Palantir's (NYSE:PLTR) stock surged on Aug. 12 after the data mining and analytics company posted its second-quarter earnings. It beat Wall Street's estimates on the top and bottom lines, then provided a rosy outlook for the third quarter that surpassed analysts' expectations.
Should investors consider buying Palantir, which has been a volatile stock since its direct listing last September? Let's weigh three reasons to buy the stock -- against one reason to sell it -- to decide.
Palantir's second-quarter revenue rose 49% year over year to $376 million, beating estimates by $14.5 million and matching its growth in the first quarter. It closed 62 deals worth $1 million or more, gained 20 new customers, and its average revenue per customer rose 19% year over year to $7.9 million.
Image source: Getty Images.
Palantir's government revenue rose 66% to $232 million, while its commercial revenue increased 28% to $144 million. The growth of its government business decelerated slightly from the first quarter, but the growth of its commercial business accelerated significantly.
Revenue Growth (YOY)
FY 2019
FY 2020
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Government
35%
77%
76%
66%
Commercial
17%
22%
19%
28%
Total
25%
47%
49%
49%
Data source: Palantir. YOY = year over year.
The commercial segment's acceleration counters the bearish argument that Palantir will struggle to expand its commercial business to reduce its dependence on government contracts. Government contracts, the bears often argue, have less long-term growth potential than commercial contracts.
Palantir mainly attributed its commercial growth to the U.S. market. Its U.S. commercial revenue surged 90% year over year, accelerating from the segment's 72% growth in the first quarter of 2021.
Palantir remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, and its net loss widened year over year in the second quarter, from $110.5 million to $138.6 million.
However, its adjusted gross margin, which excludes its stock-based compensation and other one-time expenses, expanded from 80% to 82%. Its adjusted operating margin jumped from 11% to 31%.
Those expanding margins suggest Palantir has plenty of pricing power in the competitive data mining and analytics market, and that its experience with the U.S. government -- for which it aims to become the "default operating system" -- is impressing large enterprise customers.
Palantir is also profitable on an adjusted EBITDA basis. Its adjusted EBITDA nearly quadrupled year over year to $121.5 million, which boosted its adjusted EBITDA margin from 13% to 32%. Its adjusted earnings of $0.04 per share also beat Wall Street's estimates by a penny.
Palantir expects to generate $385 million in revenue in the third quarter, which surpasses the consensus estimate of $380 million.
It expects its revenue to rise at least 30% "for 2021 through 2025" -- which suggests it could nearly quadruple its annual revenue from $1.09 billion in fiscal 2020 to about $4 billion in fiscal 2025. It also raised its adjusted free cash flow forecast for 2021 from over $150 million to over $300 million.
That confident long-term forecast suggests Palantir's stock might not be as expensive as it initially seems, at about 30 times this year's sales.
Palantir's platform, which gathers data on individuals from disparate sources to make AI-driven decisions, is powerful but controversial.
Palantir's Gotham platform is used by all branches of the U.S. military, as well as government agencies like the FBI, CIA, and ICE. It was even reportedly used to hunt down Osama Bin Laden back in 2011.
ICE uses Palantir's software to track down and report undocumented immigrants in the U.S. That controversial contract sparked protests from activists and Palantir's own employees, while employees at Amazon Web Services -- which hosts Palantir -- called for its shutdown.
Palantir withstood those protests, but it could still face more controversies as investors learn more about its government contracts.
I started a position in Palantir shortly after its direct listing, and sold a third of my shares after it more than tripled during the meme stock rally in January. But I plan to hold on to my remaining shares.
I'm staying bullish on Palantir because it's clearly a "best in breed" player in the data mining, analytics, and security space. Governments will require more of its services to solve domestic and foreign problems, and that hardened reputation will attract a growing number of enterprise customers.
Palantir has set clear goals for the future, and it could easily surpass its 2025 targets as it expands its government and commercial businesses. Those strengths should justify its premium valuation and offset any additional concerns about its more controversial contracts.
This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the official recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. Were motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one of our own -- helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.
Read the rest here:
3 Reasons to Buy Palantir, and 1 Reason to Sell - Motley Fool
- Electric Vehicles for Construction, Agriculture and Mining Market 2020 | In-Depth Study On The Current State Of The Industry And Key Insights Of The... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Robotic process automation market Business Opportunities and Future Strategies with Major Vendors | Celaton Ltd., Redwood Software, Uipath SRL, Verint... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Tissue Expander Market: Projected To Witness Vigorous Expansion By 2020 2026 | Sientra, Inc.; GC Aesthetics; KOKEN CO.,GROUPE SEBBIN SAS -... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Insulation Coating Market: Report Offers Intelligence And Forecast Till 2020 2027 | Sharpshell Industrial Solution, The Dow Chemical Company -... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Surgical Snare Market: Size, Analytical Overview, Growth Factors, Demand, Trends And Forecast To 2020 2026 | CONMED Corporation, Cook, Medline... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Edge Data Center Market Trends And Opportunities By Types And Application In Grooming Regions; Edition 2020-2026 - Zenit News [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Data Warehousing Market is Expected to Grow at an active CAGR by Forecast to 2028 - Zenit News [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Artificial Intelligence in Big Data Analytics and IoT Markets, 2025 - AI Makes IoT Data 25% More Efficient and Analytics 42% More Effective for... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Lifesciences Data Mining And Visualization Market 2020 | Forecast to 2027 with Focusing on Major Players - TechnoWeekly [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- United States Electronics Health Records (EHR) Market Outlook and Forecast 2020-2025 with In-depth Analysis and Data-driven Insights on the Impact of... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Feature selection and risk prediction for patients with coronary artery disease using data mining - DocWire News [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Global Lifesciences Data Mining and Visualization Market 2020 Analysis, Types, Applications, Forecast and COVID-19 Impact Analysis 2025 - The Daily... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Growth Prospects, Key Vendors, Future Scenario Forecast 2027 IBM Corporation, SAS Institute Inc., RapidMiner, Inc., KNIME AG,... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market A Latest Research Report to Share Market Insights and Dynamics to 2028 - TechnoWeekly [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Global Data Mining Software Market 2020 | Know the Companies List Could Potentially Benefit or Loose out From the Impact of COVID-19 | Top Companies:... [Last Updated On: November 11th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 11th, 2020]
- Transaction monitoring: Poor data highlights need to invest in tech - Euromoney magazine [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- Sensyne Health agreement with Somerset NHS Foundation Trust helps business achieve a major landmark - Proactive Investors UK [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- How TikTok could be used for disinformation and espionage - CBS News [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- Social app Parler apparently receives funding from the conservative Mercer family - The Verge [Last Updated On: November 16th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 16th, 2020]
- Biological Data Visualization Market Analysis, COVID-19 Impact,Outlook, Opportunities, Size, Share Forecast and Supply Demand 2021-2027|Trusted... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- The Weirdest Objects in the Universe | Space - Air & Space Magazine [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Epiroc introduces the RCS 4.20 Rig Control System for Pit Viper rigs - MINING.com [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Operating Systems Market Overview, Development by Companies and Comparative Analysis by 2026 - Cheshire Media [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Feed Binders Market Segments by Product Types, Manufacturers, Regions and Application Analysis to 2026 - The Think Curiouser [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Advanced Analytics Market Analysis, COVID-19 Impact,Outlook, Opportunities, Size, Share Forecast and Supply Demand 2021-2027|Trusted Business Insights... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Data Center Infrastructure Market 2026 Growth Forecast Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - The Daily Philadelphian [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Fog Computing Market Report Aims To Outline and Forecast , Organization Sizes, Top Vendors, Industry Research and End User Analysis By 2026 - Cheshire... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Global Trend Expected to Guide Data Center Colocation Market from 2020-2026: Growth Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - PRnews... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Cybercrime To Cost The World $10.5 Trillion Annually By 2025 - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Peloton Collaborates with Sfile Technology | Texas | tylerpaper.com - Tyler Morning Telegraph [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Global Wireless Charger Market 2026 Trends Forecast Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - The Daily Philadelphian [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- EHR market expected to grow 6% per year through 2025 - Healthcare IT News [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Gordon Bell Prize Winner Breaks Ground in AI-Infused Ab Initio Simulation - HPCwire [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Lifesciences Data Mining and Visualization Market: Global Industry Analysis and Opportunity Assessment 2016-2026, Tableau Software,SAP SE,IBM,SAS... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Includes Important Growth Factor with Regional Forecast, Organization Sizes, Top Vendors, Industry Research and End User... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Lifesciences Data Mining And Visualization Market jump on the sunnier outlook for growth despite pandemic - The Think Curiouser [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Data Mining Software Market 2020 to Global Forecast 2023 By Key Companies IBM, RapidMiner, GMDH, SAS Institute, Oracle, Apteco, University of... [Last Updated On: November 22nd, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 22nd, 2020]
- Plant-Based Meat Market with Latest Research Report And Growth By 2026 Market Analysis, Size, Share, Trends, Key Vendors, Drivers And Forecast - The... [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- STREAMING ANALYTICS MARKET OVERVIEW: SIZE, SHARE AND DEMAND IN UPCOMING DECADE The Courier - The Courier [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Portable Fire Extinguisher Market (COVID-19 Analysis): Indoor Applications Projected to be the Most Attractive Segment during 2020-2026 - The Courier [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- BIG DATA AND BUSINESS ANALYTICS MARKET ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY AND NEW INNOVATIONS BY 2026 IBM, ORACLE, MICROSOFT, SAP The Market Feed - The Market Feed [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Insights on the Oil Condition Monitoring Global Market to 2027 - Strategic Recommendations for New Entrants - Benzinga [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Insights on the Adaptogens Global Market (2020 to 2027) - Strategic Recommendations for New Entrants - PRNewswire [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- These 2 IPO Stocks Are Crushing the Stock Market on Wednesday - The Motley Fool [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Playout solutions market Competitive Analysis, Key Companies and Forecast Harmonic, Inc., SES SA, Grass Valley Canada, Evertz, BroadStream Solutions,... [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Graph Database Market To Witness Astonishing Growth 2027 || TIBCO Software Inc., Franz Inc, OpenLink Software, TigerGraph, MarkLogic Corporation,... [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Major Chinese Tech Company Baidu Caught Mining Private User Data Through Android Apps - Digital Information World [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- After 27 million drivers license records are stolen, Texans get angry with the seller: the government - The Dallas Morning News [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- 6th International Online Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Data Mining (FSDM 2020) held at Huaqiao University - India Education Diary [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market: Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trend And Forecast 2018 2028 - Cheshire Media [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Tracking H1N1pdm09, the Hantavirus, and G4 EA H1N1 w/ Data Mining - hackernoon.com [Last Updated On: November 28th, 2020] [Originally Added On: November 28th, 2020]
- Mining Tire Market: Qualitative analysis of the leading players and competitive industry scenario | Bridgestone, Michelin, Titan Tire, Chem China,... [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Micro Mobile Data Center Market Capacity, Production, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin, Industry Analysis & Forecast by 2026 - The Market Feed [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Impact Of Covid 19 On Telecom Analytics 2020 Industry Challenges Business Overview And Forecast Research Study 2026 - The Courier [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Personal data protection is essential to fully capitalise on the benefits of India's digital revolution: Cyble - PR Newswire India [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Making the most of your packaging line - Food & Drink Business [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Electro Diesel Locomotive Market Trends, Innovation, Growth Opportunities, Demand, Application, Top Companies and Industry Forecast 2027 | CRRC,... [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Edge Computing Market : Overview Report by 2020, Covid-19 Analysis, Future Plans and Industry Growth with High CAGR by Forecast 2026 - The Courier [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Data Analytics Outsourcing Market 2020 Top Emerging Trends Impacting the Growth Due to COVID19 and In-Depth Compitative Intelligence - Murphy's Hockey... [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Making it Real: Effective Data Governance in the Age of AI - Datanami [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Yield10 Bioscience Researcher Dr. Meghna Malik to Present at the 4th CRISPR AgBio Congress 2020 Virtual Event - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- The Solution Approach Of The Great Indian Hiring Hackathon: Winners' Take - Analytics India Magazine [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Mining Software Market 2020-2026: COVID-19 Impact and Revenue Opportunities after Post Pandemic - Murphy's Hockey Law [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Data Quality Tools Market 2026 Growth Forecast Analysis by Manufacturers, Regions, Type and Application - The Market Feed [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Rising Uptake of Big Data Analytics Software for Business to Propel Big Data and Business Analytics Market Wall Street Call - Reported Times [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- HPE, a touchstone of Silicon Valley, moving headquarters to Houston to save costs, recruit talent - San Francisco Chronicle [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Several Robinhood Favorites See Selling Pressure on Wednesday - TheStreet [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market to Reflect Impressive Growth Rate Along with Top Leading Players - The Haitian-Caribbean News Network [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Supply Chain Management: Lessons to Drive Growth and Profits Using Data Mining and Analytics | Quantzig - Business Wire [Last Updated On: December 3rd, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 3rd, 2020]
- Top 5 trends and predictions for market research in 2021 - AZ Big Media [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Space Mining Market Trends Analysis, Top Manufacturers, Shares, Growth Opportunities, Statistics & Forecast to 2026 - BAVIATION Business Aviation... [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Citi Launches Citi Fleet Card in the UK and Europe - Business Wire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Facebook Accused Of Illegally Conspiring With Google - ValueWalk [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Top Manufacturers, Product Types, Applications and Specification, Forecast to 2028 - BIZNEWS [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- INTRUSION Inc. Expands Executive Team with Focus on Amplification of New Cybersecurity Solutions - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Essnova Solutions Named to Inc. 500 List of Fastest Growing Companies - Business Wire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Ready Money Capital Limited Now Offers Financial Solutions for All and Sundry - PRNewswire [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- The 3 Robinhood Stocks I'm Most Excited About - Motley Fool [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Data Mining Tools Market Business Growth Tactics, Future Strategies, Competitive Outlook and Forecast - BAVIATION Business Aviation News [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]
- Supernova's Clients Wanted a New Data Insights Tool, So the Company Built 1 From Scratch - Built In Chicago [Last Updated On: December 19th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 19th, 2020]