Palantir's (NYSE:PLTR) stock price tumbled 9% on Tuesday after the data-mining firm posted its third-quarter earnings. The pullback was a bit surprising since its growth rates looked healthy and it offered rosy guidance for the full year.
Let's dig deeper into Palantir's third-quarter report, and review three compelling reasons to buy the stock -- as well as one reason to sell it.
Image source: Palantir.
Palantir's revenue rose 36% year over year to $392 million, which beat analysts' expectations by about $5.5 million.
Palantir generated 56% of its quarterly revenue from government contracts and the remaining 44% from commercial contracts. When Palantir went public last September, the bears claimed it would struggle to expand its commercial business to reduce its dependence on government contracts.
However, Palantir's commercial growth actually accelerated throughout 2021 and grew faster than its government business in the third quarter:
Revenue Growth (YOY)
FY 2019
FY 2020
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Q3 2021
Government
35%
77%
76%
66%
34%
Commercial
17%
22%
19%
28%
37%
Total
25%
47%
49%
49%
36%
Source: Palantir. YOY = Year over year.
Palantir attributed that acceleration to the growth of its U.S. commercial business, which more than doubled its revenue year over year.
Its commercial customer count rose 46% sequentially and more than doubled since the beginning of the year. Its average revenue per top-20 customer also increased 35% year over year. Those growth rates suggest that Palantir's hardened reputation as a data mining platform for the U.S. government is attracting a lot of attention from enterprise customers.
Palantir's government business also continued to grow against tough year-over-year comparisons, as it secured new contracts with the U.S. Air Force, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, and the NIH.
Palantir expects its revenue to rise 40% to $1.53 billion for the full year. It also maintained its long-term guidance for more than 30% annual revenue growth from 2021 to 2025.
Palantir is still unprofitable on a generally accepted accounting practices (GAAP) basis. It posted a net loss of $102.1 million during the third quarter, compared to its loss of $853.3 million a year ago (which bore the impact of the high stock-based compensation expenses related to its direct listing).
However, its adjusted (non-GAAP) gross and operating margins, which exclude its stock-based compensation and other one-time expenses, expanded year over year and remained stable quarter over quarter:
Period
Q3 2020
Q2 2021
Q3 2021
Adjusted Gross Margin
81%
82%
82%
Adjusted Operating Margin
25%
31%
30%
Source: Palantir.
As a result, Palantir's non-GAAP net income rose 51% year over year to $82.1 million, or $0.04 per share, which matched analysts' expectations.
That profit growth indicates Palantir still has plenty of pricing power, and its operating margins are improving as it scales up its main platforms.
Palantir's strong growth in revenue and adjusted profits turned its adjusted free cash flow (FCF) positive this year.
Period
First 9 months of 2020
First 9 months of 2021
Adjusted free cash flow
($285 million)
$320 million
Source: Palantir.
In its third-quarter report, it boosted its full-year adjusted FCF guidance by about $100 million to more than $400 million.
Palantir is growing rapidly, but its stock still trades at over 30 times this year's sales. That high price-to-sales ratio could limit its near-term gains.
Palantir's excessive use of stock-based compensation also caused its weighted-average shares to more than double year over year in the third quarter. As a result, its non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) remained flat from a year ago even as its adjusted net income increased 51%.
That ongoing dilution is common for unprofitable high-growth companies, but it could also prevent Palantir's valuations from cooling off. Its frequent usage of non-GAAP metrics also masks the fact that nearly two decades after its inception, Palantir still lacks a viable path toward GAAP profitability.
Investors should realize that Palantir is a risky and volatile stock. That said, I still believe its strengths outweigh its weaknesses.
Palantir's valuation is high, but it isn't outrageous in a market that values Cloudflare (NYSE:NET) at nearly 100 times this year's sales and CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) at almost 50 times this year's sales. For reference, Wall Street expects Cloudflare and CrowdStrike's revenues to increase 49% and 61%, respectively, this year.
Palantir isn't growing as rapidly as those two cloud-based companies, but it's equally disruptive. Just as Cloudflare is changing how companies secure their websites and deliver digital media, and how CrowdStrike is disrupting the cybersecurity market with cloud-native services, Palantir is changing how government agencies and large companies collect and analyze data from disparate sources to make data-driven decisions.
In short, Palantir remains a compelling long-term play for investors who can stomach the near-term volatility. If it achieves its goal of generating more than $4.3 billion in revenue by 2025, its stock could easily triple or generate even bigger multibagger gains over the next few years.
This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the official recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. Were motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one of our own -- helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.
See the original post here:
3 Reasons to Buy Palantir, And 1 Reason To Sell - The Motley Fool
- Electric Vehicles for Construction, Agriculture and Mining Market 2020 | In-Depth Study On The Current State Of The Industry And Key Insights Of The... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Robotic process automation market Business Opportunities and Future Strategies with Major Vendors | Celaton Ltd., Redwood Software, Uipath SRL, Verint... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Tissue Expander Market: Projected To Witness Vigorous Expansion By 2020 2026 | Sientra, Inc.; GC Aesthetics; KOKEN CO.,GROUPE SEBBIN SAS -... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Insulation Coating Market: Report Offers Intelligence And Forecast Till 2020 2027 | Sharpshell Industrial Solution, The Dow Chemical Company -... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Surgical Snare Market: Size, Analytical Overview, Growth Factors, Demand, Trends And Forecast To 2020 2026 | CONMED Corporation, Cook, Medline... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Edge Data Center Market Trends And Opportunities By Types And Application In Grooming Regions; Edition 2020-2026 - Zenit News [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Data Warehousing Market is Expected to Grow at an active CAGR by Forecast to 2028 - Zenit News [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Artificial Intelligence in Big Data Analytics and IoT Markets, 2025 - AI Makes IoT Data 25% More Efficient and Analytics 42% More Effective for... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Lifesciences Data Mining And Visualization Market 2020 | Forecast to 2027 with Focusing on Major Players - TechnoWeekly [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- United States Electronics Health Records (EHR) Market Outlook and Forecast 2020-2025 with In-depth Analysis and Data-driven Insights on the Impact of... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Feature selection and risk prediction for patients with coronary artery disease using data mining - DocWire News [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Global Lifesciences Data Mining and Visualization Market 2020 Analysis, Types, Applications, Forecast and COVID-19 Impact Analysis 2025 - The Daily... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Growth Prospects, Key Vendors, Future Scenario Forecast 2027 IBM Corporation, SAS Institute Inc., RapidMiner, Inc., KNIME AG,... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market A Latest Research Report to Share Market Insights and Dynamics to 2028 - TechnoWeekly [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Global Data Mining Software Market 2020 | Know the Companies List Could Potentially Benefit or Loose out From the Impact of COVID-19 | Top Companies:... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Transaction monitoring: Poor data highlights need to invest in tech - Euromoney magazine [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- Sensyne Health agreement with Somerset NHS Foundation Trust helps business achieve a major landmark - Proactive Investors UK [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- How TikTok could be used for disinformation and espionage - CBS News [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- Social app Parler apparently receives funding from the conservative Mercer family - The Verge [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- Biological Data Visualization Market Analysis, COVID-19 Impact,Outlook, Opportunities, Size, Share Forecast and Supply Demand 2021-2027|Trusted... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- The Weirdest Objects in the Universe | Space - Air & Space Magazine [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Epiroc introduces the RCS 4.20 Rig Control System for Pit Viper rigs - MINING.com [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Operating Systems Market Overview, Development by Companies and Comparative Analysis by 2026 - Cheshire Media [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Feed Binders Market Segments by Product Types, Manufacturers, Regions and Application Analysis to 2026 - The Think Curiouser [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Advanced Analytics Market Analysis, COVID-19 Impact,Outlook, Opportunities, Size, Share Forecast and Supply Demand 2021-2027|Trusted Business Insights... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Data Center Infrastructure Market 2026 Growth Forecast Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - The Daily Philadelphian [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Fog Computing Market Report Aims To Outline and Forecast , Organization Sizes, Top Vendors, Industry Research and End User Analysis By 2026 - Cheshire... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Global Trend Expected to Guide Data Center Colocation Market from 2020-2026: Growth Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - PRnews... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Cybercrime To Cost The World $10.5 Trillion Annually By 2025 - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Peloton Collaborates with Sfile Technology | Texas | tylerpaper.com - Tyler Morning Telegraph [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Global Wireless Charger Market 2026 Trends Forecast Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - The Daily Philadelphian [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- EHR market expected to grow 6% per year through 2025 - Healthcare IT News [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Gordon Bell Prize Winner Breaks Ground in AI-Infused Ab Initio Simulation - HPCwire [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Lifesciences Data Mining and Visualization Market: Global Industry Analysis and Opportunity Assessment 2016-2026, Tableau Software,SAP SE,IBM,SAS... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Includes Important Growth Factor with Regional Forecast, Organization Sizes, Top Vendors, Industry Research and End User... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Lifesciences Data Mining And Visualization Market jump on the sunnier outlook for growth despite pandemic - The Think Curiouser [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Data Mining Software Market 2020 to Global Forecast 2023 By Key Companies IBM, RapidMiner, GMDH, SAS Institute, Oracle, Apteco, University of... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Plant-Based Meat Market with Latest Research Report And Growth By 2026 Market Analysis, Size, Share, Trends, Key Vendors, Drivers And Forecast - The... [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- STREAMING ANALYTICS MARKET OVERVIEW: SIZE, SHARE AND DEMAND IN UPCOMING DECADE The Courier - The Courier [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Portable Fire Extinguisher Market (COVID-19 Analysis): Indoor Applications Projected to be the Most Attractive Segment during 2020-2026 - The Courier [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- BIG DATA AND BUSINESS ANALYTICS MARKET ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY AND NEW INNOVATIONS BY 2026 IBM, ORACLE, MICROSOFT, SAP The Market Feed - The Market Feed [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Insights on the Oil Condition Monitoring Global Market to 2027 - Strategic Recommendations for New Entrants - Benzinga [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Insights on the Adaptogens Global Market (2020 to 2027) - Strategic Recommendations for New Entrants - PRNewswire [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- These 2 IPO Stocks Are Crushing the Stock Market on Wednesday - The Motley Fool [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Playout solutions market Competitive Analysis, Key Companies and Forecast Harmonic, Inc., SES SA, Grass Valley Canada, Evertz, BroadStream Solutions,... [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Graph Database Market To Witness Astonishing Growth 2027 || TIBCO Software Inc., Franz Inc, OpenLink Software, TigerGraph, MarkLogic Corporation,... [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Major Chinese Tech Company Baidu Caught Mining Private User Data Through Android Apps - Digital Information World [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- After 27 million drivers license records are stolen, Texans get angry with the seller: the government - The Dallas Morning News [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- 6th International Online Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Data Mining (FSDM 2020) held at Huaqiao University - India Education Diary [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market: Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trend And Forecast 2018 2028 - Cheshire Media [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Tracking H1N1pdm09, the Hantavirus, and G4 EA H1N1 w/ Data Mining - hackernoon.com [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Mining Tire Market: Qualitative analysis of the leading players and competitive industry scenario | Bridgestone, Michelin, Titan Tire, Chem China,... [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Micro Mobile Data Center Market Capacity, Production, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin, Industry Analysis & Forecast by 2026 - The Market Feed [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Impact Of Covid 19 On Telecom Analytics 2020 Industry Challenges Business Overview And Forecast Research Study 2026 - The Courier [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Personal data protection is essential to fully capitalise on the benefits of India's digital revolution: Cyble - PR Newswire India [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Making the most of your packaging line - Food & Drink Business [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Electro Diesel Locomotive Market Trends, Innovation, Growth Opportunities, Demand, Application, Top Companies and Industry Forecast 2027 | CRRC,... [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Edge Computing Market : Overview Report by 2020, Covid-19 Analysis, Future Plans and Industry Growth with High CAGR by Forecast 2026 - The Courier [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Data Analytics Outsourcing Market 2020 Top Emerging Trends Impacting the Growth Due to COVID19 and In-Depth Compitative Intelligence - Murphy's Hockey... [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Making it Real: Effective Data Governance in the Age of AI - Datanami [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Yield10 Bioscience Researcher Dr. Meghna Malik to Present at the 4th CRISPR AgBio Congress 2020 Virtual Event - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- The Solution Approach Of The Great Indian Hiring Hackathon: Winners' Take - Analytics India Magazine [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Mining Software Market 2020-2026: COVID-19 Impact and Revenue Opportunities after Post Pandemic - Murphy's Hockey Law [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Data Quality Tools Market 2026 Growth Forecast Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - The Market Feed [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Rising Uptake of Big Data Analytics Software for Business to Propel Big Data and Business Analytics Market Wall Street Call - Reported Times [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- HPE, a touchstone of Silicon Valley, moving headquarters to Houston to save costs, recruit talent - San Francisco Chronicle [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Several Robinhood Favorites See Selling Pressure on Wednesday - TheStreet [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market to Reflect Impressive Growth Rate Along with Top Leading Players - The Haitian-Caribbean News Network [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Supply Chain Management: Lessons to Drive Growth and Profits Using Data Mining and Analytics | Quantzig - Business Wire [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Top 5 trends and predictions for market research in 2021 - AZ Big Media [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Space Mining Market Trends Analysis, Top Manufacturers, Shares, Growth Opportunities, Statistics & Forecast to 2026 - BAVIATION Business Aviation... [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Citi Launches Citi Fleet Card in the UK and Europe - Business Wire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Facebook Accused Of Illegally Conspiring With Google - ValueWalk [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Top Manufacturers, Product Types, Applications and Specification, Forecast to 2028 - BIZNEWS [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- INTRUSION Inc. Expands Executive Team with Focus on Amplification of New Cybersecurity Solutions - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Essnova Solutions Named to Inc. 500 List of Fastest Growing Companies - Business Wire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Ready Money Capital Limited Now Offers Financial Solutions for All and Sundry - PRNewswire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- The 3 Robinhood Stocks I'm Most Excited About - Motley Fool [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Business Growth Tactics, Future Strategies, Competitive Outlook and Forecast - BAVIATION Business Aviation News [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Supernova's Clients Wanted a New Data Insights Tool, So the Company Built 1 From Scratch - Built In Chicago [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]