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Elon Musk and dozens of other technology leaders have called on AI labs to pause the development of systems that can compete with human-level intelligence.

In an open letter from the Future of Life Institute, signed by Musk, Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak and 2020 presidential candidate Andrew Yang, AI labs were urged to cease training models more powerful than GPT-4, the latest version of the large language model software developed by U.S. startup OpenAI.

"Contemporary AI systems are now becoming human-competitive at general tasks,and we must ask ourselves:Shouldwe let machines flood our information channels with propaganda and untruth?" the letter read.

"Shouldwe automate away all the jobs, including the fulfilling ones?Shouldwe develop nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart,obsolete and replaceus?Shouldwe risk loss of control of our civilization?"

The letter added, "Such decisions must not be delegated to unelected tech leaders."

The Future of Life Institute is a nonprofit organization based in Cambridge, Massachusetts, that campaigns for the responsible and ethical development of artificial intelligence. Its founders include MITcosmologistMax TegmarkandSkypeco-founderJaan Tallinn.

The organization has previously gotten the likes of Musk and Google-owned AI lab DeepMind to promise never to develop lethal autonomous weapons systems.

The institute said it was calling on all AI labs to "immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4."

GPT-4, which was released earlier this month, is thought to be far more advanced than its predecessor GPT-3.

"If such a pause cannot be enacted quickly, governments should step in and institute a moratorium," it added.

ChatGPT, the viral AI chatbot, has stunned researchers with its ability to produce humanlike responses to user prompts. By January, ChatGPT had amassed 100 million monthly active users only two months into its launch, making it the fastest-growing consumer application in history.

The technology is trained on huge amounts of data from the internet, and has been used to create everything from poetry in the style of William Shakespeare to drafting legal opinions on court cases.

But AI ethicists have also raised concerns with potential abuses of the technology, such as plagiarism and misinformation.

In the Future of Life Institute letter, technology leaders and academics said AI systems with human-competitive intelligences poses "profound risks to society and humanity."

"AI research and development should be refocused on making today's powerful, state-of-the-art systems more accurate, safe, interpretable, transparent, robust, aligned, trustworthy, and loyal," they said.

OpenAI was not immediately available for comment when contacted by CNBC.

OpenAI, which is backed by Microsoft, reportedly received a $10 billion investment from the Redmond, Washington technology giant. Microsoft has also integrated the company's GPT natural language processing technology into its Bing search engine to make it more conversational.

Google subsequently announced its own competing conversational AI product for consumers, called Google Bard.

Musk has previously said he thinks AI represents one of the "biggest risks" to civilization.

The Tesla and SpaceX CEO co-founded OpenAI in 2015 with Sam Altman and others, though he left OpenAI's board in 2018 and no longer holds a stake in the company.

He has criticized the organization a number of times recently, saying he believes it is diverging from its original purpose.

Regulators are also racing to get a handle on AI tools as the technology is advancing at a rapid pace. On Wednesday, the U.K. government published a white paper on AI, deferring to different regulators to supervise the use of AI tools in their respective sectors by applying existing laws.

WATCH: OpenAI says its GPT-4 model can beat 90% of humans on the SAT

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Elon Musk and other tech leaders call for pause on 'dangerous race' to make A.I. as advanced as humans - CNBC

(Image credit: Adam Proctor)

Extending the mind into million-year timescales can feel daunting, but as Richard Fisher discovered, there are many benefits to be found by embracing a longer view.

I

In 1788, three men set off to search a stretch of coast in eastern Scotland, looking for a very special outcrop of rocks. It would reveal that Earth was far, far older than anybody thought.

Leading the party was James Hutton, one of the first geologists. His goal was to show his peers an "unconformity" two juxtaposing rock layers, separated by a sharp line.

If you stumbled on one, you might not recognise its significance, but it proved that aeons of "deep time" had passed before humans emerged on Earth. There was no other way to explain these features.

Hutton's unconformity (yellow) at Siccar Point, which he reasoned must have taken millions of years to form (Credit: Adam Proctor)

For centuries, the Biblical account of time had been dominant in Europe. By one analysis of the generations in the Old Testament, conducted by an archbishop in 1650, the Earth must have been created in 4004BC.

Hutton, however, would transform that view.

His companions to Siccar Point, east Scotland, in 1788 were astonished. As one of them wrote afterwards: "The mind seemed to grow giddy by looking so far back into the abyss of time. And while we listened with earnestness and admiration to the philosopher who was now unfolding to us the order and series of these wonderful events, we became sensible how much further reason may sometimes go than imagination may venture to follow."

The insight would be one of geologys most transformational contributions to human thought, allowing us to "burst the limits of time", as one eminent scientist later put it. Time, according to Hutton, had "no vestige of a beginning, no prospect of an end".

Looking down at Hutton's Unconformity, on an "Anthropocene coast" (Credit: Adam Proctor)

The discovery of deep time would change how we see the world. Not only did it rewrite the Biblical account of time, it would provide the canvas for the theory of evolution. Later, it would help astronomers to show that the Earth itself was relatively young compared with the age of Universe.

For the past few years, I have been writing and researching about how to take a longer view. To help me understand the mind-expanding scope of deep time, I recently set out to make three films for the BBC about its discovery and implications starting with a trip to Hutton's unconformity.

Looking back to the past, how did Hutton's discovery change the world? How might we make sense of deep time's daunting scale in the present? And how should we think about the deep future?

In the first of the films, I traced the steps of Hutton and his companions to the unconformity at Siccar Point.

In the 18th Century, the three men used a boat to get there, but I chose to hike there with David Farrier, a professor of literature and the environment at the University of Edinburgh. As the author of the book Footprints, which is about the "future fossils" we are leaving behind in the Anthropocene, he was the ideal companion. Why? As we'd discover, this particular stretch of coastline is now notable for more than its natural features: it also hosts a nuclear power station and a carbon-intensive cement works, whose own legacies will continue long into the future.

Later, I also met musician Karine Polwart, who during the Covid-19 pandemic was inspired to record a song about Hutton's discovery at Siccar Point.

WATCH:

The man who discovered the abyss of time

In the second film, I wanted to explore how we might make sense of the awe-inspiring scale of deep time today and crucially, not just with the lens of science alone.

When I reflect on how short my own lifespan is within the million-year chronologies of the Earth, it can feel pretty daunting. From the planet's perspective, our lives are momentary flashes of light on the surface of a lake; briefly bright, but quickly gone. Thinking about deep time can therefore be a sublime experience: astonishing, but tinged with the awareness of your own mortality.

One person who has spent a career thinking about deep time is the artist Katie Paterson. Through her artworks, she makes long-term timescales more accessible, more comprehensible, more human.

In the film, I visited two of her projects: the Future Library in Norway, which contains books that can't be read until 2114, and Requiem, which tells the story of the Earth and humanity through 34 vials of dust, from pre-solar grains to a crushed tree branch from the site of the Hiroshima atomic bomb.

Paterson's work helps to make the long view of deep time a little bit easier to comprehend as well as providing clarity and urgency about the role that our generation is playing within it.

WATCH:

The art of thinking in 'deep time'

Finally, in the third film, I reflected on our personal, generational connections across long-term time: not just to the past, but the deep future too.

When I daydream about the life that could lie ahead for my daughter Grace, I realise that she stands a pretty good chance of seeing the 22nd Century. Born in 2013, she would be 86 years old when 2100 arrives. If she has grandchildren or great-grandchildren, they might even reach the next century after that.

Through our family ties, we are far closer to seemingly distant dates in time than first appears and we have a surprising amount in common with one another in terms of our ancestry too. As the film explores, you don't even need to have children to figure in this deep time narrative, and your actions today will reach far further across time than you might realise.

WATCH:

The 22nd Century people living among us

Making these films, I realised that deep time needn't be an impersonal, cold concept, and that there are benefits to be found by embracing a million-year view.

The writer John McPhee, who popularised the term in the 1980s, argued perhaps pessimistically that human beings may not be capable of grasping the concept of deep time to its full extent. "The human consciousness may have begun to leap and boil some sunny day in the Pleistocene, but the race by and large has retained the essence of its animal sense of time," he wrote in his influential book Basin and Range. "People think in five generations two ahead, two behind with heavy concentration on the one in the middle. Possibly that is tragic, and possibly there is no choice."

McPhee suggested that the units of years, the common currency of humanitys temporal understanding, become ever-less useful and tractable once time becomes very big. "Numbers do not seem to work well with regard to deep time. Any number above a couple of thousand years 50,000, 50 million will with nearly equal effect awe the imagination to the point of paralysis," he wrote.

However, while it is true that million-year chronologies may be beyond our direct sensory faculties, that doesn't mean we cannot try to extend the mind over thousands, millions or even billions of years. And there could be upsides to doing so: a deep-time view can provide the kind of perspective that we need within the upheaval of the Anthropocene.

As Paterson told me when we met in Edinburgh: "It's a mind-bending concept thinking about things that happened millions, billions of years into the past. And I can understand that some people might find that pretty difficult. Oddly, I never have. I've always just been absolutely delighted by this idea that we've got the capacity to know and understand or imagine what's come before us. I find it really inspiring and eye-opening and moving, and it gives me a kind of rootedness."

*Richard Fisher is the author of The Long View: Why We Need to Transform How the World Sees Time, and a senior journalist for BBC Future. Twitter:@rifish

The Deep Time films were filmed, edited and produced by Adam Proctorat Fortsunlight.

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Originally posted here:
The benefits of 'deep time thinking' - BBC