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Here are some predictions that I doubt will happen in 2024 or the near future (and why I think so).Midjourney

2023 was the year of AI. Every month, weve seen new AI tools being launched, advancements in the field, upgrades, and more things that kept the field of AI moving.

Overhyped AI predictions werent missing in 2023 either. Throughout the year we heard things like AGI was (or will soon be) achieved or AI will take everyones job.

Heres why I think theyre overhyped and doubt theyll happen in the next years.

Almost every month theres a new ChatGPT killer at least thats what we see on the media. The latest ChatGPT killer (by consensus) was Gemini Ultra, a tool that beat GPT-4 in the benchmarks but isnt available yet to the public.

Even if Gemini Ultra is slightly superior to GPT-4, tech superiority doesnt always translate to market dominance and Google knows that (probably thats why they created too much hype with their demo).

I checked some articles and videos that claim Google will kill ChatGPT to find out how they came to such conclusions. Here are some of the arguments I found.

I don't think any of these arguments are enough to claim that Google will indeed kill ChatGPT.

Why? Well, #2 is not a good metric to say whether a product will kill its competitor. Recently, Google shares sank following reports that some of their AI Gemini Ultra demo was faked. This doesnt mean Gemini Ultra is a bad model or that it cant compete with GPT-4 but shows the consequences of Google overhyping its own product.

On the other hand, even if #1 is true, its not enough. Google might have the resources to create a tool to compete

Go here to see the original:

Google Will Kill ChatGPT and Other Overhyped AI Predictions We Heard In 2023 - Medium