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Bitcoin hasn’t rallied much a month after the ‘halving’ event. Experts say $100000 is still in sight – Quartz

One month after Bitcoins big halving event, people in the crypto community want to know where the major cryptocurrency is heading.

Why Bitcoin and Ether are skyrocketing

The latest Bitcoin halving a technical event that cuts the reward for mining new Bitcoin by half occurredon April 19-20, which divided the reward from 6.25 Bitcoin to 3.125. Bitcoins halving, a feature to ensure the cryptocurrencys scarcity and safeguard it from inflation, happens every four years.

Right now, Bitcoins value is hovering around $65,000 and its primarily in the green because inflation has eased and the stock market is bullish. Bitcoin didnt jump significantly after the halving process and currently hovers roughly 12% below its record high of $73,803 set in March; its still up about 140% in the past year. But historically, Bitcoin has jumped after the halving event.

The first Bitcoin halving happened in November 2012, when the reward for mining a block was reduced from 50 Bitcoin to 25. At that time, Bitcoins price was $12. It went up to $44 in 100 days and then $135 in 300 days. The second halving event occurred in July 2016, when the reward was reduced from 25 Bitcoin to 12.5. The flagship cryptocurrency went from $658 to $1,551 in 300 days. At the third halving in May 2020, the Bitcoin incentive was reduced by half to 6.25 Bitcoin. At that time, Bitcoin was at $8,601, moving upward to $50,941 within 300 days.

Steven Lubka, a managing director at Bitcoin financial services company Swan Bitcoin, seems optimistic about the growth of the top cryptocurrency. In an email, he wrote that Bitcoins performance has a massive run-up ahead of the halving, which historically has not happened. Bitcoin has never really seen a sharp rise post-halving; it generally occurs on a month-by-month basis as time progresses, he said.

Rennick Palley, founding partner at the crypto venture capital firm Stratos, adds that in the next 12 months following the halving, Bitcoin will probably continue its upward price movement.

So why is this years halving different from its predecessors? Its primarily because Bitcoin reached its peak a month prior, making it difficult to maintain the same momentum. Plus, experts add, the mainstream adoption of Bitcoin and the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs have changed the factors that affect the price movement of the top cryptocurrency.

According to Palley, the price of Bitcoin is now largely determined by global liquidity dynamics and adoption. As fiat money continues to be printed and as more people around the world recognize the value of Bitcoin as a store of value, the price of Bitcoin in dollar terms will continue to rise, he said.

Many will continue to be surprised by Bitcoins changes in dynamics, but the analysts say they wont be surprised if the flagship cryptocurrency crosses the $100,000 mark this year. Its always difficult to forecast an exact timeframe, but I expect six-figure Bitcoin on the horizon, Lubka said.

CoinGecko, a crypto tracking website, finds that Bitcoins price has increased by 96,302% since 2013.

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Public Bitcoin miners secured $2B in financing ahead of halving – Cointelegraph

Public Bitcoin mining companies strengthened their balance sheets in anticipation of the latest halving event, which occurred in April.

According to BlocksBridge Consultings analysis of financial earnings from 12 public miners, ten of them raised a combined $2 billion in gross proceeds from equity financing activities, anticipating a post-halving slump in profitability. The same group of companies raised $1.25 billion in the last quarter of 2023.

Marathon Digital, CleanSpark and Riot Platforms led the pack of companies raising capital in the previous quarter, accounting for 73% of the funds secured. At the end of March, Marathon, CleanSpark, and Riot together held $1.33 billion in cash and over 32,200 Bitcoin (BTC) worth more than $2.2 billion.

The second quarter of 2024 is likely to see lower funding activity. According to BlocksBridge Consulting, less than $500 million of investment was poured into subscribing major public mining stocks as of May 15. The report notes:

Equity financing involves raising capital by selling shares of the company to investors. This tool can be used at various stages of a companys lifecycle. Once a company is public, it can issue additional shares to raise more funds from investors.

Bitcoin mining companies using this approach usually seek to fund infrastructure, technological upgrades and operational costs, especially in preparation for the Bitcoin halving event, which reduces mining rewards by half roughly every four years.

Miners reported mixed financial results for the first three months of 2024 as BTC prices and mining costs climbed. Riot Platforms posted a record net income of $211.8 million, marking a 1,000% increase from the same period last year. The strong results came even as Riot missed analysts forecasts due to higher mining costs and reduced Bitcoin production.

Core Scientific, which emerged from bankruptcy, reported $179.3 million in revenue over the period. Digital asset mining revenue exceeded mining costs of $68.4 million, resulting in a gross margin of 46%.

Marathon Digital also missed Wall Street analysts revenue estimates, citing bad weather and equipment failures. The companys revenues increased 223% year-on-year to $165.2 million, according to its earnings report.

Magazine: What do crypto market makers actually do? Liquidity, or manipulation

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Bitcoin in Focus As CME Reportedly Plans to Offer Spot Trading in the Cryptocurrency – Investopedia

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, remains in focus Thursday morning after the Financial Times reported that futures exchange CME Group (CME) plans to launch spot Bitcoin trading. The news comes a day after the digital asset logged its best one-day performance since March 25 after softer-than-expected inflation data.

Under the proposed plan, Chicago-based CME would run the spot trading business through the EBS currency trading venue in Switzerland, a platform that has comprehensive regulations relating to trading and storage of crypto assets, people with direct knowledge of the talks told the FT.

CME, which already offers a range of Bitcoin and Ether derivative products, has held discussions with traders who want to deal cryptocurrencies through a regulated marketplace, the sources said, though they noted no arrangements had been finalized.

The move would allow investors to execute more complex Bitcoin trading strategies involving both spot and futures markets, such as basis trades. These work by borrowing money to sell futures while buying the underlying spot asset and profiting through the spread differential between the two.

News of CME offering spot Bitcoin trading comes after the cryptocurrency gained more than 7% on Wednesday after weaker-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) figures eased concerns that persistent inflation could scuttle interest-rate cuts expected later this year. Bitcoin, like other risk-on assets, remains highly sensitive to rate movements as elevated yields make safer assets, such as U.S. Treasurys, more attractive to investors.

Bitcoins price has struggled to gain upside momentum since breaking down from a symmetrical triangle in early April, with investors promptly selling into any countertrend rallies over the past month. However, in a sign sentiment may be swinging back in favor of the bulls, Mondays rally, which occurred on the highest trading volume in two weeks on Coinbase, saw the legacy cryptocurrency close above the closely watched 50-day moving average (MA).

Looking ahead, a move higher from these levels could set the stage for Bitcoin making another attempt at its $73,835.57 all-time high (ATH) set in March this year, while a failure to hold above the 50-day MA could see the bears regain control and the price fall to longer-term support around $52,500.

Bitcoin was trading at around $66,400 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

The comments, opinions, and analyses expressed on Investopedia are for informational purposes only. Read ourwarranty and liability disclaimerfor more info.

As of the date this article was written, the author does not own any of the above securities.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction as BTC Blasts Toward All-Time High Are Whales Buying Again? – Cryptonews

Last updated: May 21, 2024 05:26 EDT | 3 min read

Bitcoin price predictions are gaining significant attention as the cryptocurrencys value approaches its all-time high. Recent surges have propelled Bitcoin to $71,000, fueled by strong inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs and renewed interest from institutional investors like Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan.

The overall positive market sentiment, bolstered by the potential approval of Ethereum ETFs, further supports the bullish outlook. As Bitcoin nears its peak, speculation about its future performance intensifies among investors and analysts alike.

Recent data shows a notable rise in investments in digital asset products, despite lower overall trading volumes. Total inflows reached $932 million for the second consecutive week, primarily driven by an unexpected Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.

This report spurred a surge in investment, with 89% of inflows occurring in the last three trading days. Bitcoin saw substantial inflows of $942 million, indicating growing investor confidence.

The increased investment in digital asset products, particularly Bitcoin, highlights the markets positive sentiment and confidence in its future performance.

Ethereums price jumped over 16% as Bloomberg analysts raised the likelihood of spot Ethereum ETF approval to 75%, citing potential political pressure on the SEC.

However, Grayscales CEO stepping down complicates the situation ahead of the SECs decisions on VanEcks and Ark 21Shares ETF applications, expected on May 23 and 24.

Nate Geraci outlined the SECs ETF approval process, indicating that approval of 19b-4 filings could lead to eventual S-1 approvals. Despite initial doubts due to the CEOs resignation, the improved ETF approval odds suggest a positive outlook for Ethereum.

The potential approval of Ethereum ETFs is likely to boost market sentiment, which could also positively influence Bitcoins price due to the correlation between major cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) currently trades at $71,254, down 0.75% amid correction, yet Bitcoin price prediction remains bullish. The 4-hour chart indicates several key price levels to monitor. T

he pivot point is set at $71,995, with immediate resistance at $73,306, followed by further resistance levels at $74,567 and $75,656. On the downside, immediate support is at $70,560, with additional support levels at $69,695 and $68,263.

Technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 80, indicating overbought conditions that often precede a pullback. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $65,588, underscoring the underlying bullish trend despite recent volatility.

Bitcoin has recently closed a Doji candle, followed by solid bullish engulfing candles, which typically signal a potential bearish correction. On the downside, BTC could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level around $69,500.

Conversely, a bullish breakout above $72,000 could pave the way for further gains towards $73,275 or even $74,500.

Current Trend: Bitcoins technical outlook is bearish below $72,000. A break above this level could shift sentiment to a more bullish bias, targeting $73,275 and beyond.

Conversely, failure to hold above immediate support at $70,560 may lead to further declines towards $69,695 and $68,263.

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Analyst Says $71000 Bitcoin Move Is Only Halfway Through, Here’s Why – NewsBTC

An analyst has explained how the current Bitcoin surge appears to have hit the halfway completion mark if this indicator is to go by.

In a new post on X, analyst Willy Woo has posted an update for how the Bitcoin Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) Oscillator is looking like after the latest rally.

The VWAP is an indicator that, as its full form suggests, calculates an average price for the cryptocurrency based on not just the changes in the price over the day but also the volume that was traded at these prices.

Normally, this volume is measured using the spot volume data provided by centralized exchanges. Still, in the case of Bitcoin, the blockchain is available for anyone to explore, so on-chain volume is used to calculate the VWAP instead.

The VWAP Oscillator, which is the actual metric of interest here, takes the ratio between the cryptocurrencys spot price and the VWAP and represents it as an oscillator around zero.

Earlier in the month, Woo had pointed out how the Bitcoin VWAP Oscillator was forming a bullish divergence for the asset.

As is visible in the chart, the Bitcoin VWAP Oscillator climbed up inside the negative territory after forming an apparent bottom back then. At the same time, the cryptocurrencys price had been heading down instead.

In the past, such a setup has proven to be bullish for the coin, and the resulting bullish momentum usually lasts until the VWAP Oscillator tops out in positive territory. As such, the analyst remarked that the coin had a lot of room to run back then.

Since then, the price has experienced a recovery rally, potentially suggesting that the bullish divergence may be paying off. As Woo pointed out, the indicator has returned to the neutral mark after this run.

Based on the fact that tops in the past have occurred after the metric peaks in the positive territory and based on the scale of these peaks usually, the analyst concludes, this Bitcoin move is now at the halfway mark.

As for how things could play out next, the analyst says,

Consolidation under all-time-high needs to happen for a little, then we see if the second leg gives us escape velocity to new highs which will open up the flood gates.

Woo has also shared a risk signal for Bitcoin, which shows where the asset is when looking at the bigger picture.

BTC may be in that part of the cycle where risk begins to drive up as price reacts violently to capital inflows. Thats where most of the fast gains happen, notes the analyst.

Bitcoin had recovered above $71,000 earlier in the day, but the asset appears to have seen a pullback since then, as its now back below $70,000.

Featured image from Shutterstock.com, woocharts.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin price hits $70K as spot and BTC ETF buying surges – Cointelegraph

Bitcoin (BTC) price rallied to the coveted $70,000 mark amid a noticeable surge in spot buying and spot BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF) purchasing, with the cryptocurrency community pondering whether the bull market is just beginning or nearing its peak.

Analyst ELI5 of TLDR suggested that the majority of on-chain indicators point to a nascent bull market, despite some showing topping patterns. The recent support bounce near $60,000 has sparked increased interest, with Farside Investors reporting approximately $950 million in inflows last week, a figure not seen since March.

Should this trend continue, BTC could potentially exceed expectations. Currently, BTC is trading within a few hundred dollars of $70,000, with the 20-day EMA at $64,371 and a positive RSI indicating that an upward breakout is more likely. Overcoming the $68,000 resistance suggests that BTC price is on the path to $73,777, though this level may trigger a strong bearish response.

Conversely, a break below the moving averages could signal a bearish downturn, with potential drops to $59,600 and $56,552.

In the broader economic context, Bitcoins 51% year-to-date gain is reflective of investors' anticipation of U.S. monetary expansion, which saw the M2 monetary base surpass $21.0 trillion in April 2024.

This increase in circulating money hints at rising inflationary pressures despite a period of spending hesitancy by companies and individuals. The United States Federal Reserves strategies to manage inflation and avoid a recession could impact the liquidity and, consequently, the attractiveness of scarce assets like Bitcoin.

Related:ETFs buy 3X new BTC supply 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

Adding to the bullish sentiment, exchange BTC reserves have plummeted to a seven-year low, with CryptoQuant data showing only 1,918,417 BTC available on major trading platforms as of May 19, a significant decrease from the previous year.

This scarcity, coupled with the recent halving event that has halved the potential new supply from miners, makes a bearish stance on Bitcoin increasingly difficult to justify.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin rally above $67.5K could spark new record highs, says 10x Research – Cointelegraph

Bitcoins price could start rallying to new all-time highs if it manages to decisively rise above the crucial $67,500 mark.

The $67,500 level is acting as a significant resistance line for Bitcoin (BTC), which could determine its price action in the coming weeks, according to a May 20 report by Markus Thielen, the head of research at 10x Research.

Thielen wrote:

The predictions come after Bitcoin staged a significant recovery above the $66,000 psychological mark. The worlds first cryptocurrency is up over 7.3% during the past week, according to TradingView.

Last weeks price recovery is a promising sign for Bitcoins price action, added Thielen:

Inflows from the United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) remained positive for the second consecutive week, as the ETFs amassed over $200 million worth of cumulative net inflows, which is just half compared to the previous weeks $413 million, according to Dune.

Before the week beginning May 6, Bitcoin ETF net flows had been negative for three consecutive weeks.

Institutional inflows from ETFs were a significant part of the current Bitcoin rally to new all-time highs. By Feb. 15, Bitcoin ETFs accounted for about 75% of new investment in the worlds largest cryptocurrency as it surpassed the $50,000 mark.

However, Bitcoin faces significant resistance at the $67,500 mark. A potential move above would liquidate nearly $300 million worth of leveraged short positions across all crypto exchanges, according to CoinGlass.

Related: Over 80% of recent Binance token listings are bleeding red

On the monthly chart, Bitcoin has flipped an important resistance into support, which could signal more bullish momentum, according to a May 16 X post by popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital.

The move happened as Tether minted $1 billion worth of its Tether (USDT) stablecoin on May 17, bringing its yearly total to $31 billion of newly issued USDT.

The newly minted USDT was a big reason why Bitcoin price climbed from $27,000 to $73,000, according to a May 17 post from Lookonchain:

Tether could also directly contribute to Bitcoins rally. The company said it would invest 15% of its net profit in Bitcoin to diversify the stablecoins backing assets.

Tether acquired 8,888 BTC on March 31, worth $618 million, making the stablecoin issuer the seventh-largest Bitcoin holder in the world, according to BitInfoCharts.

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Bitcoin rally above $67.5K could spark new record highs, says 10x Research - Cointelegraph

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Craig Wright forged documents ‘on a grand scale’ in false claim to be bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto: judge – New York Post

A British judge slapped down an Australian computer scientist who claimed to be the enigmatic bitcoin inventor Satoshi Nakamoto, saying he has extensively and repeatedly lied about his identity.

Judge James Mellor of Londons High Court determined that Craig Wright who has insisted for years that he authored the 2008 white paper that spawned bitcoin had also committed forgery on a grand scale to convince the world he was Satoshi in a scathing ruling issued Monday.

The judge had already determined in March that there was overwhelming evidence against Wrights claim that he was Satoshi.

Dr. Wright presents himself as an extremely clever person. However, in my judgment, he is not nearly as clever as he thinks he is, Mellor wrote as he gave the reasons for his conclusions.

All his lies and forged documents were in support of his biggest lie: his claim to be Satoshi Nakamoto.

Wright faced trial in connection to a lawsuit filed by the Crypto Open Patent Alliance, which was attempting to halt his bid to sue bitcoin developers for allegedly violating his intellectual property rights.

COPA whose members include Twitter founder Jack Dorseys payments firm Block described Mondays ruling as a watershed moment for the open-source community.

Developers can now continue their important work maintaining, iterating on, and improving the bitcoin network without risking their personal livelihoods or fearing costly and time-consuming litigation from Craig Wright,a COPA spokesperson said in a statement.

Wright was specifically asked about the forgery allegations during the trial and denied wrongdoing.

If I forged that document, it would be perfect, Wright said when presented with one alleged forgery.

COPA said it may askUK prosecutors to bring perjury chargesagainst Wright.

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Dr Wrights attempts to prove he was/is Satoshi Nakamoto represent a most serious abuse of this Courts process, Mellor said in his ruling.

Despite the harsh rebuke, Wright said Monday in a post on X that he intends to challenge the court ruling.

I fully intend to appeal the decision of the court on the matter of the identity issue, the post said. I would like to acknowledge and thank all my supporters for their unwavering encouragement and support.

The person or persons behind the Satoshi Nakamoto pseudonym are known to possess a stash of up to 1.1 million bitcoins valued at more than $78 billion at present.

A single bitcoin was worth more than $71,000 as of Tuesday, with prices surging more than 60% since the start of the year.

Bitcoins market cap is more than $1.4 trillion, far higher than any other digital currency on the market.

With Post wires

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Why is Bitcoin Price Up Today? BTC Eyes $75k ahead of Ethereum ETFs – The Crypto Basic

Bitcoin price rose as high as $71,954 on May 20, its highest in 38 days, on-chain data trends highlight lingering reactions to recent US macroeconomic indices and impending Ethereum ETF approval as key catalyst behind the rally.

Bitcoin price surged to a 38-day peak of $71,954, on May 21, 2024, largely due to a reports from Bloomberg analysts that the US Securities and Exchange Comission is set to approve Ethereum ETF.

After a volatile start to the month, Bitcoin price fell as low as $60,207 on May 11. But since then the crypto market has flipped bullish thanks to a successive bullish whispers emerging from US regulators, ranging from the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

Since Bloomberg Sr. ETF Analyst, Eric Balchunas statement on Monday afternoon that ETH spot ETF approval chances are now 75%, Bitcoin price surged 9% from $66,859 to $71,934 before finding support around the $71,000 level at the time of writing on May 20.

Undoubtedly, bullish tailwinds from the positive sentiment surrounding Ethereum ETF approval is pivotal to the latest wave of the BTC price rally.

However, on-chain data suggests a continuation of the bullish accumulation trend that began shortly after the latest US CPI data release.

CryptoQuant Exchange Reserves chart below shows the real-time changes balance of all bitcoins deposited in exchange-hosted wallets. Declining Exchange Reserves occur when majority of Bitcoin holders are bullish, and are opting to shift their holdings into long-term storage.

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On May 15, the US labor of Bureau Statistics announced that the US core inflation declined to 3.4% in April 2024. The BTC exchange reserves (blue) trend line above shows how Bitcoin investors reaction to the dovish US CPI report may have contributed to the 9% BTC price breakout in the last 48 hours.

Bitcoin investors held a total of 1,946,808 BTC as of May 15, when the cooler-than-expected CPI data was released. But since then there has been a clear trend of investors shifting large amount of BTC into long-term storage.

At the time of publication on May 21, the total bitcoin deposited on exchanges and trading platforms has now dropped to 1,919,030 BTC. This implies that investors have removed 27,778 BTC (worth approximately $1.96 billion) from the supply of coins readily available to be traded on exchanges.

When such a large number of coins are removed from the market supply, it signals bullish sentiment among holders, and it also increases the odds of a price breakout, if it coincides with a demand surge.

This partly explains why BTC price rapidly jumped 9% within just 12-hours, after Bloomberg analysts announced the likelihood of Ethereum ETFs approval by the SEC.

Bitcoin price looks set for another leg-up after the 9% surge recorded in the 24-hour timeframe. With BTC exchange reserves still trending lower than last months bottom, theres a chance that an official positive verdict from the SEC could spark another breakout above $75,000 in the days ahead.

IntoTheBlocks global in/out of the money price data also affirms this bullish stance.

It shows that at the current prices, 98.7% of all active Bitcoin holders are in profit. Hence majority of BTC traders could be unwilling to sell, at least, until the SECs verdict on Ethereum ETFs expected before the May 23/24 deadline.

If this scenario holds, BTC will likely consolidate the $68,900 support level, where over 1.45 million investors had previously acquired over 954,500 BTC.

Disclaimer: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basics opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.

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Bitcoin hits record in Japan, Argentina and Philippines’ local currency – Cointelegraph

Bitcoinnotched all-time highs in several countries across Asia and South America following a 7% surge on the day pushing the cryptocurrency ever closer to its United States dollar peak.

Bitcoin (BTC)prices hit an intraday and six-week high of $71,650 on May 21, following a gain of more than 7% over the past 24 hours.

The asset has returned to within 3.4% of its March 14 all-time high in U.S. dollar terms of $73,738, according to CoinGecko.

However, the big move pushed Bitcoin to new peaks against several other fiat currencies.

According to CoinMarketCap, in Japan, BTC hit an all-time high of 11.2 million yen in early trading on May 21.

It is the first time the asset has been worth more than 11 million yen. The local currency has weakened against the U.S. dollar in recent months, losing 10% against the greenback since January.

Bitcoin prices also peaked in Argentina when the asset tapped 63.8 million Argentine pesoson May 21, slightly higher than the March high.

The South American nation has been battling inflation currently at a whopping 290% and currency devaluation in recent years.

Similarly, 1 Bitcoin was briefly worth a record 4.18 million pesos in the Philippines on May 21, beating mid-March highs.

Other nations where BTC prices have equaled or come very close to their mid-March peak prices include Britain, Australia, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Egypt, Israel, Norway, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Turkey, as noted by industry observer Thomas Fahrer on X.

Related: Bitcoin price hits $70K as spot and BTC ETF buying surges

Hours earlier, crypto analyst Willy Woo observed that a months worth of Bitcoin short position buildup was just liquidated.

One more layer to go in order to short-squeeze past all-time highs, he added.

Meanwhile, Coinglass reportedthat over the past 24 hours, 79,010 traders were liquidated, with total crypto liquidations at $345 million and 78.5% being short positions.

In a market update earlier this week, 10x Researchs head of research, Markus Thielen, predicted a breakthrough above $67,500 could potentially lead to new all-time highs.

BTC is trading at $70,945 at the time of writing, just $2,500 shy of a new all-time high in U.S. dollars.

Magazine:What do crypto market makers actually do? Liquidity, or manipulation

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