Category Archives: Deep Mind

The global race to set the rules for AI – Financial Times

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The global race to set the rules for AI - Financial Times

Meet the Genius behind Med-PaLM 2 – Analytics India Magazine

In December, last year, when OpenAIs ChatGPT was struggling to find real use cases, Google decided to explore the use of large language models (LLMs) for healthcare, resulting in the creation of Med-PaLM an open-sourced large language model designed for medical purposes.

Since then, the team has released scaled-up versions of healthcare LLMs, including Med-PaLM-2 and Med-PaLM-M, both of which have had a direct impact on human lives. Currently, Med-PaLM-2 is also undergoing testing at renowned healthcare institutions such as the Mayo Clinic. One of the prominent contributors to these projects is Vivek Natarajan, an AI researcher at Google Health.

Currently, based in the San Francisco Bay Area, the Tamilian with deep Bengali roots, began his journey as an engineering intern at Qualcomm, progressing to a role with Meta AI, and ultimately finding a fulfilling place at Google Health.

However, there is a story behind why he chose to transition into the field of medical AI.

It is 2023, and Indias healthcare system still faces significant hurdles with insufficient medical infrastructure and a severe shortage of medical professionals, especially in rural regions. The ratio of doctors to patients falls well below global standards, with a mere 0.7 doctors per 1,000 people. Adding to that, we have only 0.9 beds per 1,000 population, and out of those, only 30% are in rural areas.

Most had to walk tens of kilometres, often in extreme conditions, leading to delayed diagnoses, poorly managed chronic conditions, and even untimely deaths. This healthcare disparity affected both the underprivileged and affluent individuals, underscoring the stark healthcare inequalities in these areas.

Having grown up in different parts of India, Natarajan witnessed these immense challenges faced by people in small towns and villages when it came to accessing medical care. It always bothered me that people should not have to suffer so much to receive basic healthcare, and I always wanted to do something about it, Natarajan told AIM in an exclusive interaction.

From starting out by building Ask the Doctor, Anytime Anywhere, an app aimed at democratizing healthcare access in 2013 to being the research lead behind Googles state-of-the-art LLM for medicine, Med-PaLM 2, Natarajan has come a long way. I guess the name gives away what we were trying to do. Ask the Doctor was bootstrapped using older AI techniques and a lot of rules, and it clearly did not work well, leading to its discontinuation, he said.

The app was made by leveraging pre-deep learning ML techniques a combination of expert systems and rules. However, even back in 2013, he had this intuition that AI would be the most important piece of solving this healthcare problem.

After completing a bachelors degree at NIT Trichy in Electronics Engineering and graduating with a masters degree in Computer Science from UT Austin in 2015, Natarajan joined Meta AI. Despite being in the pre-transformer era, Natarajans time at Meta AI, which was his first job, taught him the potential of deep learning. At Meta, he worked in various areas, from speech recognition to conversational and multimodal AI, and on various business-critical platforms such as Newsfeed and Messenger.

However things took a different turn. Unfortunately, it was during this period that his father began showing signs of an aggressive form of Parkinsons disease, which couldnt have been identified sooner due to the limited care options and resources. That persuaded me to go back to the problem that I always deeply cared about using AI to democratise access to healthcare and put world-class medical expertise in the pocket of billions, said Natarajan.

Coincidentally, this was also the time when researchers from Google Brain and DeepMind (now referred to as Google DeepMind), after some seminal medical AI papers, were coming together to form Google Health AI, aligning with his aim. So when Greg Corrado, co-founder of Google Brain and head of Google Health AI, offered me the chance to join, I took it up without hesitation, he added.

Since then, he has collaborated with esteemed AI researchers like Greg and Dr Alan Karthikesalingam to work toward the vision of making an AI doctor accessible to billions.

If not an AI researcher, Natarajan would have probably been a cricket commenter like Harsha Bhogle. Well, lets take a moment to appreciate that he didnt embark on that career, otherwise, we might have missed out on his stellar work in building Med-PaLM, Med-PaLM 2, Med-PaLM M, and related projects.

The core concept driving the development of Med-PaLM is the utilisation of general-purpose language models like PaLM and GPT-4, which excel in predicting text but lack specialised medical knowledge. However, the challenge lies in transforming these models into medical experts.So, we need to do the same with AI and send them to medical school if we want to use them for medical applications. Make them learn from high-quality medical domain information spanning human biology to practice of medicine as well as from clinical expert demonstrations and feedback similar to residency after medical school, he added.

However, the primary obstacle was the scarcity of large-scale medical datasets due to privacy concerns and healthcare in the global south not being digital. Additionally, theres a pressing concern about bias in LLMs used in healthcare. These cultural, social, racial, and gender biases can result in unequal access to care, misdiagnoses, and treatment disparities. The root of this problem lies in the reliance of healthcare LLMs on extensive datasets that mirror historical healthcare inequities, potentially leading to inaccurate diagnoses and treatment recommendations for marginalised communities.

The Med-PaLM models, derived from the PaLM general-purpose language models, are tailored for medical applications through fine-tuning with high-quality medical datasets and clinical expert demonstrations, covering areas like professional medical exams, PubMed research, and user-generated medical questions. These datasets, including the openly available HealthSearchQA dataset from Google, are instrumental in the development of Med-PaLM and its likes.

In the Med-PaLM paper, researchers introduced an evaluation rubric for assessing LLMs in medical applications, with bias being one of the key dimensions.Additionally, in Med-PaLM 2, we introduced adversarial questions evaluation, specifically targeting sensitive topics like vaccine misinformation, COVID-19, obesity, mental health, and suicide. These topics have a high potential to exacerbate bias and healthcare disparities through the spread of medical misinformation, said Natarajan.

Our approach to mitigating bias involves rigorous evaluation and expert clinician demonstrations to train the model. While its a complex challenge, we are steadily making progress in this area, he added.

Consequently, he added that the fine-tuning approach used depends on the available data. In the case of the first Med-PaLM, prompt tuning was employed, wherein the majority of the LLM parameters remained fixed, and only a small set of additional parameters were learned. However, for subsequent versions such as Med-PaLM 2 and Med-PaLM M, the team had access to more data, enabling them to fine-tune the models end-to-end in order to enhance performance and align them more closely with medical expertise.

As we continue to ride the generative AI wave, Natarajan believes that understanding LLMs is crucial, as they differ from human intelligence and require specialised methods, such as mechanistic interpretability or artificial neuroscience, posing a plethora of new challenges that need to be solved. According to him, there lies immense potential for exciting research beyond large language models. He is particularly excited about LLMs potential in biology and neurology, such as analysing the human genome and decoding brain signals.

Although he has no plans to directly revisit building a similar app like Ask the Doctor, he believes that his work on Med-PaLM and medical AI as a whole at Google will eventually lead to something very similar. While there is still a long way to go, given the incredible progress made in LLMs just last year, it appears that my dream of making an AI doctor accessible to billions is no longer science fiction. Fingers crossed! Natarajan concluded.

Read more: Pushmeet Kohli On Solving Intelligence at DeepMind for Humanity & Science

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Meet the Genius behind Med-PaLM 2 - Analytics India Magazine

Google DeepMind, Strategy Partner, Technology, Claudia van der Salm proposed for election to Greater Than’s Board of Directors – Yahoo Finance

STOCKHOLM, July 25, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Greater Than (GREAT.ST), the global provider of driver crash probability and climate impact intelligence, is announcing that its largest shareholders propose Claudia vander Salm to be elected as a board member.

Van der Salm currently holds the position of Strategy Partner, Technology, at Google DeepMind, a unit of Google. Google DeepMind is committed to solving intelligence to advance science and benefit humanity. At Google DeepMind, van der Salm is partnering across hardware, software, data, and engineering to accelerate the progress towards Google DeepMind's mission.

Van der Salm is also a Member of the Board of Directors at Montoux, New Zealand,an insurtech company providing a next generation actuarial modeling platformfor insurers,predominantly in life, health, and the long-term care market. At Montoux, van der Salm applies her international executive-level insurance experience to support the company's global expansion.

Prior to her current positions, van der Salm worked at Aegon/Transamerica, a global insurer providing life insurance, savings, pensions, asset management, general insurance and accident & health, where she gained extensive experience working in Europe, USA, and Asia Pacific, most notably in her recent roles as Chief Investment Officer and Chief Risk Officer.

As an executive with international insurance and technology experience, van der Salm will bring to Greater Than a strong background in the areas of artificial intelligence, insurance, strategy & business development, innovation, data analytics, risk management, investments and sustainability. Her passion for lifetime learning and making meaningful contributions to a sustainable future for all aligns with Greater Than's mission to empower customers with the most valuable data insights into driver impact.

"Claudia van der Salm has an impressive background working within AI, data analytics, and insurance for the betterment of society," said Sten Forseke, Founder of Greater Than. "Her experience of building empowered teams and helping businesses and individuals to excel will bring exceptional value to the company as we continue to grow internationally."

Story continues

Press contact, Greater Than:PR@greaterthan.eu+46 855 593 200www.greaterthan.eu

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Google DeepMind, Strategy Partner, Technology, Claudia van der Salm proposed for election to Greater Than's Board of Directors - Yahoo Finance

Is Reinforcement Learning Set to Transform with DeepMind’s … – Cryptopolitan

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In a groundbreaking research endeavor, a team of experts at DeepMind has redefined Reinforcement Learning (RL) by providing a comprehensive, precise mathematical definition of Continual Reinforcement Learning (CRL). The paper titled A Definition of Continual Reinforcement Learning challenges conventional RL approaches and establishes a solid conceptual foundation for agents that perpetually adapt and learn from Read more

In a groundbreaking research endeavor, a team of experts at DeepMind has redefined Reinforcement Learning (RL) by providing a comprehensive, precise mathematical definition of Continual Reinforcement Learning (CRL). The paper titled A Definition of Continual Reinforcement Learning challenges conventional RL approaches and establishes a solid conceptual foundation for agents that perpetually adapt and learn from their experiences. By introducing a pair of operators on agents and formalizing core definitions, the team lays the groundwork for future research in the field of CRL.

The DeepMind research teams paper offers novel insights into the realm of Continual Reinforcement Learning (CRL), reshaping the conventional understanding of RL agents. Rather than merely addressing specific issues, these agents are designed to learn continuously and adapt indefinitely. The key aspect of CRL lies in agents that never stop their implicit search over a set of behaviors. This creates an environment where the best agents perpetually update and refine their behaviors based on experience, thereby pushing the boundaries of AI and reinforcement learning.

The core of the research revolves around the formalization of Continual Reinforcement Learning and the establishment of a clean, general, and precise mathematical foundation. The team begins by defining environments, agents, and their interplay. They view the interface between an agent and their environment as two pairs of countable sets of actions and observations, each represented by a history of action-observation pairs. Both the environment and the agent are formulated as functions that respect this agent-environment interface.

To capture the essence of Continual Reinforcement Learning, the researchers propose a two-fold approach

DeepMinds groundbreaking research not only provides a robust definition of Continual Reinforcement Learning but also offers invaluable guidance on designing principled continual learning agents. The implications of this work extend to the creation of AI agents that adapt, evolve, and optimize their behaviors continually, resulting in agents that do not merely solve problems but consistently improve and refine their decision-making processes based on experience.

The teams efforts open doors to a new perspective in designing AI agents, shifting the focus from creating agents that aim to solve specific problems to developing agents that never stop learning and refining their behaviors. This paradigm shift is expected to drive substantial advancements in the realm of Artificial Intelligence and Reinforcement Learning, paving the way for a new generation of smarter, more adaptive AI agents.

As the field of Continual Reinforcement Learning gains traction, the DeepMind research team acknowledges the need for further exploration. They intend to delve into the connections between the formalism of continual learning and the empirical studies in recent times. By bridging theory and practice, the researchers aspire to unlock new possibilities and refine their understanding of Continual Reinforcement Learning, enriching the AI landscape with agents that can learn, adapt, and make intelligent decisions in an ever-changing world.

DeepMinds pioneering work in establishing a precise mathematical foundation for Continual Reinforcement Learning is a significant breakthrough in the realm of AI and RL. By rethinking RL problems as endless adaptation, they have laid the groundwork for a new generation of AI agents that perpetually update their behaviors based on experience. This opens up exciting avenues for future research, pushing the boundaries of AI and Reinforcement Learning to new heights. As the world embraces the potential of CRL, the future of AI looks brighter and more promising than ever before.

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Is Reinforcement Learning Set to Transform with DeepMind's ... - Cryptopolitan

Capitol Hill Stumps Anthropic on its Google Relationship – The Information

Capitol Hill may not have the best reputation when it comes to being tech-savvy. One may recall Senator Orrin Hatchs infamous question to Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg about how Facebook stays free (which a smirking Zuckerberg responded to with, Senator, we run ads).

But it was a different story during yesterdays Senate hearing on artificial intelligence regulation, which featured testimonies from Dario Amodei, CEO and cofounder of OpenAI rival Anthropic, Stuart Russell, a University of California, Berkeley computer science professor, and Yoshua Bengio, a Universit de Montral professor. Legislators seemed surprisingly up-to-date.

Connecticut Sen. Richard Blumenthal, for instance, asked Amodei about potentially setting safety breaks on AutoGPT, a viral AI agent that can automatically carry out a multi-step task, such as conducting market research. Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley brought up a recent Wall Street Journal article on the dismal working conditions Kenyan workers faced while helping OpenAI build a safety filter for its models.

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Capitol Hill Stumps Anthropic on its Google Relationship - The Information

Parkinson’s disease and sleep problems: Finding out if deep brain … – UCHealth Today

Murray Engelkeimer, pictured with his grandson Graham, has been dealing with Parkinsons, which causes a variety of challenging symptoms. Doctors are studying whether deep brain stimulation or DBS can help Parkinsons patients with sleep problems. Photo courtesy of Murray Engelkeimer.

About 20 years ago, Murray Engelkemier made a routine stop to pick up some dry cleaning. The ordinary errand took a turn, however, when he began making out a check for his order.

It was hard to write with my right hand, Engelkemier recalled. He soon discovered that the trembling was the result of Parkinsons disease (PD), which causes degeneration in areas of the brain that control movement. The motor symptoms of PD include the tremor that affected Engelkemier, as well as stiffness, slowed movements, balance problems and more.

Engelkemier, now 65, treated his disease with medications designed to increase the levels of dopamine in his brain. Dopamine is a chemical that plays a key role in nerve signaling that enables movement. His symptoms continued to progress, but the treatments worked well enough that he was able to continue for well over another decade in his role as a project and program manager with U.S. Bank.

I was pretty good until the last three years of my career, Engelkemier said. Over that final period, he said he burned out with monthly work-related travel to Spain, leading him to take disability and retire.

His biggest movement-related problem has been leg stiffness that causes him to shuffle and drag his feet.

My mind is always getting ahead of my body, Engelkemier said. But another problem not related to movement also plagued him: regularly disrupted sleep.

I would wake up at 4 a.m. and could not go back to sleep, Engelkemier said. My mind was racing. The fatigue detracted from my quality of life.

His problem is not unusual, said Dr. Alexander Baumgartner, an assistant professor of Neurology with the University of Colorado School of Medicine who practices with UCHealth.

We think of Parkinsons disease as having a lot of motor symptoms, but there are many other, non-motor symptoms, and sleep is one of the most common, Baumgartner said. He added that people with PD also frequently suffer from mood disorders, cognitive decline and dementia, all of which may be entangled with chronically poor sleep.

Broadly speaking, improving sleep is a way to promote general brain health, and that could decrease the risk of developing dementia in the future, Baumgartner said. However, we dont have great treatments designed for these non-motor symptoms [of PD]. There is an unmet need.

Baumgartner now leads a trial that aims to explore whether deep-brain stimulation (DBS), an established surgical treatment for movement-related problems in people with PD, could also help to improve their sleep and their quality of life.

Baumgartner and his colleagues are recruiting people who are considering DBS, a procedure that involves implanting leads, or electrodes, in the brain and connecting them to another implanted device that generates electrical impulses in particular areas of the brain that control movement. These impulses can help to disrupt and tame the haywire electrical signaling that causes the debilitating movement symptoms of Parkinsons disease.

Baumgartner said there are indications that DBS might also help patients experience more restful nights.

We have seen for many years that people who go through DBS often report that they are sleeping better after the procedure, he said.

The problem is a lack of rigorous research to validate and quantify the sleep-related benefits of DBS, he added. For example, some studies previously conducted after DBS surgery simply asked patients to rate their sleep quality subjectively. A small number of others assigned patients to a one-night stay in a sleep lab, hooked up to a monitor to measure their brain activity. In both cases, researchers were able to glean only limited information.

Baumgartners study, which gathers data from patients before and after their DBS surgery, aims to change that with improved technology. Instead of scheduling time and checking into a sleep lab, recruits complete the trial at home, with a headband device that records their brain activity over a three-night period. The in-home arrangement could improve not only the amount of data collected but also its quality, Baumgartner said.

[Patients] spend the night in their own bed, so they are acting more naturally and following their normal sleep patterns and behaviors, rather than spending the night away from home in an uncomfortable bed in a lab, he said. Were also able to study them over consecutive nights, so were getting more data with people in familiar environments that more closely approximate what their life is truly like.

Recruits also get a Fitbit-like wristband that they wear throughout the day to track their normal activity, another likely indicator of how well or poorly they have slept. More data comes from looking at sleep characteristics when patients are taking their PD medications, and when they are not, Baumgartner added.

The researchers ask the recruits to wear the devices for a series of several nights leading up to their DBS surgery. After the surgery, patients have a period for healing and adjustments of the implanted system to manage their motor symptoms as effectively as possible. After about three months, Baumgartner and his team approach them for their consent to participate in the post-surgical part of the trial. If they agree, they go through the same routine they followed before the DBS procedure.

The headband yields data that help the researchers evaluate what sleep pattern changes, if any, occurred after DBS surgery. The measurements include how much sleep patients got, how long it took them to fall asleep and how often they awoke after falling asleep.

The device also offers clues to the quality of sleep, such as how long patients were in Stage 3, which Baumgartner explained is especially important for restoring and recharging mind and body and maintaining healthy memory function and cognition. Recruits offer their own perspectives through questionnaires that ask about how well they slept, their energy levels throughout the day, their pain levels, how often they had to get up during the night and other ways they evaluate their sleep.

Murray Engelkemier said he was initially resistant to the idea of DBS surgery. I didnt want anybody drilling holes in my head, he said. But as his leg problems, in particular, persisted, his providers at UCHealth encouraged him to speak with other patients who had had the procedure, and he was impressed by the positive results they reported.

He decided to seek an evaluation in the spring of 2022, and neurosurgeon Dr. Steven Ojemann performed DBS procedures on both sides of his brain in November and December of that year. Baumgartner, who is his neurologist, also informed Engelkemier about the sleep study, and he agreed to participate.

Today, Engelkemier said he is still working to improve his shuffling gait and control involuntary muscle movement by fine-tuning his DBS programming. His sleep, however, has improved significantly. He said he now regularly gets six to seven solid hours of sleep and no longer stays awake after a trip to the bathroom. The changes have improved his quality of life, Engelkemier added.

I used to be sure to get a nap every day, he said. Ive very seldom needed one since DBS. He works to stay active by riding his bike, playing golf and walking. He participates weekly in tai chi with other PD patients and wants to try paddle boarding.

Of course, Engelkemiers experience doesnt itself establish that DBS improves sleep or other non-motor symptoms in PD patients. But Baumgartner said he hopes his study can increase understanding about possible links between the two and perhaps open the door to more research.

For example, he said, researchers and clinicians might learn how to directly intervene with targeted DBS that stimulates specific areas of the brain involved in sleep. That could lead to improvements not only in sleep but also mood and cognition, Baumgartner said.

Were learning more and more how critical sleep is for the brain, both in adults with and without Parkinsons disease and other neurological conditions, he said. Thats true for kids and teenagers too.

For more information on the study, contact Lisa Hirt,[emailprotected].

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Parkinson's disease and sleep problems: Finding out if deep brain ... - UCHealth Today

Google rebounds from unprecedented drop in ad revenue with a resurgence that pushes stock higher – ABC News

Google snapped out of an unprecedented advertising slump during its latest quarter, signaling a return to growth cycle needed to fuel investments in artificial intelligence technology that expected to reshape the competitive landscape

By

MICHAEL LIEDTKE AP Technology Writer

July 25, 2023, 4:29 PM ET

4 min read

SAN FRANCISCO -- Google snapped out of an unprecedented advertising slump during its latest quarter, signaling a return to growth cycle needed to fuel investments in artificial intelligence technology that expected to reshape the competitive landscape.

The results for the April-June period released Tuesday by Google's corporate parent, Alphabet Inc., reversed a financial downswing that had raised fears Google was losing its financial steam at the same time advances in artificial intelligence, or AI, threatened to undercut the dominant search engine that powers its digital ad empire.

But after Googles ad revenue suffered year-over-year declines in consecutive quarters for the first time in its history, ad sales rose 3% from a year ago to $58.1 billion during the second quarter. That was better than analysts had been anticipating, according to FactSet Research.

Those gains helped lift Alphabets total revenue for the period by 7% from last year to $74.6 billion. The company posted a profit of $18.4 billion, or $1.44 per share, a 15% increase from the same time last year. Both those numbers also surpassed the analyst estimates that steer investors.

The Mountain View, California, company also announced that Chief Financial Officer Ruth Porat will take on the newly created role of president and chief investment officer. Alphabet will seek a new CFO to take over a job that Porat, a former investment banker, has handled for the past eight years.

Alphabets stock price surged nearly 10% in Tuesdays extended trading after the results came out. The shares have climbed nearly 50% so far this year, with much of the gains since Google provided a deeper dive into its AI products and strategy during a May conference. That presentation helped alleviate concerns that Google is being outmaneuvered in a pivotal field of technology by Microsoft, which is backing and deploying some of the breakthroughs made by Open AI and its popular chatbot, ChatGPT.

We are in a period of incredible innovation in search, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai said Tuesday during a conference call he conducted from London, where he said he was visiting with the DeepMind division overseeing the companys AI efforts.

The brewing battle for AI supremacy is expected to require billions of dollars in investments in the years to come money that Alphabet should be able to get from Googles advertising machine, as long as it can continue the steady growth of the past 20 years. But Google has recently been facing more daunting challenges, not only from the ChatGPT-like technology that Microsoft has been embedding in its Bing search engine, but also from Amazon in shopping, and TikTok and Reddit in hot topics.

Insider Intelligence analyst Evelyn Mitchell-Wolf said the past quarter showed Google remains on the high ground. All it has to do now is keep increasing revenues while executing its carefully-laid plans to lead advertisers and consumers into the AI-powered future without any catastrophes.

After YouTube saw its ad sales fall year-over-over in three straight quarters as TikToks audience swelled, Googles popular video site also bounced back with a 4% increase in ad revenue from last year. Meanwhile, the Google Cloud division that provides the behind-the-scenes technology for a wide swath of websites posted a 28% increase in revenue from last year. The Cloud division also posted its second consecutive profitable quarter in a development that has pleased investors.

Porat's promotion signaled Alphabet is looking to pare the losses in its long-unprofitable Other Bets division that includes self-driving car pioneer Waymo and other far-flung projects working on technology expected to take many years to yield a return. When she takes on her new role as Alphabet's president, Porat will oversee the Other Bets portfolio as part of a commitment to drive financial discipline and returns for shareholders, while spearheading investment to create sustainable, long-term value, Pichai said in a statement.

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Google rebounds from unprecedented drop in ad revenue with a resurgence that pushes stock higher - ABC News

Innovation Party Weekly. Another AI-era week with lots to talk | by … – Medium

The website of X.ai is now live with a landing page summing up the mission, vision, and leading team.

It will be the super app, the everything app, old Twitter turned into an AI platform that questions understanding the universe. X is an answer to the OpenAI for-profit Microsoft platform of GPT or the open-source AI platform of Facebook, Llama, which Facebook is opening for developers.

X is the official announcement of an unannounced war between the tech giants: Google, Elon Musk, Facebook, and Microsoft.

X.com now redirects to Twitter.

Lets not forget Tesla is one of the major AI companies in the world which is about to finally tackle the auto-pilot problem. Tesla has 200 engineers on the software side, 100 on the chip design side and 300 on the labeling side of AI development.

Elon Musk is also the only international person and Tesla is the only company in China who is really welcome to work in China. China has the only super app, WeChat, currently available, and Elon Musk praises WeChat often.

Tesla GigaShanghai was Tom Zhu and he is now the president of Tesla GigaTexas thanks to his extraordinary skills in building and managing Tesla China. Zhu is seen by many as the next CEO of Tesla if Elon Musk needs to focus on another even larger company, which can be X.

This means that Chinas AI power wind is also behind Xs development.

We shall see in time if this will be one of the great Xs of Elon such as SpaceX, X.com, and his son X. If it works, it may also be everyones favorite letter.

In engineering, there is a saying to mention a great number of things and that is n number of things. For Elon Musk, x is everything or everything is x.

It may also be worth mentioning that Elon Musk is the biggest brand and power in the tech sphere now. So, hundreds of thousands of skilled people would get in line to work with him to create the vision, and millions of people would sign up for any service he launches almost instantly.

One more thing, Threads is dead already?

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Innovation Party Weekly. Another AI-era week with lots to talk | by ... - Medium

AI Could Spark the Most Productive Decade Ever. Nvidia Could Benefit. – Barron’s

This article is from the free weekly Barrons Tech email newsletter. Sign up here to get it delivered directly to your inbox.

Smarter Siri. Hi everyone. Excitement over generative artificial intelligence has surged since OpenAIs release of ChatGPT. But I often wonder if AI is improving dramatically, why are our voice recognition assistants still so dumb?

Most people dont use Amazons (ticker: AMZN) Alexa or Apples (AAPL) Siri for anything beyond simple tasks like setting timers or getting a weather update. The two services rarely offer quality responses to factual queries.

But now there may be an app for that. In May, start-up Inflection AI released its Pi chatbot for iPhone. The name stands for personal intelligence. Its trying to become a more thoughtful and supportive AI companion. Users can interact with Pi through voice or text.

I recently started using Pi and was struck by how much better it is for fact-based questions than Siri. You can choose between six different AI voices, and it does a good job of carrying on a natural back-and-forth conversation. Pis answers are concise and informative. And the verbal interface seems like a natural evolution for large-language-model AI technology, compared to ChatGPTs text-based format. It is an experience that feels right out of a Star Trek-like future.

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Inflection AI has an impressive pedigree. The founders came from DeepMind, an AI company renowned for its expertise, which was acquired by Alphabet s (GOOGL) Google. Other employees previously worked at OpenAI and Meta Platforms (META). The company has top notch investors too. In June, Inflection AI announced it had raised a $1.3 billion funding round from Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), Reid Hoffman, Bill Gates, and Eric Schmidt.

Barrons Tech recently spoke to Inflection AI co-founder and CEO Mustafa Suleyman. We discussed the state of AI technology, the competitive landscape for AI semiconductors, his recent meeting with President Joe Biden on AI regulation, and his optimistic vision for the future of AI.

[Inflection AI was among the seven leading AI companiesincluding Amazon , Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Google, and privately held firms OpenAI and Anthropicthat recently made voluntary commitments to responsibly develop AI.]

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Suleyman is a venture partner at Greylock Partners. Earlier in his career, he co-founded DeepMind. At Google, he was vice president of AI products & AI policy. His upcoming book The Coming Wave, about AIs societal ramifications, is scheduled for release on Sept. 5.

Here are highlights from our conversation with Suleyman:

Barrons: How was the AI summit at the White House last week?

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Suleyman: There was a great energy from the administration and from the companies. I think on both sides there was a sense this is unprecedented times. The pace of evolution is incredible. That justifies optimism and excitement, but at the same time its a moment for the precautionary principle.

What were the big takeaways?

The voluntary commitment [to test] these models [with internal and external teams] is a pretty significant development. If you think about the way it works in security today, most of the time when vulnerabilities are disclosed there is a 60 day window to share the exploits among the companies. Thats a cultural practice. There is no regulation around that. Its a norm.

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You can imagine a similar kind of culture evolving here [with AI companies] where frontier model development companies identify weaknesses in their model and they share those exploits with the other companies.

Thats a huge positive contribution to improving the probability of good outcomes. You can think about that happening in the context of bioweapons development, cyberweapons development, and nuclear and chemical weapons development. Theres plenty of types of conversation that we would not want to make it really easy for a bunch of people to suddenly get educated on how to do these harmful things.

Voice conversation seems to be the natural evolution for AI chatbots like Inflection AIs Pi. Whats your vision for Pi going forward?

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I think in the future everyone is going to have their own personal AI. Its going to have three types of capability. Its going to have an EQa personality of being kind and compassionate. Its going to have IQ. It will have knowledge with deep expertise in many different areas. And in time it will have AQ, an action quotient. Its going to be able to take actions on your behalf. Book things, buy things, plan or organize.

Thats going to be where these things end up with those three capabilities. And Pi, we think, is going to be one of the first to get to that user experience.

What kinds of innovations do you see in large-language model AI technology over the next couple years?

We are about to train models that are 10 times larger than the cutting edge GPT-4 and then 100 times larger than GPT-4. Thats what things look like over the next 18 months.

Thats going to be absolutely staggering. Its going to be eye-wateringly different. I think we can largely eliminate hallucinations [chatbots tendency to make up facts and information] in the next two years.

Nvidia is one of the financial backers of your company. So let me ask you: What is the state of the AI chip market and how defensible is Nvidias leadership position?

The GPU [graphics processing unit] market is dominated by Nvidia . Thats because they produce the best chipshands downby a long way. They also provide the best software in CUDA, which is Nvidias development software that sits on top of the chip.

Nvidia is in a very strong position. They have a lot of experience developing these chips after many generations. It takes a long time to de-bug these chips. We have the largest cluster in the world of Nvidia H100 chips today. That means we can train the biggest, the best, and fastest models.

AMD (AMD) is promising for inference, but not so much for training. Inference means serving the model. They have a larger memory on those chips, so you can serve bigger models. AMD hasnt figured out how to daisy chain the chips together well for big training jobs. Nvidia has thought about parallelization and [high bandwidth connection] networking [better].

What are your predictions on how AI can lead to prosperity? But also, on the flip side, how can it disrupt society?

I do think its going to be the most productive decade in the history of our species. Anyone who is a creator or an inventor is now going to have a compadre who gets their domain.

People who are trying to be productive are now going to have an aide that is going to turbocharge their productivity. Thats going to save people an insane amount of time. Its going to make us much more creative and inventive.

On the flip side, anyone who has an agenda to cause disruption, cause chaos, or spread misinformation, is also going to have the barriers of entry for their destabilization efforts lowered.

Technology tends to accelerate offense and defense at the same time. A knife can be used to cut tomatoes or to hurt somebody. Thats the challenge of the coming wave. Its about containment. How do nation states control the proliferation of very powerful technologies, which can ultimately be a threat to the existence of the nation state if they are left unchecked?

Thanks for your time, Mustafa.

Write to Tae Kim at tae.kim@barrons.com or follow him on Twitter at @firstadopter.

Continued here:
AI Could Spark the Most Productive Decade Ever. Nvidia Could Benefit. - Barron's

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