Last Updated on January 12, 2024
In the largest study of its kind, 2,778 published AI researchers have predicted how long it will be until AI solves 39 high-difficulty problems. How long do we have until Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)? Can AI even perform physical tasks in a residential environment? What cant AI do? According to those in the know, its all just a matter of time.
33 of the 39 tasks are predicted to happen before 2034. The wording specifically states that these are predicted to have at least a 50% chance of being feasible within the next ten years, and with the study having been conducted during 2023, this equates to 2034. Some of the 2,778 respondents gave estimates beyond 2034, so keeping in mind that these results are an aggregate of opinions, the four tasks not predicted to happen in the next ten years are:
The remaining tasks, largely predicted to happen this decade, include many tasks of extreme economic value. These include coding an entire payment processing site from scratch and writing new songs indistinguishable from real ones by hit artists such as Taylor Swift.
Custom URL
Only $0.00015 per word!
Winston AI: The most trusted AI detector. Winston AI is the industry leading AI content detection tool to help check AI content generated with ChatGPT, GPT-4, Bard, Bing Chat, Claude, and many more LLMs. Read more
Custom URL
Only $0.01 per 100 words
Originality.AI Is The Most Accurate AI Detection.Across a testing data set of 1200 data samples it achieved an accuracy of 96% while its closest competitor achieved only 35%. Useful Chrome extension. Detects across emails, Google Docs, and websites. Read more
Custom URL
EXCLUSIVE DEAL 10,000 free bonus credits
On-brand AI content wherever you create. 100,000+ customers creating real content with Jasper. One AI tool, all the best models.
Custom URL
TRY FOR FREE
10x Your Content Output With AI. Key features No duplicate content, full control, in built AI content checker. Free trial available.
Custom URL
TRY FOR FREE
Experience the full power of an AI content generator that delivers premium results in seconds. 8 million users enjoy writing blogs 10x faster, effortlessly creating higher converting social media posts or writing more engaging emails. Sign up for a free trial. Read more
Load more
We also have an answer to the question on everyones mind How long do we have until AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)?
Well, in the terms outlined by the study, our AI research group predicted the feasibility of High-Level Machine Intelligence. The study defines High-level machine intelligence (HLMI) as achieved when unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers. Ignore aspects of tasks for which being a human is intrinsically advantageous, e.g. being accepted as a jury member. Think feasibility, not adoption.
They predicted a 10% chance of HLMI by 2027 and a 50% chance of HLMI by 2047. For reference, the same study was conducted in 2022, with predictions of a 10% chance of HLMI by 2029 and a 50% chance of HLMI by 2060. This brings our sensible estimate for above-human machine intelligence 13 years closer than when estimated the previous year.
Follow this link:
- 'Godfather' of AI is now having second thoughts - The B.C. Catholic [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- People warned AI is becoming like a God and a 'catastrophe' is ... - UNILAD [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Navigating artificial intelligence: Red flags to watch out for - ComputerWeekly.com [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Zoom Invests in and Partners With Anthropic to Improve Its AI ... - PYMNTS.com [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- The Potential of AI in Tax Practice Relies on Understanding its ... - Thomson Reuters Tax & Accounting [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- UK schools bewildered by AI and do not trust tech firms, headteachers say - The Guardian [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- A glimpse of AI technologies at the WIC in N China's Tianjin - CGTN [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- AI glossary: words and terms to know about the booming industry - NBC News [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Henry Kissinger says the U.S. and China are in a classic pre-World War I situation that could lead to conflict, but A.I. makes this not a normal... [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Programmed Values: The Role of Intention in Developing AI - Psychology Today [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Fear the fire or harness the flame: The future of generative AI - VentureBeat [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- The Senate's hearing on AI regulation was dangerously friendly - The Verge [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Artificial intelligence GPT-4 shows 'sparks' of common sense, human-like reasoning, finds Microsoft - Down To Earth Magazine [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Why we need a "Manhattan Project" for A.I. safety - Salon [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- What is AGI? The Artificial Intelligence that can do it all - Fox News [Last Updated On: May 21st, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 21st, 2023]
- Generative AI Thats Based On The Murky Devious Dark Web Might Ironically Be The Best Thing Ever, Says AI Ethics And AI Law - Forbes [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- Artificial intelligence: World first rules are coming soon are you ... - JD Supra [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- Today's AI boom will amplify social problems if we don't act now, says AI ethicist - ZDNet [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- Artificial Intelligence May Be 'Threat' to Human Health, Experts Warn - HealthITAnalytics.com [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- Amid job losses and fears of AI take-over, more tech majors are joining Artificial Intelligence race - The Tribune India [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- Where AI evolves from here - Axios [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- Parrots, paper clips and safety vs. ethics: Why the artificial intelligence debate sounds like a foreign language - CNBC [Last Updated On: May 23rd, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 23rd, 2023]
- How Microsoft Swallowed Its Pride to Make a Massive Bet on OpenAI - The Information [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- Elon Musk on 2024 Politics, Succession Plans and Whether AI Will ... - The Wall Street Journal [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- The AI Moment of Truth for Chinese Censorship by Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- Bard vs. ChatGPT vs. Offline Alpaca: Which Is the Best LLM? - MUO - MakeUseOf [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- How AI and other technologies are already disrupting the workplace - The Conversation [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- Meet PandaGPT: An AI Foundation Model Capable of Instruction-Following Data Across Six Modalities, Without The Need For Explicit Supervision -... [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- AI education: Gather a better understanding of artificial intelligence with books, blogs, courses and more - Fox News [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- 'Godfather of AI' says there's a 'serious danger' tech will get smarter than humans fairly soon - Fox News [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- Israel aims to be 'AI superpower', advance autonomous warfare - Reuters.com [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- Retail and Hospitality AI Revolution Forecast Model Report 2023 ... - GlobeNewswire [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- 16 Jobs That Will Disappear in the Future Due to AI - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- What we lose when we work with a giant AI like ChatGPT - The Hindu [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- Artificial general intelligence in the wrong hands could do 'really dangerous stuff,' experts warn - Fox News [Last Updated On: May 28th, 2023] [Originally Added On: May 28th, 2023]
- 5 things you should know about investing in artificial intelligence ... - The Motley Fool Australia [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Mint DIS 2023 | AI won't replace you, someone using AI will ... - TechCircle [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Satya Nadellas Oprah Moment: Microsoft CEO says he wants everyone to have an AI assistant - Firstpost [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Generative AI Will Have Profound Impact Across Sectors - Rigzone News [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Beware the EU's AI Regulations - theTrumpet.com [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Olbrain Founders launch blunder.one: Redefining Human Connections in the Post-AGI World - Devdiscourse [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Meet Sati-AI, a Non-Human Mindfulness Meditation Teacher Lions Roar - Lion's Roar [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- How to Win the AI War - Tablet Magazine [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- The Synergistic Potential of Blockchain and Artificial Intelligence - The Daily Hodl [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2023] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2023]
- Dr. ChatGPT Will Interface With You Now - IEEE Spectrum [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Amazon tech guru: Eating less beef, more fish good for the planet, and AI helps us get there - Fox News [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Students who use AI to cheat warned they will be exposed as detection services grow in use - Fox News [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Crypto And AI Innovation: The London Attraction - Forbes [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- AI would pick Bitcoin over centralized crypto Tether CTO - Cointelegraph [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- What's missing from ChatGPT and other LLMs ... - Data Science Central [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- 'Alarming' misuse of AI to spy on activists, journalists 'under guise of preventing terrorism': UN expert - Fox News [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Mastering ChatGPT: Introduction to ChatGPT | Thomas Fox ... - JD Supra [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Transparency is crucial over how AI is trained - and regulators must take the lead - Sky News [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Top 10 AI And Blockchain Projects Revolutionizing The World - Blockchain Magazine [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- An Orb: the new crypto project by the creator of ChatGPT - The Cryptonomist [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- AI must be emotionally intelligent before it is super-intelligent - Big Think [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- NVIDIA CEO, European Generative AI Execs Discuss Keys to Success - Nvidia [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Tech Investors Bet on AI, Leave Crypto Behind - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Its Going To Hit Like A Bomb: AI Experts Discuss The Technology And Its Future Impact On Storytelling KVIFF Industry Panel - Deadline [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- AI tools trace the body's link between the brain and behavior - Axios [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- Mission: Impossibles technology unpacked From AI to facial recognition - Yahoo Eurosport UK [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- 27% of jobs at high risk from AI revolution, says OECD - Reuters [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- AI likely to spell end of traditional school classroom, leading expert says - The Guardian [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- AI humanoid robots hold UN press conference, say they could be more efficient and effective world leaders - Fox News [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- China striving to be first source of artificial general intelligence, says think tank - The Register [Last Updated On: July 11th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 11th, 2023]
- The Government's Role In Progressing AI In The UK - New ... - Mondaq News Alerts [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- The AI Canon: A Curated List of Resources to Get Smarter About ... - Fagen wasanni [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- Future of automotive journalism in India: Would AI take charge - Team-BHP [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- OpenAI's Head of Trust and Safety Quits: What Does This Mean for ... - ReadWrite [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- From vision to victory: How CIOs embrace the AI revolution - ETCIO [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- Demis Hassabis - Information Age [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- Why AI cant answer the fundamental questions of life | Mint - Mint [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- This Health AI Startup Aims To Keep Doctors Up To Date On The ... - Forbes [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- OpenAI Requires Millions of GPUs for Advanced AI Model - Fagen wasanni [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- AI ethics experts warn safety principals could lead to 'ethicswashing' - Citywire [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- AI bots could replace us, peer warns House of Lords during debate - The Guardian [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- AI, Augmented Reality, The Metaverse | Media@LSE - London School of Economics and Political Science [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- Will architects really lose their jobs to AI? - Dezeen [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- Which US workers are exposed to AI in their jobs? - Pew Research Center [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]
- AWS announces generative A.I. tool to save doctors time on paperwork - CNBC [Last Updated On: July 27th, 2023] [Originally Added On: July 27th, 2023]