first time in South Africa, suggesting significant appetite in a market that was largely going unchecked by regulatory powers.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.

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Crypto strategist says bitcoin pullback is shaking out investors who have ‘paper hands’ – CNBC

Longtime crypto bull Meltem Demirors reiterated her confidence in the cryptocurrency Tuesday, telling CNBC she believes the correction in bitcoin is simply weeding out the investors with "paper hands."

Paper hands is a term used in the crypto community to characterize people who sell a digital asset such as bitcoin when turbulence strikes markets. It's the opposite of so-called diamond hands, or ardent believers who say they will hold for the long term.

"We had 200 days of market expansion. You can't have a number go up forever. That doesn't happen in any market," Demirors said on "The Exchange." "What we're seeing is a correction, a contraction, and a lot of what is getting shaken out is what we call the 'paper hands,' the 'weak hands.'"

Demirors, the chief strategy officer at digital asset investment firm CoinShares, pointed to transaction activity on the bitcoin blockchain to support her view.

"There's a lot of retail that entered, didn't do their research, and is now selling. There are not a lot of long-term holders selling," she said. "If we look at on-chain activity, wallets that have been holding for a long time have actually been using this opportunity to accumulate."

Demirors' remarks on CNBC follow a wild ride for bitcoin Tuesday, which began with a heavy drop below the key $30,000 support level beforebouncing back into positive territoryin the afternoon. Analystshad been watchingthe $30,000 level after the cryptocurrency experienced a series of losses in May.

Earlier Tuesday morning, Wall Street strategist Tom Lee hadtold CNBCthat the world's largest cryptocurrency by market value faces a rough technical picture in the near term but that he still believes that bitcoin by market value could reach $100,000 per token by the end of 2021.

Like Demirors, Lee said he believes a lot of the recent selling has been from retail traders who jumped into bitcoin earlier this year when the cryptocurrency was marching higher toward its all-time high near $65,000 in April.

"I think we're going to continue to see consolidation here," Demirors said. "There is a lot of macro-uncertainty. Obviously, there's a lot of uncertainty around policy. There's also a lot of negative headlines."

China has recently been intensifying its crackdown on cryptocurrency.

"I think part of this is just the cycle we go through every several years with crypto, but we are seeing a lot of new inflows. We are seeing a lot of activity, in particular, on the market side," Demirors said.

While Demirors said "bitcoin has always been volatile," she explained that during the steep pullback in May, there was "a bunch of leverage coming off across the board. Now, we're done deleveraging. Now we're seeing a lot of cash selling."

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Bitcoin breaks below $30,000 for first time since January and ‘it is likely we may see more panic in the market’ – MarketWatch

Bitcoin, the worlds No. 1 cryptocurrency, fell to its lowest level since January on Tuesday, extending a price drop that has wiped out more than $1.3 trillion in market value for the broader crypto complex since a peak in May.

After falling as low as $29,083 on Tuesday morning, bitcoin BTCUSD, +1.36% was changing hands at nearly $32,000 by Tuesday evening, according to CoinDesk data. The days nadir marked its lowest price and its first breach of the psychologically significant $30,000 level since January, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Bitcoin is down more than 50% from its mid-April peak, paring its year-to-date gain to 10.4%.

Ether coin ETHUSD, +1.17% on the Ethereum blockchain, the No. 2 most valued crypto, was deepening a slide below $2,000 and trading at $1,874 on Tuesday evening. Ether is down about 60% from its peak, though it is up 150% on the year to date.

Bitcoinhas violated an important support level and it is likely that we may see more panic in the market as investors will think that it may be the end ofBitcoin, wrote Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade in a Tuesday note.

But investors should remember thatBitcoinis a kind of asset which has fought many similar pessimistic views many times. The current sell off could be the opportunity for many investors to load their portfolio withBitcoinwhich is selling at a huge discount, the analyst wrote.

Meanwhile, dogecoin DOGEUSD, +2.50%, the popular meme asset, was changing hands at around 19 cents, 2 cents above its daily low and down 75% from its early May peak.

The decline for the crypto has been attributed to regulatory action by China, where regulators have imposed restrictions on digital mining and trading of crypto in the Peoples Republic.

Cryptos price correction also comes as traditional markets are trying to recover from a brutal selloff last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.21%, the S&P 500 index SPX, -0.11% and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.13% saw a powerful rebound from last weeks slide on Monday as digital assets sank, leading some analysts to speculate that bitcoin might be experiencing a rotation out of the crypto and into equities.

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Bitcoin Prices Wild Ride: From Death Cross to a Near Bull Market. – Barron’s

Well, that was fast. Bitcoin has gone from a death cross to nearly a bull market in just a few short days.

Bitcoin formed that death crosswhat market technicians call the moment when the 50-day moving average drops below the 200-day moving averageover the weekend. It was a sign that more selling could be on the way.

And selling happened for a couple of days. Bitcoin went from more than $36,000 to less than $29,000 between Sunday and Tuesday, and had lost more than half its value from its all-time high.

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Then the selling stopped. Bitcoin is back near $34,000 Wednesday, an 18.5% bounce. Another 1.5 percentage points and Bitcoin will have gained 20%, which would qualify as a bull market.

Although with all the volatility, maybe typical bull and bear market designations dont apply to the cryptocurrency.

Al Root

*** Join Barrons senior managing editor Lauren R. Rublin, healthcare reporter Josh Nathan-Kazis, and RBC analyst Luca Issi Thursday at noon to discuss gene therapy and other innovations in biotechnology. Sign up here.

White House chief medical advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci called the Delta Covid variant the greatest threat to U.S. efforts to defeat the virus, with infections doubling about every two weeks.

Whats Next: Fauci said studies have shown that the Pfizer - BioNTech vaccine is 88% effective against the Delta variant two weeks after the second dose, and he urged Americans to get fully vaccinated to crush the outbreak.

Janet H. Cho

Investment bank Morgan Stanley told its staff on Tuesday that employees, clients, and visitors will have to prove they have been fully vaccinated before being allowed access to the firms offices in New York.

Whats Next: Morgan Stanley could follow Goldman Sachs in requiring employees to disclose their vaccine status. Such disclosure is voluntary at Morgan Stanley, as it is at JPMorgan.

Pierre Brianon

The Federal Trade Commission will review Amazon.coms planned takeover of the Hollywood studio MGM. The regulators new chair, Lina Khan, has been critical of the online retailers size and influence.

Whats Next: FTCs Khan, confirmed to the commission last week, made her name in antitrust circles by criticizing Amazon and broadly has argued that U.S. antitrust enforcement needs major changes to rein in dominant companies.

Liz Moyer

The median existing home price rose 23.6% to a record $350,300 in May, the highest year-over-year jump in at least 22 years, the National Association of Realtors said Tuesday. More buyers, lower borrowing rates, and fewer available homes pushed prices up.

Whats Next: Homes spent only about 17 days on the market in May, and sellers are getting multiple offers, fueled by low mortgage rates. More than half of homes sold above their list price in May, real-estate brokerage Redfin said.

Shaina Mishkin and Janet H. Cho

Peloton Interactive, once a stay-at-home darling, is shifting gears for the return to the office.

Whats Next: Some analysts have questioned whether Peloton can keep up its pandemic-fueled growth. Offering programs for large corporations could be one area for the company to attract new customers.

Connor Smith

Dear Quentin,

My fiance and I are currently in the process of planning a wedding, reassessing where wed like to buy a house. She is about to begin her 10-month unpaid internship in order to complete her Masters degree.

Throughout all of this, the biggest issue were facing is the wedding. We have been together for close to 11 years, and have been engaged for one year.

For the longest time, I thought we were on the same page---small wedding, no engagement photos, save the money, get a house, why go into marriage in debt?

As we begin to peel the layers of the onion, her thoughts have changed dramatically. She now envisions a wedding with 80-plus guests in a rented venue. She wants engagement photos. She wants to provide either plated or buffet food.

All of these things are adding up, even though we set a hard budget at $15,000, and we dont even have a quarter of that saved. I have money in stocks and I have savings, but I am strongly refusing to touch either of them for the sake of this joyous occasion.

Her parents have offered close to $10,000 to help, but I have insisted that money is better suited for a downpayment on a house when the time comes.

Im being looked at as simply someone who is unwilling to budge, and shes asked if I truly even want to get married.

How do I go about approaching this? I dont want to stonewall her at every turn. I want her to have an amazing day we remember for the rest of our lives, but shes yet to propose a plan on how we can save this money. I am beginning to feel as though shes looking at me to foot the bill almost entirely by myself.

Marriage sure does make love suck. Please tell me if Im pinching my pennies a little too tightly, or if Im right on the money.

Frustrated With Financials

Read The Moneyists response here.

Quentin Fottrell

Newsletter edited by Liz Moyer, Mary Romano, Matt Bemer, Ben Levisohn

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This ARK Fund Has a Big Bitcoin Stake. It’s Rising as the Currency Falls. – Barron’s

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Bitcoins price, and crypto-related stocks, have tumbled over the past week as China has cracked down on cryptocurrency mining and banking. But one exchange-traded fund with big holdings of the digital currency has made gains regardless.

The $5.8 billion ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ticker: ARKW), run by star fund manager Cathie Wood, is one of the ETFs with the most Bitcoin in its portfolio. That is no surprise given that Wood has famously said the digital currency would rise to as much as $500,000.

As of Tuesday, the fund had a 3.6% weight, or $207 million worth of shares, in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), a closed-end fund holding Bitcoin in custody for its shareholders. The ETF also had a 3.3% weight, or $189 million worth of shares, in the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global (COIN)

Those holdings are a drag on the fund, given Bitcoins hefty losses. Early Tuesday, the cryptocurrency tumbled below $30,000 for the first time since January, though it later recovered to about $32,500, for a loss of about 18% over the past week. Coinbase is down 4% over that time.

The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF, though, has risen 4.6% during the same period, with a gain of 1.7% on Tuesday alone. One positive factor is that the Grayscale fund, which was already trading at a discount to Bitcoins price, didnt fall as much as the cryptocurrency itself.

The ARK funds heavy holdings in other innovative internet stocks have limited the damage as well. Its second-largest holding, Shopify (SHOP), for example, has gone up by 14% in the past week. Other major holdings, such as Roku (ROKU), Twilio (TWLO), and Unity Software (U) have gained 19%, 12%, and 13%, respectively.

All those stocks struggled earlier this year as cyclical names gained favor and inflation worries flared up, but they have been on a steady upswing again since mid-May.

Bitcoin is now up just 13% for the year, and has lost more than half its value since hitting its record of $64,829 on the day in April that Coinbase went public. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is now just slightly below where it was at the beginning of the year. At its low point for 2021, in the middle of May, the fund was down 16% year to date.

Write to Evie Liu at evie.liu@barrons.com

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There’s a push to bring bitcoin to 401(k) plans. Why it could take awhile before you see these investments in yours – CNBC

Attendees at the Bitcoin 2021 Convention, a cryptocurrency conference held a June 4, 2021 in Miami.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

A recent bitcoin conference in Miami drew a mix of professionals who have wholeheartedly embraced the cryptocurrency.

Yet David Ramirez, chief investment officer at ForUsAll, said he was still able to surprise attendees with a new way to think about their holdings.

"I met with a lot of people who had been investing in this space for quite a while, who were staring down massive capital gains exposure," Ramirez said. "In the 401(k), that can largely be eliminated."

ForUsAll announced this month it had teamed up with Coinbase, a cryptocurrency exchange platform, to allow employees to put up to 5% of their 401(k) investments in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. The feature is offered through employers who sign up for a so-called self-directed cryptocurrency window.

More from Personal Finance:Here's why cryptocurrency crashes on weekends Advisors feel pull of cryptocurrency wave as clients express interestDivorcing spouses are using cryptocurrency to hide money

ForUsAll is not the first company to offer bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in 401(k) plans. Companies such as BitWage and Digital Asset Investment Management are also working to bring these investments to traditional retirement plans offered by employers.

Investors can already tap into cryptocurrency through their individual retirement accounts. And some professionals say they see a growing appetite to expand that to 401(k) plans, too.

Yet many traditional players in the industry are skeptical that employers offering retirement plans, known as plan sponsors, will clamor to offer these investments.

"Plan sponsors in general are still very unlikely to want to adopt any type of cryptocurrency into their investment line-up," said Aaron Pottichen, senior vice president at Alliant Retirement Consulting.

At the heart of the debate is whether these kinds of investments in a 401(k) will ultimately help or hurt investors.

Art at the cryptocurrency conference Bitcoin 2021 Convention at the Mana Convention Center in Miami on June 4, 2021.

Marco Bello | AFP | Getty Images

Because 401(k) plans are the primary savings choice for many Americans, not being able to access cryptocurrency in those accounts puts investors at a "structural disadvantage," Ramirez said.

Taxes are one big reason.

Roth 401(k) accounts, where post-tax dollars are invested, can offer an advantage to bitcoin investors, Ramirez said.

"If you invest in cryptocurrency in your 401(k) with Roth dollars, you get to keep 100% of the gains, essentially making it tax-free for you forever," Ramirez said.

Investing through a 401(k) can also help people avoid one tax pitfall many cryptocurrency investors face: tax trading risk, Ramirez said.

Take someone who buys bitcoin early in the year, then sells after a run-up in price and buys the cryptocurrency ether. If the overall market then tanks, they may ultimately end up owing more in taxes on the first trade than they have invested in ether.

It's just unlocking it in an easy fashion for the sponsors of the 401(k) that's going to enable the market to explode.

Jonathan Chester

CEO of Bitwage

"Sadly, I met a lot of people that learned it the hard way, and had to liquidate positions to cover taxes or worse," Ramirez said.

If instead the investment was made through a tax-deferred account, either with pre-tax or post-tax dollars, levies are not generated every time you trade, he said.

There's also another reason why 401(k) plans are preferable compared to IRAs: higher contribution limits.

This year, savers can put up to $19,500 in their 401(k), or $26,000 for those who are age 50 and over. In contrast, you can only put up to $6,000 in an IRA, or $7,000 for those 50 and up.

For investors who are allocating up to 10% of their retirement savings to cryptocurrencies, a 401(k) will give them the opportunity to have more invested, said Adam Pokornicky, chief operating officer at Digital Asset Investment Management, which is building model portfolios that plan participants can opt into.

While some may argue that bitcoin is too volatile for a 401(k), Pokornicky argues that actually works in investors' favor. "Volatility is a good thing to the upside," he said.

Another company named Bitwage launched its 401(k) offering over a year ago alongside its existing bitcoin payroll services.

There's demand to dollar-cost average investments into bitcoin, and retirement accounts are the "best version of this," said Jonathan Chester, CEO of Bitwage.

The company is seeing a lot of demand from participants who want to access to bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in their 401(k)s. "It's very hot," Chester said.

The biggest hurdle is getting companies to migrate to systems that enable bitcoin investments.

"It's just unlocking it in an easy fashion for the sponsors of the 401(k) that's going to enable the market to explode," Chester said.

All three companies say they are already seeing demand from employers looking to to add their offerings.

Yet traditional players currently still see more obstacles than opportunities with regard to letting people invest in bitcoin in their 401(k).

With 401(k) lawsuits generally increasing, these kinds of investments could be vulnerable because they are so new, Pottichen said. Ultimately, the Department of Labor may provide more guidance on how cryptocurrency investments should be handled in retirement plans.

"At this time, none of our clients are looking at cryptocurrency and thinking this is an asset class we need to have as part of our investment universe that we give our employees access to," Pottichen said of Alliant's clients, which range from start-ups to companies with thousands of employees.

Neal Nolan, director of business retirement services at Parsec Financial in Asheville, North Carolina, said he recently had a client who wanted to add bitcoin to their 401(k) through a self-directed brokerage account.

Though it was the first time Nolan had received such a request, he wasn't surprised. "I figured it would happen eventually," he said.

After the firm's investment committee met, the plan's trustees ruled against it.

One reason for keeping it out of the plan is that if one participant has a self-directed account, it has to be offered to everyone. That could be burdensome for plan sponsors, which would have the responsibility of monitoring those investments.

Moreover, an investment like bitcoin would have to be deemed reasonable for everyone in the plan, which is a high bar.

Ultimately, it's better to risk being late to the party than for retirement plans to sacrifice their role as good stewards of the funds, Nolan said.

"If you don't understand something, prudence would suggest you find out more information or wait," Nolan said. "Never invest in something that you can't understand or explain."

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There's a push to bring bitcoin to 401(k) plans. Why it could take awhile before you see these investments in yours - CNBC

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Has bitcoin bottomed out, or is a drop to $12,000 on the cards? – MoneyWeek

Today, by popular demand, we consider the recent price action in bitcoin.

We have been warning for some time that bitcoin is in a bear market.

Bear markets are not good environments in which to be long, bitcoin bear markets especially so.

But bear markets do also end, and if you can nail the low, you can make out like a bandit.

I can see one scenario in which yesterday was the low. I can also see one in which we head lower.

Let me outline them both to you and you can decide, along with the rest of the market, which is the most probable.

Well start with the price action itself. $64,000 was the high for bitcoin; we hit that back in April. Then bitcoin fell over 50% in just a few weeks, hitting a low of $30,000 in mid-May. Since then bitcoin has had a couple of rather anaemic rallies that have petered out around $40,000, and the price has returned to $30,000 again.

First comment: bitcoin is extraordinarily volatile. If you cant stomach the volatility, then take smaller positions. or take a long-term view I think bitcoin will be much higher in 2025 than it is now and ignore the short-term volatility. Go to the beach and stop looking at your phone.

Bitcoin is less volatile than it used to be, and it will get less volatile over time as the new technology goes mainstream, but it is still extraordinarily volatile. Either find a way of coping with the volatility, or accept that bitcoin isnt for you.

So heres the positive scenario: from false moves come fast moves in the opposite direction is a phrase you have heard me utter or rather read me utter on these pages many times.

Many traders call these situations a head fake, and they tend to occur around obvious points of support or resistance such as bitcoin at $30,000 now. They often occur at the start of major trends.

For example, a security has been knocking on the door of $100 for yonks. Finally it breaks above. Everyone thinks the security has broken out. It then collapses. It happens all the time at the beginning of bull and bear markets.

$30,000 was an obvious area of support for bitcoin. It tested that level three times over the last month. Yesterday it broke down below to $28,950.

Cue peak hysteria in the nocoiner press (which is most of the press), peak noise from the bears, and peak pain for the bulls. Its the headline story in the Financial Times, which is top of the publication pile when it comes to getting bitcoin wrong and bitcoin then rallies $5,000. Its as textbook a head fake as you will ever see and from false moves come fast moves in the opposite direction.

Im not a great fan of Elliott wave theory, which looks for recurring wave patterns in charts, but there are many who swear by it. No matter. If you are an Elliot waver, you will look at bitcoins price action over the few months and see as textbook a five-wave down as you will ever see. Its another bullish indicator.

Finally, I remind you that 30%, 40% and even 50% corrections are normal in bitcoin bull markets. They come with the territory. In 2013 bitcoin went to $200, collapsed to $70 in April, and by November it was nearly 20 times higher.

So thats the bullish scenario. Now for the bearish scenario.

Its a pretty simple scenario, really. Its a bear market. Crypto winters tend to go on for more than a year. There was way too much bullish sentiment at the top in April and that needs one of bitcoins 80%+ corrections to purge.

Theres another saying in technical analysis that you will have heard (read) me say the more time a level is retested, the less likely it is to hold. $30,000 looks like its about to give way. If $30,000 goes, then $20,000 comes into play, and after that, $12,000. To go back there would be typical bitcoin price action.

Moreover, the last halvening (when the mining rewards and the inflation rate both shrink) was in May 2020. Post-halvening bull markets tend to peter out after 12 months. This is the right time for it to have ended.

The trend is down. Its going lower.

So which of those two scenarios looks more likely to you?

As you can see, its quite easy to make a technical argument for both. I can just as easily make fundamental arguments. The technical genius of bitcoin, the spread into the mainstream, the scalability of tech are all arguments for higher prices. Government clampdowns, green energy, and the rising US dollar are all arguments for lower prices.

So forget about the waffle. What am I actually doing with my money? Actions speak louder than words and all that.

I have a long-term position in bitcoin. I think its going much higher, eventually, and Im ignoring the short-term volatility. I havent added to my position, but nor have I taken away. I was tempted to add at $30,000, but not tempted enough.

If it goes to $20,000 or $12,000, I may add. Ill deal with that if and when.

I am what they call a HODLER.

See you on the beach.

Daylight Robbery How Tax Shaped The Past And Will Change The Future is now out in paperback at Amazon and all good bookstores with the audiobook, read by Dominic, on Audible and elsewhere.

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Has bitcoin bottomed out, or is a drop to $12,000 on the cards? - MoneyWeek

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Bitcoin Depot Reports 155% Growth in the Last Year for Cryptocurrency ATM Industry – PRNewswire

ATLANTA, June 23, 2021 /PRNewswire/ --Over the last several years, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have shown massive growth. In the last year alone, Bitcoin prices have jumped from around $10,000 to an all-time high of $64,000 in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Ethereum's market cap has grown to hundreds of billions of dollars as platforms built on its network become more mainstream. In lockstep with this growth, Bitcoin Depot, the largest and fastest growing crypto ATM network, has seen a similar trend in the fintech industry.

In the eight years since the first crypto ATM was deployed, the industry has grown to more than 19,000 such machines across the world from nearly 600 operators. In the last 12 months, the number of global ATMs has increased by 155%, according to Coin ATM Radar. In fact, Bitcoin Depot is projectedto have 6,000 ATMs installed by the end of this year.

"The business case is there, proving the potential of this industry," said Bitcoin Depot President and CEO, Brandon Mintz. "Bitcoin is an inflation hedge due to its finite availability. We've seen this as its value increased exponentially over the last year. CryptoATMs are only going to increase in demand as consumers from all walks of life look to invest and use crypto in their daily lives to make payments, send remittances, etc. I expect our ATMs to be as prevalent as regular ATMs within a few years."

Crypto ATMs offer consumers the opportunity to exchange cash for cryptocurrency, allowing for quick and simple transactions that give users immediate access to this new ecosystem.Meanwhile, the ATMs provide retailers and other partners with a profitable alternative to traditional ATMs. As a result, Bitcoin Depot has been working with some of the largest convenience and grocery store chains around the world.

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About Bitcoin DepotBitcoin Depotis the world's largest cryptocurrency ATM network based inAtlanta,Georgia. The company'smission is to provide the most simple, convenient, and quickest cryptocurrency transactions, ultimately Bringing Crypto to the Masses. The 3,000-plus network of crypto ATMs enables users to buy over 30 different cryptocurrenciesinstantly. Learn more atwww.bitcoindepot.com, as well as on Facebook, Twitterand Instagram.

Contact: Lindsey Harrison6307301808[emailprotected]

SOURCE Bitcoin Depot

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Bitcoin Depot Reports 155% Growth in the Last Year for Cryptocurrency ATM Industry - PRNewswire

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